Importance
Soy consumption has been suggested to reduce risk or recurrence of prostate cancer, but this has
not been tested in a randomized trial with prostate cancer as the end point.
Objective
To determine whether daily consumption of a soy protein isolate supplement for 2 years reduces
the rate of biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy or delays such
recurrence.
Design, Setting, and Participants
Randomized, double-blind trial conducted from July 1997 to May 2010 at 7 US centers comparing
daily consumption of a soy protein supplement vs placebo in 177 men at high risk of recurrence after
radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer. Supplement intervention was started within 4 months after
surgery and continued for up to 2 years, with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) measurements made at
2-month intervals in the first year and every 3 months thereafter.
Intervention
Participants were randomized to receive a daily serving of a beverage powder containing 20 g of
protein in the form of either soy protein isolate (n=87) or, as placebo, calcium caseinate
(n=90).
Main Outcomes and Measures
Biochemical recurrence rate of prostate cancer (defined as development of a PSA level of
≥0.07 ng/mL) over the first 2 years following randomization and time to recurrence.
Results
The trial was stopped early for lack of treatment effects at a planned interim analysis with 81
evaluable participants in the intervention group and 78 in the placebo group. Overall, 28.3% of
participants developed biochemical recurrence within 2 years of entering the trial (close to the a
priori predicted recurrence rate of 30%). Among these, 22 (27.2%) occurred in the intervention group
and 23 (29.5%) in the placebo group. The resulting hazard ratio for active treatment was 0.96 (95%
CI, 0.53-1.72; log-rank P = .89). Adherence was greater than 90% and
there were no apparent adverse events related to supplementation.
Conclusion and Relevance
Daily consumption of a beverage powder supplement containing soy protein isolate for 2 years
following radical prostatectomy did not reduce biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer in men at
high risk of PSA failure.
Trial Registration
clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00765479
Prostate cancer is the most frequently diagnosed malignancy and the second most frequent cause of
male cancer death in the United States and other Western countries1 but is far less frequent in Asian countries.2 Prostate cancer risk has been inversely associated with intake of soy and soy
foods in observational studies,3,4 which may
explain this geographic variation because soy consumption is low in the United States and high in
Asian countries.5,6 Although it has been
repeatedly proposed that soy may prevent prostate cancer development,5,7,8 this hypothesis has not been tested in randomized
studies with cancer as the end point. A substantive fraction (48%-55%) of men diagnosed as having
prostate cancer use dietary supplements including soy products, although the exact proportion is not
known.9-11 However, no evidence
exists that soy supplementation has any prostate cancer–related benefits for these men. Soy
contains several constituents, including isoflavones, which possess anticancer activities in
laboratory studies.12,13 Several animal studies
also provide support for the hypothesis that soy consumption may protect against prostate
cancer.14
The majority of prostate cancers detected by prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening are indolent; only those that have potential to progress to an aggressive,
fatal phenotype are clinically (or biologically) significant.15 Thus, prevention approaches focusing on biologically significant cancers have
the greatest potential to reduce prostate cancer–specific mortality. We investigated the
effect of soy supplementation on biologically significant prostate cancer in a randomized trial in
men who were at high risk of recurrence after radical prostatectomy. The objective was to determine
whether daily consumption of a soy protein–based supplement for 2 years reduced the rate of
recurrence or delayed recurrence after radical prostatectomy using PSA failure as the intermediate
end point. To our knowledge, there have been no randomized clinical trials testing this
hypothesis.
This study and its consent process were approved by the institutional review boards of all
participating institutions. Flow of study participant screening, enrollment, and treatment is shown
in Figure 1.
