Hematoma enlargement (analysis n = 853) was defined as a relative volume increase >33% on follow-up imaging. Overall, 160 patients received surgical hematoma evacuation; of these, we included 78 patients with follow-up imaging before surgery and excluded 82 patients without follow-up imaging before surgery. Analysis of functional long-term outcome included all the patients in the study (n = 1176). Long-term outcome was assessed at 1 year. Analysis of oral anticoagulation (OAC) resumption (n = 719) compared surviving patients who restarted OAC vs patients who did not restart OAC. CT indicates computer tomography; ICH, intracerebral hemorrhage; INR, international normalized ratio; IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage. (For details on center selection, see eFigure 1 in the Supplement.)
Logistic regression model using generalized estimating equations to visualize the association of “optimal” international normalized ratio (INR) reversal (INR <1.3 vs INR ≥1.3 on first monitoring after reversal treatment) with hematoma enlargement over time. Hematoma enlargement was defined as relative volume increase of >33% on follow-up imaging. The thick blue line represents a regression of odds ratio (OR) estimates generated every 12 min. Each OR estimate included available data covering ±12 minutes (actual data started at 00:24 hours); ie, the first OR estimate was calculated at 00:36 hours and included all available data from 00:24-00:48 hours. Data markers represent the mean of those 5 OR estimates that encompassed full hours; eg, the OR estimate at hour 1 represents a mean of the 5 included OR estimates at 00:36 hours (ie, all data 00:24-00:48), at 00:48 hours (ie, all data 00:36-01:00), at 01:00 hours (ie, all data 00:48-01:12), at 01:12 hours (ie, all data 01:00-01:24), and at 01.24 hours (ie, all data 01:12-01:36). Each OR was weighted according to available data points within each time interval, and generation included the method of moving averages (binning of 5 subsequent ORs).27 The vertical dashed line indicates the last significant OR estimate at 04:12 hours. We only included those patients for analysis (n = 496) for whom the first INR value obtained after initiation of reversal treatment was available within the assessed time frame (00:24-06:36 hours). Error bars indicate 95% CIs.
Multivariable model for the combined associations, ie, extent and timing of international normalized ratio (INR) reversal and systolic blood pressure (BP), with hematoma enlargement. Hematoma enlargement was defined as relative volume increase of >33% on follow-up imaging. Adjustments consisted of all nonmodifiable parameters associated with hematoma enlargement, ie, time from symptom onset to imaging, deep intracerebral hemorrhage location, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, and comorbidity (eTable 2 in the Supplement). OR indicates odds ratio.
Incidence rates of (A) new ischemic and (B) hemorrhagic events comparing all surviving patients who restarted oral anticoagulation (OAC) vs those who did not restart OAC. Analyses were based on all patients with complete 1-year follow-up data.
Kaplan-Meier survival curves of the propensity-matched cohort (which included only patients who were discharged alive) comparing patients with atrial fibrillation who restarted oral anticoagulation (OAC) vs those who did not restart OAC. Survival is presented from index intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) until 1-year follow-up and analyzed by log-rank, Breslow, and Tarone-Ware testing.
Distribution of functional outcome at discharge, 3 months, and 1 year using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). An mRS of 0 indicates no symptoms; mRS 1, no significant disability, able to carry out all activities prior to stroke, some symptoms; mRS 2, slight disability, unable to carry out all activities prior to stroke, able to look after own affairs; mRS 3, moderate disability, requiring help, walking with cane or walker but without assistance; mRS 4, moderately severe disability, unable to attend bodily needs and to walk without assistance; mRS 5, severe disability, bedridden, requiring constant nursing care and attention; and mRS 6, death.
eMethods. Variables of interest and statistical analyses.
eFigure 1. Participating centers.
eTable 1. Characteristics of the entire cohort of OAC-ICH patients.
eTable 2. Multivariable model for factors associated with hematoma enlargement.
eTable 3. Analysis of hematoma enlargement according to extent and timing of INR-reversal.
eTable 4 Analysis of hematoma enlargement according to systolic blood pressures at 4 hour intervals.
eTable 5. Dichotomized analysis of OAC-resumption-status for the entire cohort.
eTable 6. Dichotomized analysis of OAC-resumption-status in A-fib patients.
eFigure 2. Unmatched survival and event rates in A-fib patients – analyzing OAC-resumption-status.
eTable 7. Analyses of confounders within OAC-resumption-analysis for A-fib patients – before and after propensity score matching.
eTable 8. Propensity-matched analysis of event- and incidence-rates in A-fib patients – new ischemic stroke versus recurrent ICH.
eTable 9. Propensity-matched Cox regression analyses of long-term mortality in A-fib patients.
eTable 10. Multivariable model for functional improvement (mRS=3) in poor grade survivors (mRS4-5).
eTable 11. Analysis of long-term outcome – favorable versus unfavorable functional outcome.
eTable 12. Multivariable model for unfavorable long-term outcome in the entire cohort.
eTable 13. Multivariable model for unfavorable long-term outcome in propensity-matched A-fib patients.
eTable 14. Comparison of surviving patients included versus those excluded for resumption and long-term outcome analyses.
eTable 15. Comparison of investigated outcomes between complete-case versus multiple imputation analysis.
