April 23 2008

Medicare Part DA Successful Start With Room for Improvement

Author Affiliations

Author Affiliations: RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California (Drs Goldman and Joyce), and National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts (Dr Goldman).

JAMA. 2008;299(16):1954-1955. doi:10.1001/jama.299.16.1954

Medicare Part D represents a bold experiment to publicly fund, but privately sell and administer, prescription drug insurance. Part D is only a relatively small part of the overall Medicare program; Medicare spent $432 billion overall in 2007, of which Part D accounted for only 11.6% ($50 billion).1 However, the Medicare program is so large that Part D alone should account for 1% of the entire economy in less than 2 decades.1 Furthermore, there is little room for more spending, given the trustees' recent forecast of $12 trillion in unfunded liabilities over the next 75 years—a debt just slightly smaller than the entire US economy.1 So much appears to be riding on Part D's success or failure, including possible models for the provision of health insurance to the currently uninsured. Two articles2,3 in this issue of JAMA raise important concerns about the program, but must be rightly viewed in this larger context.

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