Patients were eligible if they had undergone radical prostatectomy for clinically localized (T1c
or T2) prostate cancer less than 4 months before randomization, had a postsurgery PSA value of less
than 0.07 ng/mL confirmed by the assay used in this study, and fulfilled 1 or more of the following
criteria for high risk: preoperative PSA of greater than 20.0 ng/mL, final Gleason score of 8 or
greater, established positive surgical margins (but not apical margins16), established extracapsular extension (but not in the bladder neck17), seminal vesicle invasion, or micrometastases in any removed
pelvic lymph nodes. To confirm eligibility, prostatectomy slides of each prospective participant
were centrally reviewed by 1 of the 4 participating pathologists (J.M., M.X.K., V.M., and A.K.-B.)
who collectively had established standardized diagnostic criteria as members of the Cooperative
Prostate Cancer Tissue Resource.18
Participants were enrolled at the New York University School of Medicine (NYU) (88%) and the
Manhattan VA Medical Center (VA) (7%), both in New York City, as well as 5 other medical centers
(5%) (Duke University, Durham, North Carolina; Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida; Long Beach VA
Medical Center, Long Beach, California; University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois; and University of
Illinois at Chicago); one private practitioner referred a single eligible patient. The pathology
reports of all radical prostatectomy patients at the VA and NYU sites between July 1997 and November
2005 (VA) or May 2009 (NYU) were systematically screened. At the other sites, no systematic
procedure to identify eligible patients was implemented, and enrollment relied on individual
urologists. Recruitment at the University of Chicago and the University of Illinois at Chicago was
continued until May 2010. Patients whose potential eligibility was confirmed by a study pathologist
were first approached by participating urologists (by letter at NYU) asking them to contact study
staff. If they agreed to participate and no exclusionary factors (Figure 1) were identified during an in-person or telephone interview, a
baseline visit was conducted by a study coordinator to obtain written informed consent, demographic
information (including self-identified race/ethnicity using categories listed in Table 1), and a blood sample to confirm postoperative PSA
level. A significant baseline intake of soy (more than once per week) was also an exclusionary
criterion; this was assessed using a standardized questionnaire.19
Randomization and Blinding
After eligibility was confirmed, participants were randomized to the intervention or placebo
groups (1:1) using the dynamic intervention allocation procedure of Begg and Iglewicz,20 stratified by (1) hospital/clinical site (NYU vs VA vs other
sites); (2) number of high-risk characteristics (1 vs >1); and (3) self-defined race/ethnicity
(African American vs non–African American). The randomization procedure was programmed using
SAS software (SAS Institute Inc) and carried out by study staff. All study investigators and staff
as well as all study participants remained blinded to the assigned treatments until after the
interim analysis was conducted, the trial was stopped, and the intention-to-treat analysis had been
completed.
The intervention agent was soy protein isolate based and the placebo was a caseinate-based
product, each incorporated into a beverage powder developed and manufactured for this clinical trial
by Solae LLC. A daily 47-g serving of beverage powder contained protein in the form of either soy
protein isolate (19.2 g as analyzed) or calcium caseinate (19.8 g). The soy protein dose represents
37% to 40% of the daily reference protein intake in the United States.21,22 The soy protein beverage powder contained per 1 g of protein 3.67
mg of all forms of isoflavones (aglycones, glycosides, and glycoside esters) or 2.13 mg as aglycone
equivalents, amounting to (in aglycone equivalents) 1.24 mg of genistein, 0.78 mg of daidzein, and
0.11 mg of glycitein. The beverage powders were sweetened with a mixture of sucrose and fructose to
improve palatability. Artificial strawberry flavoring was added to mask the taste difference between
the 2 powders, which were packaged identically and differed nutritionally only in the type of
protein and the presence of isoflavones and other soy-specific constituents. The nutrient
composition of the powders is listed in Table 2.
Participants were instructed to consume one 47-g packet of beverage powder mixed in approximately 10
oz of water or fruit juice each day.
