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December 20, 1985

The Probability of Dying of Injuries by the Year 2000

Author Affiliations

From the Philadelphia Department of Public Health, Division of Disease Control and Institute of Environmental Medicine, New York University Medical Center (Dr Budnick); and NewLevel Technologies, Inc, Lawrence, Mass (Dr Chaiken). Dr Budnick is now with the Public Health Service, New York.

JAMA. 1985;254(23):3350-3352. doi:10.1001/jama.1985.03360230082029

Life tables in which the probability of dying of injuries in the United States from 1985 to 1999 are determined may be useful for clinicians in counseling persons concerning the risk of fatal injuries. Overall, more than 1% of persons aged 10 to 34 years in 1985 probably will die of injuries by the year 2000. For white males aged 5 to 29 years in 1985, white females aged 5 to 19 years in 1985, and black males aged 5 to 24 years in 1985, over half of all the estimated deaths during the next 15 years will be probably due to injuries.

(JAMA 1985;254:3350-3352)