The risk ratios (RRs) were determined using the Mantel-Haenszel random-effects model. Square data markers represent RRs, with marker size reflecting the statistical weight of the study using random-effects meta-analysis; horizontal lines, 95% CIs; diamond, the overall RR and 95% CI for the outcome of interest.
eTable 1. Definitions of outcomes
eTable 2. Search strategy
eTable 3. Inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria of including trials
eTable 4. Support for judgement for included trials rated as high risk of bias
eTable 5. Sensitivity analyses
eFigure 1. Risk of bias summary
eFigure 2. Risk of bias graph
eFigure 3. Trial sequential analysis for 28 days mortality
eFigure 4. Trial sequential analysis for 90 days mortality
eFigure 5. Funnel plot for 28 days mortality
eFigure 6. Subgroup analysis for 28 days mortality–based on dose of corticosteroid
eFigure 7. Subgroup analysis for 28 days mortality–based on treatment duration
eFigure 8. Subgroup analysis for 28 days mortality–based on sepsis population subtype
eFigure 9. Subgroup analysis for 28 days mortality–based on type of corticosteroids
eFigure 10. Subgroup analysis for 28 days mortality–based on control group mortality
eFigure 11. Meta-regression for 28-day mortality outcome by control group mortality
eFigure 12. Meta-regression for 28-day mortality outcome by year of study publication
eFigure 13. Forest plot for 90-day mortality
eFigure 14. Forest plot for ICU mortality
eFigure 15. Forest plot for hospital morality
eFigure 16. Forest plot for length of stay in hospital
eFigure 17. Forest plot for length of stay in ICU
eFigure 18. Forest plot for shock reversal at day 7
eFigure 19. Forest plot for SOFA score at day 7
eFigure 20. Forest plot for time to resolution of shock
eFigure 21. Forest plot for vasopressor-free day to day 28
eFigure 22. Forest plot for ventilation-free day to day 28
eFigure 23. Forest plot for any severe adverse event
eFigure 24. Forest plot for gastroduodenal bleeding
eFigure 25. Forest plot for superinfections
eFigure 26. Forest plot for hyperglycemia
eFigure 27. Forest plot for hypernatremia
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Fang F, Zhang Y, Tang J, et al. Association of Corticosteroid Treatment With Outcomes in Adult Patients With Sepsis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA Intern Med. 2019;179(2):213–223. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.5849
Are corticosteroids associated with a reduction in 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis?
In this systematic review and meta-analysis of 37 randomized clinical trials that included 9564 patients with sepsis, administration of corticosteroids was associated with reduced 28-day mortality. Corticosteroids were also significantly associated with increased shock reversal at day 7 and vasopressor-free days and with decreased intensive care unit length of stay, the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at day 7, and time to resolution of shock.
The findings suggest that administration of corticosteroid treatment in patients with sepsis is associated with significant improvement in health care outcomes and thus with reduced 28-day mortality.
Although corticosteroids are widely used for adults with sepsis, both the overall benefit and potential risks remain unclear.
To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the efficacy and safety of corticosteroids in patients with sepsis.
Data Sources and Study Selection
MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched from inception until March 20, 2018, and updated on August 10, 2018. The terms corticosteroids, sepsis, septic shock, hydrocortisone, controlled trials, and randomized controlled trial were searched alone or in combination. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) were included that compared administration of corticosteroids with placebo or standard supportive care in adults with sepsis.
Data Extraction and Synthesis
Meta-analyses were conducted using a random-effects model to calculate risk ratios (RRs) and mean differences (MDs) with corresponding 95% CIs. Two independent reviewers completed citation screening, data abstraction, and risk assessment.