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Kuramatsu JB, Gerner ST, Schellinger PD, et al. Anticoagulant Reversal, Blood Pressure Levels, and Anticoagulant Resumption in Patients With Anticoagulation-Related Intracerebral Hemorrhage. JAMA. 2015;313(8):824–836. doi:10.1001/jama.2015.0846
Although use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) is increasing, there is a substantial lack of data on how to treat OAC-associated intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).
To assess the association of anticoagulation reversal and blood pressure (BP) with hematoma enlargement and the effects of OAC resumption.
Design, Setting, and Participants
Retrospective cohort study at 19 German tertiary care centers (2006-2012) including 1176 individuals for analysis of long-term functional outcome, 853 for analysis of hematoma enlargement, and 719 for analysis of OAC resumption.
Reversal of anticoagulation during acute phase, systolic BP at 4 hours, and reinitiation of OAC for long-term treatment.
Main Outcomes and Measures
Frequency of hematoma enlargement in relation to international normalized ratio (INR) and BP. Incidence analysis of ischemic and hemorrhagic events with or without OAC resumption. Factors associated with favorable (modified Rankin Scale score, 0-3) vs unfavorable functional outcome.
Hemorrhage enlargement occurred in 307 of 853 patients (36.0%). Reduced rates of hematoma enlargement were associated with reversal of INR levels <1.3 within 4 hours after admission (43/217 [19.8%]) vs INR of ≥1.3 (264/636 [41.5%]; P < .001) and systolic BP <160 mm Hg at 4 hours (167/504 [33.1%]) vs ≥160 mm Hg (98/187 [52.4%]; P < .001). The combination of INR reversal <1.3 within 4 hours and systolic BP of <160 mm Hg at 4 hours was associated with lower rates of hematoma enlargement (35/193 [18.1%] vs 220/498 [44.2%] not achieving these values; OR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.19-0.42; P < .001) and lower rates of in-hospital mortality (26/193 [13.5%] vs 103/498 [20.7%]; OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.37-0.95; P = .03). OAC was resumed in 172 of 719 survivors (23.9%). OAC resumption showed fewer ischemic complications (OAC: 9/172 [5.2%] vs no OAC: 82/547 [15.0%]; P < .001) and not significantly different hemorrhagic complications (OAC: 14/172 [8.1%] vs no OAC: 36/547 [6.6%]; P = .48). Propensity-matched survival analysis in patients with atrial fibrillation who restarted OAC showed a decreased HR of 0.258 (95% CI, 0.125-0.534; P < .001) for long-term mortality. Functional long-term outcome was unfavorable in 786 of 1083 patients (72.6%).
Conclusions and Relevance
Among patients with OAC-associated ICH, reversal of INR <1.3 within 4 hours and systolic BP <160 mm Hg at 4 hours were associated with lower rates of hematoma enlargement, and resumption of OAC therapy was associated with lower risk of ischemic events. These findings require replication and assessment in prospective studies.
The prevalence of cardiovascular diseases requiring long-term oral anticoagulation (OAC) is increasing, notably the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation.1,2 The most significant complication of OAC is intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).3 Based on OAC-induced coagulopathy, large hematoma volumes and increased rates of hematoma enlargement are characteristics of OAC-associated ICH (OAC-ICH) and contribute to an even higher mortality when compared with ischemic stroke or primary ICH.4-7
Among all stroke subtypes is a substantial lack of data about how to manage OAC-ICH.8 Current European Stroke Organisation guidelines, World Stroke Organization reviews, and American Heart Association Stroke Council recommendations only provide Level C evidence and Class II recommendations regarding treatment of OAC-ICH.3,9,10 Two of the most pressing unsettled questions are how to prevent hematoma enlargement and how to manage anticoagulation in the long-term.8,11 Consensus exists that elevated international normalized ratio (INR) levels should be reversed to minimize hematoma enlargement, yet mode, timing, and extent of INR reversal are unclear.3,9,10 Valid data on safety and clinical benefit of OAC resumption are missing and remain to be established.11
This study investigated (1) the relationship between anticoagulation reversal and blood pressure with hematoma enlargement and (2) the association of restarting anticoagulation with incidence of hemorrhagic and ischemic complications with outcomes among patients with OAC-ICH.
We chose a retrospective observational study design, and 19 tertiary care centers across Germany participated (7 university hospitals and 12 university-affiliated community hospitals; eFigure 1 in the Supplement). We collected data from all consecutive adult patients with spontaneous ICH (International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision coding: I61.xx) related to anticoagulation admitted to neurological departments between the years 2006 and 2010 with a 1-year follow-up period ending in January 2012. Specifically, the definition of OAC-ICH required effective use of vitamin K antagonists with an INR value of greater than 1.5 on hospital admission.12 We excluded ICH patients with secondary etiologies, ie, ICH related to trauma, tumor, arteriovenous malformation, aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, acute thrombolysis, or other coagulopathies. Informed consent was obtained from all patients, legal representatives, or closest relatives. Institutional review boards of all participating centers approved the study based on the central vote from the ethics committee at the University of Erlangen-Nuremberg. The study was titled RETRACE (German-wide Multicenter Analysis of Oral Anticoagulation-associated Intracerebral Hemorrhage) and was conducted on behalf of IGNITE (Initiative of German Neurointensive Trial Engagement). Figure 1 provides an overview of our 3-tiered analyses.