Participants were counseled by a study coordinator on avoiding intake of soy-based food and drink
and limiting excessive dairy products while in the study. If postsurgical serum PSA level was
confirmed to be less than 0.07 ng/mL, participants started the intervention within 1 or 2 weeks
following randomization for 2 years and returned for follow-up visits at 2-month intervals during
the first year and at 3-month intervals thereafter. At each follow-up visit, a blood sample was
obtained for PSA measurement and occurrence of adverse events was assessed using the National Cancer
Institute’s Common Toxicity Criteria version 4.0. For some participants, a number of follow-up
visits were conducted by telephone and blood samples were mailed overnight by express delivery to
the trial office; this has been shown to be feasible without affecting PSA levels,23 which we confirmed. The intervention was stopped when
biochemical recurrence or serious adverse effects developed.
Adherence was assessed by measuring serum isoflavone levels at baseline and at least 2 time
points while in the study by high-performance liquid chromatography with electrochemical detection
using the procedure of Gamache and Acworth,24 with slight
modifications as described by Franke et al.25,26
Self-reported adherence was also assessed using a daily calendar, and soy intake during the previous
2 to 3 months was evaluated at each follow-up visit using the aforementioned questionnaire.
The primary end points of this trial were the 2-year rate of biochemical cancer recurrence and
time to recurrence for those in whom cancer recurred. Biochemical recurrence was defined as
development of a serum PSA level of 0.07 ng/mL or higher confirmed by 2 subsequent PSA values of
0.07 ng/mL or higher at least 1 month apart. Serum PSA levels were measured with an ultrasensitive
automated immunoenzymometric assay (Tosoh Bioscience) using the 2 standard Tandem Hybritech
monoclonal antibodies.27 We determined that the limit of
quantitation of this assay was 0.03 ng/mL and the intra-assay and interassay variation were 4.0% to
6.2% and 8.4% to 13.9%, respectively.
The low detection limit of the PSA assay allowed us to define biochemical recurrence as a
sustained increase in PSA level above 0.07 ng/mL approximately 1 year earlier than if we had used a
higher cutoff (≥0.1 or 0.2 ng/mL) as commonly used.27
On the basis of a literature review and an analysis of data from NYU, as detailed in the eTable in
the Supplement, the projected
2-year biochemical recurrence rate in the placebo group was estimated to be 30%. With 252 evaluable
participants (126 per group) the study had 80% power to detect a 50% reduction in biochemical
recurrence rate with a 2-sided significance level of .05 and 1 planned interim analysis after
observation of 45 recurrences using the O’Brien-Fleming spending function.28 The 50% reduction in recurrence was chosen because (1) the
prostate cancer risk reduction by soy in animal studies has been in this range; (2) the prostate
cancer rate differential between populations who habitually consume soy and those who do not is more
than 2-fold; and (3) a risk reduction of this magnitude would be needed to have important public
health effects.
Baseline participant characteristics and adverse events were compared between the 2 groups using
the t test or the Mann-Whitney test for continuous variables and the
χ2 test or Fisher exact test for categorical variables. Time to recurrence was
calculated as the time (in weeks) between randomization and first occurrence of a sustained PSA
level of 0.07 ng/mL or higher. Participants who ceased study participation and had a PSA value of
less than 0.07 ng/mL at their last visit were censored at the time of their last PSA measurement.
Because PSA measurements during follow-up were necessary for the assessment of the main study
outcome (ie, PSA recurrence), participants who were found ineligible after randomization, withdrew
before their baseline visit, or never returned after baseline were excluded from the main
intention-to-treat analysis, which was therefore a modified intention-to-treat analysis. The Cox
proportional hazards model was used to calculate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals
comparing the 2 treatment groups and the log-rank test to assess statistical significance. The
proportional hazard assumption was checked by inclusion of the cross-product of log (follow-up time)
by treatment. SAS software, versions 9.2 and 9.1.3, and GraphPad Prism software, version 4.0, were
used for statistical analysis.
