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July 5, 1958

IS THE BABY BOOM ENDING?

JAMA. 1958;167(10):1250. doi:10.1001/jama.1958.02990270056014

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Abstract

Although the number of births in the United States still exceeds 300,000 a month, the total for the first quarter of this year was some 7,000 below last year. This small decline in the number of births has occurred less than nine months after the decline in the number of marriages. These two declines suggest but do not prove that the end of the baby boom is in sight. Because of the comparatively small number of births during the 1930's, the number of youths attaining marriageable age continues to be fewer than can be expected during the 1960's.

Doubtless the small decline in the number of births during the first quarter of 1958 and the earlier decline in the marriages is due in some measure to the business recession. To that extent, an increase in the number of both the births and marriages will depend upon improvement in business conditions.

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