We extracted data on demographics, prior comorbidities, in-hospital parameters, and laboratory data through review of patients’ medical records and institutional prospective databases (see the eMethods in the Supplement for a detailed list of parameters and definitions). Review of medical records and emergency protocols determined neurological status consisting of Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), and ICH score. The CHADS2 and HAS-BLED were scored as appropriate.13,14 After the end of the study follow-up, we conducted retrospective data evaluation, which was controlled by repeated visits (≥2) of all participating centers.
We obtained follow-up data on mortality, functional outcome, long-term treatment, and complications by mailed questionnaires and—if not returned or incomplete—by semiquantitative telephone interviews. Two scale-trained physicians, certified for data collection on disability and quality of life, performed the interviews. In situations of missing contact information, a local registry office inquiry was carried out to complete outcome assessment. Cross-checking of centralized data with existing local prospective stroke registries and rehabilitation facility reports ensured data integrity.
We analyzed hematoma enlargement in relation to INR reversal and blood pressure. Hematoma enlargement was defined as a relative parenchymal volume increase of more than 33% from initial to follow-up imaging.15 We used this conservative threshold, as used in various trials,16,17 to exclude false-positive scoring due to technical variability in computed tomography imaging.15 We evaluated all available computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging scans of each patient and calculated parenchymal ICH volume according to hematoma shape, as previously described (ABC/2 and ABC/3).18,19 When comparing different imaging modalities, we used validated conversion models for precise volume calculation.20 Intraventricular hemorrhage was recorded and its extent scored by the Graeb score summation.21
We recorded all different agents and dosages used for INR reversal as well as timing and extent of achieved INR levels. Reversal treatment consisted of prothrombin complex concentrates ([PCCs] 4-factor concentrate, containing coagulation factors II, VII, IX, and X as well as protein C and S),22 fresh-frozen plasma (FFP), antithrombin, and intravenous vitamin K—eventually in combinations. The first INR value obtained after initiation of reversal treatment is referred to as first INR monitoring after reversal throughout the article. Specifically, we evaluated all available laboratory results of coagulation parameters for 72 hours after admission and chose laboratory accessioning times as data points for monitoring of serial INR values. For accuracy of data on INR reversal, the initial laboratory parameters for transferred patients were retrieved from referring hospitals. For the association of hematoma enlargement with blood pressure, we recorded mean arterial blood pressure and systolic and diastolic blood pressures in 4-hour intervals from admission for 24 hours.
Among all patients surviving acute hospitalization, we compared patients who restarted anticoagulation (referred to as OAC resumption) with patients not receiving anticoagulation (referred to as no OAC resumption). Specifically, antithrombotic therapy used exclusively vitamin K antagonists (there was no approval of thrombin and factor Xa inhibitors for stroke prevention in Germany before the end of 2011) or no oral anticoagulants (antiplatelet agents, low-dose heparins, or no pharmacological treatment). For all patients, starting time point (in days) and mode of antithrombotic treatment were recorded. Patients were counted as having resumed OAC at the time of restarted OAC or if they received active heparinization before OAC resumption.
Resumption analysis included noting during the 1-year follow-up any new ischemic events, classified as either cerebral (ischemic stroke including transient ischemic attacks) or noncerebral. The latter included peripheral arterial emboli in lungs, gastrointestinal organs, or extremities and myocardial infarction.23 Recurrent hemorrhagic events were recorded as either cerebral-parenchymal or extracranial bleedings. Extracerebral hemorrhages included gastrointestinal, intraocular, and intramuscular hemorrhage and hematuria.23 Complications, either ischemic or hemorrhagic, were noted when requiring hospitalization.
Functional outcome was evaluated using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at discharge, 3 months (short-term), and 1 year (long-term). We distinguished favorable functional outcome (mRS = 0-3) from unfavorable functional outcome (mRS = 4-6).24 For analysis of overall mortality, we censored patients who were alive at the end of the study period or recorded cause and time of death.
Analyses of hematoma enlargement used multivariable regression analysis to identify associated parameters, which were prioritized for consecutive analysis according to relative risk ratio (RR). First, receiver operating characteristics determined the highest Youden index of the best INR cut point to prevent hematoma enlargement.25 Second, we assessed optimal timing of INR reversal by analyzing categorized frequency distributions over selected INR and time intervals. We calculated an univariate logistic regression model using generalized estimating equations26 to examine the association of INR reversal with hematoma enlargement over time. Generated odds ratio (OR) estimates for various time points after initiation of reversal treatment were weighted according to available patient data and smoothed by the method of moving averages to correct for overestimation.27 Third, we investigated associations of systolic blood pressure with hematoma enlargement. We categorized blood pressure in 20–mm Hg intervals (range, <120-≥180 mm Hg) assessed (at 4-hour intervals) from time of hospital admission for 24 hours. To display the combined associations of timing and extent of INR reversal and systolic blood pressure with hematoma enlargement, we used multivariable regression analysis adjusting for associated covariates (forest plot adjusted for covariates).
