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March 30, 1957


JAMA. 1957;163(13):1143. doi:10.1001/jama.1957.02970480047011

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Although the present United States supply of physicians is better than that of all other nations, with the exception of Israel, we continue to hear the alarmists spread the false idea that there is, or will be, a doctor shortage in America. Through the years we have heard extreme predictions, but so far none has come true and there is no actual documentation of any trend toward a shortage in 1960, 1965, or 1975. Nevertheless, the gloomy predictions are made repeatedly.

Personally, I see no crisis or emergency in the present or future supply of physicians. I say this because present supply is meeting public demand and because future supply will meet future demand.

Today the U. S. population numbers more than 168 million persons. This is an increase of about 82% since 1910. In the same period our medical schools have raised the number of graduates from 3,165 to

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