A total of 177 eligible participants were randomized between July 1997 and May 2010. As planned,
a blinded interim analysis was conducted once 45 participants had developed confirmed biochemical
recurrence, which was reviewed by the study’s data safety and monitoring committee. At the
recommendation of this committee, the trial was stopped at that time because of lack of evidence of
treatment effect. The conditional power—ie, the probability of observing a significant result
at the end of the trial if enrollment had continued until the target sample size had been reached
and all participants had been followed-up for two years—was extremely low at 0.0012, given the
data observed at the interim analysis.
Of the 177 randomized participants, 18 (10.2%) did not contribute data and were thus not
evaluable because they had ineligibly high baseline PSA (n = 3), withdrew before their
baseline visit (n = 2), or never returned after baseline (n = 13) (Figure 1). These participants were not evaluable because
they had no postrandomization PSA measurements. A total of 159 participants (81 in the intervention
group and 78 in the placebo group) completed the baseline visit and at least 1 follow-up visit and
were therefore evaluable for biochemical recurrence. There were no significant differences between
the 2 treatment groups in any of the baseline characteristics of these evaluable participants (Table 1). Thirteen of the evaluable participants (8.2%)
withdrew before recurrence or completion of 2 years of treatment. They were included in the
intention-to-treat analysis with censoring at the time of withdrawal; 6 of these were in the
intervention group (median number of weeks in study, 15 [range, 8-69 weeks]) and 7 were in the
placebo group (median number of weeks in study, 29 [range, 10-94 weeks])
(P = .88 for difference in dropout incidence and
P = .07 for difference in number of weeks). Most evaluable participants
(n = 146 [92%]) completed 2 years of intervention or experienced recurrence earlier.
Less than 2% of all PSA follow-up data were not obtained and in no case did this impair detection of
biochemical recurrence. Three participants were classified as having recurrence based on only 1 PSA
measurement of 0.07 ng/mL or higher at their last study visit because there was evidence from chart
review that they subsequently had more than 1 PSA value higher than 0.1 ng/mL and/or hormone
ablation or radiation treatment.
Twenty two (27.2%) of the 81 participants in the intervention group developed confirmed
biochemical recurrence, whereas 23 (29.5%) of the 78 participants receiving placebo developed
recurrence. The modified intention-to-treat analysis of the evaluable participants revealed no
evidence of treatment effect with the 2 survival curves closely overlapping (Figure 2). The hazard ratio for the difference between the 2 groups was
0.96 (95% CI, 0.53-1.72; log-rank P = .89). Among participants who
developed recurrence, the median time to recurrence was somewhat shorter in the intervention group
(31.5 weeks) than in the placebo group (44 weeks), but this difference was not statistically
significant (P = .62 by Mann-Whitney test).
Self-reported adherence was excellent, with 152 participants (96%) reporting having consumed more
than 90% of the packets supplied. Only 7 evaluable participants reported serious nonadherence
(consuming <50% of the packets), 3 in the intervention group and 4 in the placebo group. Analysis
of serum genistein levels identified 1 additional case of nonadherence in the placebo group in a
participant who consistently had genistein levels above 150 ng/mL. These 8 participants were
considered definitively nonadherent. An additional 13 participants (7 in the intervention group and
6 in the placebo group) had serum genistein levels that were potentially inconsistent with their
treatment assignment (>20 ng/mL in the placebo group and <20 ng/mL in the intervention group);
these participants were considered possibly nonadherent. Median serum genistein levels were 0.0
ng/mL (interquartile range, 0.0-3.3 ng/mL), 94.7 ng/mL (interquartile range, 36.7-201.7 ng/mL), and
129.8 ng/mL (interquartile range, 64.6-208.6 ng/mL) at baseline and after 6 and 12 months,
respectively, in the 33 of 69 fully adherent participants taking soy for whom we had complete data
at these time points.