Analyses of OAC resumption consisted of graphical displays comparing patients who restarted OAC vs no OAC for ischemic and hemorrhagic events of the entire cohort. Further analyses of OAC resumption were solely based on patients with atrial fibrillation. To minimize confounding by indication, we performed propensity score matching using the balanced, parallel, variable ratio (1:n) nearest-neighbor approach.28 The propensity score was calculated from parameters showing statistical associations (P < .10) with OAC resumption. Propensity-matched survival, displayed using the Kaplan-Meier method, was compared using log-rank, Breslow, and Tarone-Ware tests. Crude event and incidence rates (per 100 patient-years) for new ischemic and recurrent hemorrhagic strokes were calculated for all individuals and their total number of days receiving target therapy (OAC vs no OAC) until 1-year follow-up. To assess hazard ratios (HRs) for patients who restarted OAC for long-term mortality, we performed unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression analyses for the propensity-matched cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation; variables met assumption of proportionality.28
To identify parameters independently associated with functional long-term outcome, we calculated 3 log-binomial regression models: to describe improvement to favorable outcome for patients discharged with mRS of 4 and 5 and to display associations with unfavorable functional outcome for both the unmatched entire cohort as well as for the propensity-matched atrial fibrillation cohort.
For outcome analyses, we considered multiple imputation analyses calculated with all parameters available, ie, baseline characteristics, neurological status, imaging, in-hospital measures, and follow-up measures. Nevertheless, after careful evaluation of missing and auxiliary data for multiple imputation analyses, we decided to conduct complete case analyses for OAC resumption and long-term outcome.29
For statistical analyses, we used SPSS version 20.0 and R version 2.12.0. Statistical tests were 2-sided, and the significance level was set at α = .05 and consequently corrected for multiple comparisons by the Bonferroni method (eMethods in the Supplement).
Our study cohort consisted of 1176 patients with a complete primary data set. The study cohort was selected from screening of 10 208 consecutive patients with ICH, of whom 1322 patients had OAC-ICH (period prevalence rate of 13.0%). Details about the excluded patients (n = 146) are provided in Figure 1. Patients with OAC-ICH had a mean (SD) age of 74.1 (9.2) years, a median initial ICH volume of 19.3 cm3 (interquartile range [IQR],6.9-52.8), and a median INR level at time of hospital admission of 2.77 (IQR, 2.28-3.50). Based on the number of patients and their epidemiological, neurological, and radiological profile (eTable 1 in the Supplement), our cohort was representative of patients with OAC-ICH.11,12,30
A total of 853 patients were eligible for analysis of hematoma enlargement (Figure 1). Hematoma enlargement occurred in 307 of 853 patients (36.0%), with a median volume increase of 14.0 cm3 (IQR, 4.7-36.8), and secondary intraventricular hemorrhage in 76 of 307 patients (24.8%) (Table 1). Hematoma enlargement rates were time-dependent and occurred more often in patients admitted earlier (median split onset to initial imaging; hematoma enlargement in 137/271 [50.6%] with early imaging [<130 minutes] vs 95/278 [34.2%] with late imaging [≥130 min]; P < .001). When comparing patients with and without hematoma enlargement, there was no difference with respect to initial INR or agents used for its reversal. We noted that PCCs reversed elevated INR levels to a greater extent (absolute median INR reversal using PCCs, 1.45 [IQR, 0.97-2.10] vs FFP, 0.36 [IQR, 0.04-0.86]; P < .001); however, sample size (of patients with FFP only) was too small to draw firm conclusions regarding efficacy (Table 2). Multivariable adjustments showed that shorter duration from symptom onset to imaging (RR, 2.284; 95% CI, 1.445-2.949; P < .001), longer duration from diagnosis until treatment (RR, 1.559; 95% CI, 1.142-2.130; P = .005), deep ICH location (RR, 1.389; 95% CI, 1.012-1.905; P = .04), INR levels at first INR monitoring after reversal (RR, 2.294; 95% CI, 1.282-4.098; P = .005), systolic blood pressure at 4 hours (RR, 1.007; 95% CI, 1.002-1.014; P = .02), and history of coronary artery disease (RR, 1.531; 95% CI, 1.018-2.092; P = .007) were associated with hematoma enlargement (eTable 2 in the Supplement). Hence, there were 3 parameters susceptible to modification: time until initiation of INR reversal, extent of INR reversal, and systolic blood pressure.
