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September 20, 1941

Current Comment

JAMA. 1941;117(12):1020. doi:10.1001/jama.1941.02820380042014

THE RISING TREND OF THE 1941 BIRTH RATE  According to the Bureau of the Census,1 after falling steadily for two centuries the long range United States birth rate has turned sharply upward. Provisional tabulations for 1940 showed over 91,000 more births in that year than in 1939. The birth rate per thousand of population jumped from 17.3 to 17.9. Moreover, during the first four months of 1941 about 20,000 more babies were born in the United States than in the first third of 1940. The Census Bureau statisticians predict, therefore, a rate of 18.5 for 1941, or only 0.3 of a baby less than the last reported (1937) rate in Germany. If present birth and death rates continue, it is pointed out, the population of the United States will increase approximately 7 per cent in a generation. This is an interesting forecast, but it must be recalled that