Eleven evaluable participants who were considered fully adherent stopped treatment at some point
during the study but continued follow-up without treatment; they were included in the
intention-to-treat analysis up to the point of last follow-up. Analysis censoring these participants
at the time they ceased taking their assigned treatment and excluding participants who were
considered definitively nonadherent (n = 8) did not change the results (hazard ratio,
0.89; 95% CI: 0.49-1.62; log-rank P = .70). Further eliminating the 13
participants who were possibly nonadherent from the analysis also did not change the outcome (hazard
ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.50-1.73; log-rank P = .81).
There were no differences in adverse events between the 2 groups (Table 3). The major reason for withdrawal from the study was difficulty
with palatability or sweetness of the products. The second most frequent reason was lack of time or
frequent traveling interfering with participation. Three participants (2 in the placebo group and 1
in the intervention group) stopped treatment because of symptoms that proved to be not related to
treatment and 1 participant in the intervention group stopped because of recurrent grade 2
constipation considered treatment related; all 4 participants continued follow-up. No deaths
occurred during the study.
This randomized clinical trial was stopped early because it was found that development of
biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy was not reduced or delayed by
daily consumption of a 20-g soy protein isolate supplement. Intention-to-treat survival analysis
yielded overlapping curves and a hazard ratio close to 1. An analysis limited to confirmed adherent
participants did not change the results. To our knowledge, this is the first randomized clinical
trial to test the efficacy of soy protein in reducing biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer. The
soy treatment duration in this study was one of the longest reported to date, and this study
demonstrated that soy protein isolate supplementation for 2 years is well tolerated and safe in
men.
The only other interventional studies with soy relevant to prostate cancer used serum PSA levels
as an end point and had mixed results. Soy protein or isoflavone supplementation did not
significantly affect serum PSA levels in randomized trials with healthy men of different ages,29-32 men with prostate cancer
under active surveillance,33 men with high-grade prostatic
intraepithelial neoplasia but no cancer on biopsy, and men with untreated prostate cancer.34-36 Consumption of isoflavones or soy as
supplements to the diet slowed down progression in subsets of men with increasing PSA after surgical
intervention or radiation in small studies with short intervention periods.37-42
The lack of protective activity of soy against prostate cancer recurrence observed in this study
was limited to men at above-average risk of recurrence within the first 2 years after surgery and to
the soy protein dose tested. The findings of this study may therefore not be generalizable to
prostate cancer patients at average risk of recurrence. It is also possible that the dose or
duration of treatment used in this trial were not sufficient to affect aggressive prostate cancer.
It is unlikely that the use of a casein-based supplement as placebo prevented detection of a
protective effect of soy as, to our knowledge, no published evidence exists that milk or milk
protein reduces risk of prostate cancer or improves clinical outcome. The modest representation of
minority participants (self-identified nonwhite) limits the generalizability of the results to white
men. The accrual to this study was slow and the possibility of accrual bias thus cannot be excluded
but is unlikely because accrual by calendar year was evenly distributed between the 2 groups.
The design of the present study represents one possible approach to clinical studies for the
assessment of the efficacy of chemoprevention agents for prostate cancer. Prostate cancer
chemoprevention treatments are likely to be initiated in middle-aged men when as many as 50% already
have small prostate cancers, of which only a small fraction have aggressive potential.15,43 Thus, focusing on prostate cancer patients at high
risk of postsurgical recurring cancers, which are aggressive and biologically significant, has
potential to identify treatments that reduce prostate cancer mortality. In addition, the study
design is simple, does not interfere with clinical practice, and requires a much smaller sample size
than prevention trials with healthy men at high or average risk of prostate cancer. Also, men with
prostate cancer may be eager to participate in such trials (50% in this study), but effective
recruitment requires strong support from participating urologists.