We used 2 approaches to identify the “optimal” timing and extent of INR reversal. First, receiver operating characteristics analysis provided an INR value less than 1.3 with the strongest positive association to prevent hematoma enlargement (area under the curve, 0.636; 95% CI, 0.596-0.676; P < .001; Youden index: 0.228). Second, investigating different INR levels confirmed that patients reaching INR below 1.3 showed significantly fewer rates of hematoma enlargement (INR <1.3: 116/432 [26.9%] vs INR ≥1.3: 191/421 [45.4%]; P < .001). Specifically, we noted a significant relationship between timing and extent of INR reversal with frequency and relative risk of hematoma enlargement (INR levels <1.3 within 4 hours after admission: 43/217 [19.8%] vs INR ≥1.3 not within 4 hours: 264/636 [41.5%]; P < .001) (eTable 3 in the Supplement). To investigate associations of optimal timing for INR reversal (<1.3) with hematoma enlargement, we calculated an estimated OR model (Figure 2).26 Reduced hematoma enlargement was observed until 4 hours and 13 minutes (95% CI intercepts 1) with an unadjusted pooled OR of 0.37 (95% CI, 0.24-0.67; P < .001) (Figure 2). We did not observe an additional benefit of reaching INR less than 1.2. Thus, our data indicate that INR reversal to values below 1.3 achieved within 4 hours was associated with fewest rates of hematoma enlargement.
The association of blood pressure with hematoma enlargement is shown in eTable 4 in the Supplement. Systolic blood pressure values of 160 mm Hg or greater assessed 4 hours after admission showed increased rates of hematoma enlargement (<160 mm Hg: 167/504 [33.1%] vs ≥160 mm Hg: 98/187 [52.4%]; P < .001). To investigate the additional importance of systolic blood pressure, we performed 3 adjusted multivariable analyses taking into account all 5 nonmodifiable parameters associated with hematoma enlargement (eTable 2 in the Supplement). When investigating the association of the combination of the 3 modifiable parameters (extent, timing of INR reversal, blood pressure) with hematoma enlargement and imputing the variables into consecutive multivariable models, we found the following hematoma enlargement rates: for INR values less than 1.3: 116/432, or 26.9% (OR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.26-0.59; P < .001); for INR values below 1.3 achieved within 4 hours: 43/217, or 19.8% (OR, 0.27, 95% CI, 0.15-0.43; P < .001); and for INR values below 1.3 achieved within 4 hours and systolic blood pressure less than 160 mm Hg at 4 hours: 35/193, or 18.1% (OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.11-0.33; P < .001) (Figure 3).
Comparing the frequency of hematoma enlargement among patients fulfilling all 3 criteria (hematoma enlargement rate: 35/193 [18.1%]) with the remainder of the cohort (hematoma enlargement rate: 220/498 [44.2%]; OR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.19-0.42; P < .001) revealed an absolute risk difference of 26.1%, which translated into a significant absolute risk difference of 7.2% for in-hospital mortality (all 3 criteria: 26/193 [13.5%] vs not all 3 criteria: 103/498 [20.7%]; OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.37-0.95; P = .03). Therefore, adding systolic blood pressure of less than 160 mm Hg at 4 hours to INR reversal below 1.3 achieved within 4 hours was associated with further reduction in the frequency of hematoma enlargement and rate of in-hospital mortality.
Complete 1-year follow-up data were available for 719 patients discharged alive. We excluded a total of 93 patients (81 patients had missing follow-up data and 12 withdrew consent) and restricted all outcome analyses to patients with complete data at 1-year follow-up (Figure 1). Oral anticoagulation was restarted in 172 of 719 patients (23.9%), with the highest rates noted among patients with mechanical heart valves (34/50 [68.0%]); the rate among patients with atrial fibrillation was 19.4% (110/566) (eTable 5 in the Supplement). Median time until OAC resumption was 31 days (IQR, 18-65). Within analysis of all surviving patients, we observed ischemic complications significantly more often without OAC resumption as compared with patients who did restart (OAC: 9/172 [5.2%] vs no OAC: 82/547 [15.0%]; P < .001). In contrast, the rate of hemorrhagic complications was not significantly different (OAC: 14/172 [8.1%] vs no OAC: 36/547 [6.6%]; P = .48) (Figure 4).
Atrial fibrillation is the major indication for anticoagulation, clinically of increasing relevance, and patients with atrial fibrillation represented the largest subgroup (n = 566) within our study population. Thus, we based all further analyses of OAC resumption on patients with atrial fibrillation. Within this subgroup, patients who restarted OAC showed a significantly decreased mortality (OAC: 9/110 [8.2%] vs no OAC: 171/456 [37.5%]; P < .001) and a reduced rate of ischemic complications (OAC: 6/110 [5.5%] vs no OAC: 68/456 [14.9%]; P = .008), and rates of hemorrhagic complications were not different (OAC: 8/110 [7.3%] vs no OAC: 26/456 [5.7%]; P = .53) (eFigure 2 in the Supplement). Furthermore, we noticed significant differences in baseline characteristics. Specifically, patients who resumed OAC were significantly younger and less severely affected at time of admission and showed superior functional status at time of discharge (eTable 6 in the Supplement).
To minimize confounding, we carried out propensity score matching for factors showing a statistical association with resumption status. The matching resulted in 2 evenly balanced cohorts of patients with atrial fibrillation (range of standardized mean differences, 0.01-0.07) (eTable 7 in the Supplement). When comparing stroke incidence of the matched cohort, we noted a significantly decreased rate of cerebral infarctions (incidence rate per 100 patient-years) for patients who restarted OAC within this matched analysis (OAC: 3.9/100 patient-years [95% CI, 1.9-5.8] vs no OAC: 12.7/100 patient-years [95% CI, 6.5-19.1]; P = .02) (eTable 8 in the Supplement). Recurrent ICH occurred without a statistical difference between patients who restarted or did not restart OAC (OAC: 3.9/100 patient-years [95% CI, 1.9-5.8] vs no OAC: 3.9/100 patient-years [95% CI, 2.2-5.7]; P = .92). Mortality analyses of the matched cohort at 1 year showed that 9 of 108 restarted patients (8.3%) vs 47 of 153 patients without OAC (30.7%) had died (P < .001) (Figure 5). This large difference of more than 22% triggered a multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis for long-term mortality of the matched atrial fibrillation cohort. Among patients who restarted OAC treatment, there was a significantly decreased HR for long-term mortality of 0.258 (95% CI, 0.125-0.534; P < .001) (eTable 9 in the Supplement).
Investigation of long-term functional outcomes used the entire cohort (n = 1176), and mortality was 364 of 1176 (31.0%) at hospital discharge, 475 of 1102 (43.1%) at 3 months, and 608 of 1083 (56.1%) after 1 year (Figure 6). Of all deceased patients during follow-up, 224 of 244 patients (91.8%) were discharged with a functional status of 4 or 5 on the mRS, and of these poor-grade discharged patients, 224 of 511 died (43.8%). Unfavorable functional outcome (mRS = 4-6) was observed in 928 of 1176 patients (78.9%) at time of discharge and decreased to 786 of 1083 patients (72.6%) at 1 year. Hence, the proportion of patients reaching favorable functional outcome increased only by 6.3% during follow-up.
To identify factors in poor-grade survivors (mRS = 4-5) associated with long-term improvement (change to mRS = 0-3), we performed a multivariable analysis and identified the following independent parameters associated with lack of improvement during follow-up: age (RR, 0.968; 95% CI, 0.945-0.993; P = .01), neurological status (NIHSS, RR: 0.956; 95% CI, 0.922-0.992; P = .02), ICH volume (RR: 0.576; 95% CI, 0.334-0.994; P = .04), and new ischemic stroke (RR: 0.113; 95% CI, 0.016-0.792; P = .03). Only higher hemoglobin levels at time of admission was significantly associated with functional improvement (RR: 1.197; 95% CI, 1.070-1.338; P = .002) (eTable 10 in the Supplement).
Analysis of unfavorable long-term outcome showed associations for parameters similar to those established for spontaneous ICH (eTable 11 and eTable 12 in the Supplement).31 When investigating independent associations of unfavorable functional long-term outcome in the unmatched cohort, we noted an increased risk for both new ischemic stroke and recurrent ICH (ischemic stroke: 45/63 [71.4%] vs no ischemic stroke: 384/656 [58.5%]; RR, 1.554; 95% CI, 1.101-2.419; P = .02; recurrent ICH: 27/30 [90.0%] vs no ICH: 394/689 [57.2%]; RR, 2.884; 95% CI, 1.203-8.636; P = .03). The only parameter significantly associated with a decreased RR for unfavorable functional long-term outcome was OAC resumption (OAC: 54/172 [31.4%] vs no OAC: 367/547 [67.1%]; RR, 0.330; 95% CI, 0.205-0.531; P < .001).
To reduce possible confounding of these results, we calculated a multivariable model of the matched cohort in patients with atrial fibrillation to analyze functional outcome (eTable 13 in the Supplement). Analogous to findings of the unmatched entire cohort, we noticed independent associations for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke with unfavorable outcome (ischemic stroke 13/20 [65.0%] vs no ischemic stroke: 98/241 [40.7%]; RR, 1.432; 95% CI, 1.055-1.943; P = .02 and hemorrhagic stroke: ICH: 8/9 [88.9%] vs no ICH: 103/252 [40.9%]; RR, 2.581; 95% CI, 1.708-3.900; P < .001), whereas age, ICH volume, and intraventricular hemorrhage were no longer significantly associated. In contrast, OAC resumption was independently related to a decreased risk of unfavorable outcome at 1 year (OAC: 30/108 [27.8%] vs no OAC: 91/153 [52.9%]; RR, 0.552; 95% CI, 0.394-0.775; P = .001). The propensity-matched and adjusted analyses provided results with reduced bias and confounding. Hence, there was a decreased ischemic stroke incidence and decreased risk of experiencing unfavorable functional long-term outcomes among patients who restarted OAC therapy after OAC-ICH.
Comparing baseline characteristics of patients lost to follow-up with those of patients included for complete case analyses did not show a statistically significant difference regarding all evaluated parameters (eTable 14 in the Supplement). A multiple imputation analysis (eTable 15) resulted in increasing incidences of both ischemic and hemorrhagic complications (introduction of 83 new events: 34 ischemic and 49 hemorrhagic) while mortality and functional outcome would paradoxically decrease at 1-year follow-up. Thus, we conducted complete case analyses to evaluate associations of OAC resumption and long-term outcome.
The study represents the largest cohort of patients with OAC-ICH to date and reports 2 clinically valuable associations. First, rates of hematoma enlargement were decreased in patients with INR values reversed below 1.3 within 4 hours of admission and systolic blood pressures of less than 160 mm Hg at 4 hours. Second, rates of ischemic events were decreased among patients who restarted OAC without increased rates of bleeding complications.