The findings of this study provide another example that associations in observational
epidemiologic studies between purported preventive agents and clinical outcomes need confirmation in
randomized clinical trials. Not only were these findings at variance with the epidemiologic evidence
on soy consumption and prostate cancer risk, they were also not consistent with results from
experiments with animal models of prostate carcinogenesis, which also suggest reduced risk.14,44-47 One
possible explanation for these discrepant results is that in both epidemiologic studies and animal
experiments, soy exposure typically occurred for most or all of the life span of the study
participants or animals; there are no reports of such studies in which soy exposure started later in
life. Thus, it is conceivable that soy is protective against prostate cancer when consumption begins
early in life but not later or when prostate cancer is already present. If this is the case,
chemoprevention of prostate cancer with soy is unlikely to be effective if started later in life,
given the high prevalence of undetected prostate cancer in middle-aged men.43
This randomized clinical trial demonstrated that development of biochemical recurrence of
prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy was not reduced or delayed by daily consumption of a
20-g soy protein isolate supplement in men at high risk of recurrence, but the intervention appeared
safe and was well tolerated.
Corresponding Author: Maarten C. Bosland, DVSc, PhD,
Department of Pathology, University of Illinois at Chicago, 840 S Wood St, Room 130 CSN, MC 847,
Chicago, IL 60612 (boslandm@uic.edu).
Author Contributions: Dr Bosland had full access
to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the
accuracy of the data analysis.
Study concept and design: Bosland, Kato, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte.
Acquisition of data: Bosland, Kato, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Schmoll, Enk Rueter,
Melamed, Kong, Macias, Kajdacsy-Balla, Lumey, Walden, Lepor, Taneja, Randolph, Schlicht,
Meserve-Watanabe, Davies.
Analysis and interpretation of data: Bosland, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Enk Rueter,
Xie, Gao, Deaton.
Drafting of the manuscript: Bosland, Kato, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Lumey.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All
authors.
Statistical analysis: Bosland, Xie, Gao.
Obtained funding: Bosland.
Administrative, technical, and/or material support: Bosland, Kato,
Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Schmoll, Enk Rueter, Lumey, Walden, Lepor, Taneja, Randolph, Schlicht,
Meserve-Watanabe, Deaton, Davies.
Study supervision: Bosland, Kato, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Melamed, Kajdacsy-Balla,
Walden, Lepor.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: All authors
have completed and submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Dr
Taneja reports that he has served as consultant for Eigen, Gtx, and Bayer and as a speaker for
Janssen, receives royalties from Elsevier, and is a clinical trial investigator for Steba. No other
disclosures were reported.
Funding/Support: This work was supported in part by
National Institute of Health grants U01 CA072290 and R01
CA166195 as well as National Institute of Health grants P50 CA16087 and UL1 TR000050, with minor
support from the Prevent Cancer Foundation and the
United Soybean Board. Solae
LLC provided the intervention materials.
Role of the Sponsor: The funding organizations had no role in the design and conduct
of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review,
and approval of the manuscript; or decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Solae LLC
developed and provided the intervention materials and reviewed parts of the manuscript for
accuracy.
Additional Contributions: We thank all study participants for their dedicated
contributions and we gratefully acknowledge the contributions of Nikola Baumann, PhD (University of
Illinois at Chicago), for help with the validation of the PSA assay and Pablo Torre, MD (Manhattan
VA Medical Center), for his help in recruiting participants. We also thank David M. Albala, MD (Duke
University), Nagi Kumar, PhD (Moffitt Cancer Center), Anne R. Simoneau, MD (Long Beach VA), Gregory
P. Zagaya, MD (University of Chicago), and Michael L. Howard, MD (Rotolo Howard and Leitner
Associates), for enrolling study participants, as well as all members of the various incarnations of
the data safety and monitoring board of this study. Drs Albala, Kumar, and Zagaya received
compensation on a per-participant basis via a subcontract to their institution; the others did not
receive compensation. This article is dedicated to the memory of Ernst L. Wynder, MD, who was the
first to propose that a prostate cancer prevention study with a soy intervention be conducted.
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