The occurrence of hematoma enlargement is an established risk factor for poor outcome in both primary and OAC-associated ICH.6,17,24 Pharmacological interventions targeting hemostasis or blood pressure lowering have been shown to prevent hematoma enlargement in primary ICH; however, the effects on clinical end points are uncertain.16,32,33 In OAC-ICH, the pathophysiological mechanism of hematoma enlargement is complex,8 its occurrence protracted and mainly driven by altered coagulation.6,7 This difference from primary ICH constitutes a target for aggressive medical treatment to minimize hematoma enlargement and possibly affect outcome.6,7 Although it seems warranted to prospectively investigate the optimal INR reversal and its influence on clinical end points after OAC-ICH, it appears unlikely that sufficiently powered randomized trials will be realized (including a trial of whether PCCs sustain their benefit as an easily available and timely treatment compared with FFP34,35).
The clinical risks and benefits of restarting anticoagulation after OAC-ICH remain intensely debated and were recently revived by data from the CHIRONE study.11 Patients with ICH have an elevated risk for recurrent ICH,36 which may be increased by restarting OAC.11 However, our data strengthen previous findings that patients restarting OAC do not show greater risk for recurrent ICH.30 Based on a considerably high thromboembolic risk without OAC12,37 (CHADS2 score ≥2 in 79% of our patients), the increased incidence rate of ischemic stroke observed with our propensity-matched analyses argue in favor of OAC resumption. Only a randomized trial, at least using cluster randomization, will settle the question about which stroke type is clinically more significant: increased rates of ischemic stroke vs lower rates of recurrent, possibly more severe ICH.11,12,30 In this regard, the use of new anticoagulants may further decline risk of recurrent ICH and—given acceptable adherence rates—also the hesitation about resuming anticoagulation38 counterbalancing self-fulfilling outcome evolutions.39
The present study has several strengths, including a large sample size with 1-year follow-up data from 19 tertiary care centers. Analyses exploited rigorous statistical means to correct for bias and confounding. Nevertheless, some drawbacks limit the interpretation of our findings, the first its retrospective nature, which attenuated data quality. With regards to the determination of hematoma volume and presence of hematoma enlargement, some imprecisions in exact volume assessment remain because the measurements were not computer-assisted. The association of systolic blood pressure with hematoma enlargement may have been influenced by compensatory mechanisms to maintain cerebral perfusion pressure in a subset of patients.40 Moreover, blood pressure values were not assessed continuously, which left room for uncertainty between the obtained 4-hour intervals.
Comparable with recursive partitioning, our analyses of hematoma enlargement used sequential analyses, leaving room for arbitrariness of used subdivision-related cut points. Hence, this statistical approach may only reflect the characteristics of this study population, which highlights the need for external validation of the reported results by independent populations. With regards to our findings on long-term outcome as well as safety and efficacy of OAC resumption, missing data for patients lost to follow-up potentially biased results. We favored complete-case analyses instead of multiple imputations as comprehensive and meaningful auxiliary may not have been fully assessed (eTable 14 and eTable 15 in the Supplement). Large confidence intervals may reflect certain data instability. We only included ischemic and hemorrhagic events leading to hospitalization and did not longitudinally balance the clinical importance of these events. Although propensity matching minimized confounding by indication, residual bias of parameters not investigated as well as healthy cohort and center effects may not be fully excluded.28 Finally, long-term follow-up information may have been influenced by erroneously answered questionnaires affecting the validity of mRS estimation.
Among patients with OAC-associated ICH, reversal of INR below 1.3 within 4 hours and systolic blood pressure less than 160 mm Hg at 4 hours were associated with lower rates of hematoma enlargement, and resumption of anticoagulant therapy was associated with lower risk of ischemic events without increased bleeding complications. These retrospective findings require replication and assessment in prospective studies.
Corresponding Author: Hagen B. Huttner, MD, Department of Neurology, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Schwabachanlage 6, 91054 Erlangen, Germany (email@example.com).
Author Contributions: Drs Kuramatsu and Huttner had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Study concept and design: Kuramatsu, Schellinger, Erbguth, Schwab, Huttner.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Kuramatsu, Gerner, Schellinger, Glahn, Endres, Sobesky, Flechsenhar, Neugebauer, Jüttler, Grau, Palm, Röther, Michels, Hamann, Hüwel, Hagemann, Barber, Terborg, Trostdorf, Bäzner, Roth, Wöhrle, Keller, Schwarz, Reimann, Volkmann, Müllges, Kraft, Classen, Hobohm, Horn, Milewski, Reichmann, Schneider, Schimmel, Fink, Dohmen, Stetefeld, Witte, Günther, Neumann-Haefelin, Racs, Nueckel, Erbguth, Kloska, Doerfler, Köhrmann, Huttner.
Drafting of the manuscript: Kuramatsu, Schellinger, Jüttler, Huttner.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Kuramatsu, Gerner, Schellinger, Glahn, Endres, Sobesky, Flechsenhar, Neugebauer, Jüttler, Grau, Palm, Röther, Michels, Hamann, Hüwel, Hagemann, Barber, Terborg, Trostdorf, Bäzner, Roth, Wöhrle, Keller, Schwarz, Reimann, Volkmann, Müllges, Kraft, Classen, Hobohm, Horn, Milewski, Reichmann, Schneider, Schimmel, Fink, Dohmen, Stetefeld, Witte, Günther, Neumann-Haefelin, Racs, Nueckel, Erbguth, Kloska, Doerfler, Köhrmann, Schwab, Huttner.
Statistical analysis: Kuramatsu, Schellinger, Huttner.
Obtained funding: Kuramatsu, Huttner.
Administrative, technical, or material support: Kuramatsu, Gerner, Glahn, Flechsenhar, Neugebauer, Jüttler, Grau, Palm, Röther, Michels, Hamann, Hüwel, Barber, Terborg, Trostdorf, Roth, Wöhrle, Müllges, Kraft, Classen, Hobohm, Reichmann, Schneider, Schimmel, Fink, Dohmen, Stetefeld, Witte, Neumann-Haefelin, Racs, Nueckel, Kloska, Doerfler, Schwab, Huttner.
Study supervision: Kuramatsu, Schellinger, Jüttler, Wöhrle, Classen, Horn, Erbguth, Schwab, Huttner.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: All authors have completed and submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Dr Kuramatsu reported having received travel grants from EMCools, Otsuka, and Boehringer Ingelheim and speaker honoraria from Otsuka. Dr Schellinger reported having received fees from BMS Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer, Cerevast, and Covidien. Dr Endres reported having received grants from Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG), Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF), the European Union (EU), Volkswagen Foundation, Corona Foundation, Bayer, AstraZeneca, and Roche and personal fees from Bayer, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Sanofi, MSD, AstraZeneca, Boston Scientific, Ever, Novartis, GlaxoSmithKline, Roche, and Deutsches Zentrum für Neurodegenerative Erkrankungen (DZNE). Dr Neugebauer reported having received received travel grants from Boehringer Ingelheim and Bristol-Myers Squibb. Dr Jüttler reported having received speaking fees from Boehringer and BMS Pfizer, traveling grants from Boehringer, and a research grant from Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) for the DESTINY II study. Dr Bäzner reported having received speaking fees from Bayer Vital and Boehringer Ingelheim. Dr Wöhrle reported having received fees from Boehringer Ingelheim and Daiichi Sankyo Deutschland. Dr Schwarz reported having received grants from Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG), Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF), and the European Union (EU) and fees from Bristol-Myers Squibb, GlaxoSmithKline, Merz Pharmazeuticals, Novartis Pharma, Orion Pharma, Pharmacia, Roche, Sanofi, Teva Pharma, and UCB Pharma. Dr Volkmann reported having received grants from Medtronic and Boston Scientific and fees from Medtronic, St Jude, Boston Scientific, UCB, Merz, Allergan, Teva, Novartis, and AbbVie. Dr Müllges reported having received fees from Bayer and Boehringer Ingelheim. Dr Hobohm reported having received speaking fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer, Boston Scientific, and Daiichi Sankyo Deutschland. Dr Fink reported having receivedhonoraria for lectures at educational or scientific symposia from Boehringer Ingelheim and Bayer; honoraria for speaking engagements from Bayer, Teva, GlaxoSmithKline, and Boehringer Ingelheim; and research support from the Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung, the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, the Volkswagen-Stiftung, and the Marga and Walter Boll Foundation. Dr Dohmen reported having received speaking fees from Bayer, UCB, Daiichi Sankyo, and Pfizer. Dr Erbguth reported having received advisory board and speaking honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer, Pfizer, BMS, UCB, Sanofi, Meda, Allergan, Ipsen, and Merz. Dr Köhrmann reported having received speaker honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim, BMS, Pfizer, Bayer Healthcare, Sanofi, and Novartis. Dr Huttner reported having received speaker honoraria and travel grants from Boehringer Ingelheim and Bayer Healthcare.
Funding/Support: This work was supported by a research grant (FWN/Zo-Hutt/2011) from the Johannes and Frieda Marohn Foundation, University of Erlangen, Germany.
Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The sponsor had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Group Information: The German-wide Multicenter Analysis of Oral Anticoagulation-associated Intracerebral Hemorrhage (RETRACE) investigators performed this study on behalf of IGNITE (Initiative of German Neurointensive Trial Engagement).
Additional Contributions: We thank Inken Martin, MD, PhD (Victor Chang Cardiac Research Institute, Sydney, Australia), and Jochen K. Lennerz, MD, PhD (Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston), for critically proofreading the manuscript, as well as Martin Radespiel-Tröger, MD, PhD (Population Based Cancer Registry Bavaria, University Hospital Erlangen, Germany), for helping with statistical analyses. We thank Antje Milker, MD, and Petra Burkhard, PhD (University of Erlangen, Germany), as well as Ralph Werner, MD (Koblenz, Germany), for helping with logistics and data monitoring and Olaf Bergmann, MD, PhD (Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden), for valuable discussions. None of these persons received any compensation for their contributions.
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