Main Outcomes and Measures
This meta-analysis included 37 RCTs (N = 9564 patients). Eleven trials were rated as low risk of bias. Corticosteroid use was associated with reduced 28-day mortality (RR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82-0.98; I2 = 27%) and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality (RR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.77-0.94; I2 = 0%) and in-hospital mortality (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.99; I2 = 38%). Corticosteroids were significantly associated with increased shock reversal at day 7 (MD, 1.95; 95% CI, 0.80-3.11) and vasopressor-free days (MD, 1.95; 95% CI, 0.80-3.11) and with ICU length of stay (MD, −1.16; 95% CI, −2.12 to −0.20), the sequential organ failure assessment score at day 7 (MD, −1.38; 95% CI, −1.87 to −0.89), and time to resolution of shock (MD, −1.35; 95% CI, −1.78 to −0.91). However, corticosteroid use was associated with increased risk of hyperglycemia (RR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30) and hypernatremia (RR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.24-1.99).
Conclusions and Relevance
The findings suggest that administration of corticosteroids is associated with reduced 28-day mortality compared with placebo use or standard supportive care. More research is needed to associate personalized medicine with the corticosteroid treatment to select suitable patients who are more likely to show a benefit.
Sepsis is defined as a life-threatening host response to infection that may culminate in organ failure and death.1-3 The incidence of sepsis is 535 cases per 100 000 person-years. The in-hospital mortality in the presence of sepsis ranges from 30% to 45%.4-6 Concomitant with early hemodynamic and respiratory support and appropriate antibiotic administration, since the mid-20th century, corticosteroids have been used as adjuvant therapy in the context of sepsis.7,8 Although evaluated in numerous randomized clinical trials (RCTs), both the safety and efficacy of corticosteroids remains controversial.7,8 Various systematic reviews and meta-analyses have either confirmed9,10 or refuted11-13 any survival benefit. A recent Cochrane meta-analysis suggested that low-dose corticosteroids may be associated with reduced mortality in patients with sepsis.9 In parallel, an additional systematic review concluded that there is no beneficial effect of high-dose or low-dose corticosteroids for treatment of sepsis.11 The conclusions of both reviews emphasized low9 or very low11 certainty in the evidence, limited by risk of bias,11 inconsistency,9,11 imprecision,9,11 and publication bias.9 Because of the low quality of available evidence, current clinical practice guidelines provide only a weak recommendation for the use of hydrocortisone in patients with septic shock if adequate fluid resuscitation and treatment with vasopressors have not restored hemodynamic stability.8
In 2018, 2 large RCTs14,15 reported comprehensive analyses of the uses of corticosteroids in patients with sepsis. These trials included more than 5000 combined patients, a larger sample than all the previous RCTs. The 2 trials yielded different results. In the Activated Protein C and Corticosteroids for Human Septic Shock (APROCCHSS) trial, hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone given at low doses reduced 90-day mortality among patients with septic shock.14 In the Adjunctive Corticosteroid Treatment in Critically Ill Patients with Septic Shock (ADRENAL) trial, a continuous infusion of hydrocortisone in patients undergoing mechanical ventilation did not result in lower mortality compared with patients receiving a placebo.15 These 2 trials had significant differences in the severity of illness (mortality in the control group, 28.8% vs 49.1%), the type of administered corticosteroids (hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone vs hydrocortisone), method of drug administration (intermittent boluses vs continuous), and associated medical conditions when sepsis developed (in patient after a surgical admission vs patients with pneumonia).
The uncertainty about the efficacy of corticosteroids among patients with sepsis has resulted in a wide variation in clinical practice.16 This finding was the impetus for this systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature on the efficacy and safety of corticosteroid administration in patients with sepsis.
The study protocol was conducted following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols (PRISMA-P) guidelines17 and according to the protocol registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42018095867). The methods and reporting of the systematic review followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.18
Eligible studies met the following PICOS (participants, interventions, comparators, outcomes, and study design) criteria. The population of interest included adults (age ≥18 years) who were diagnosed with sepsis, severe sepsis, or septic shock, or any combinations thereof.19,20 The intervention included any type of corticosteroid, including but not limited to hydrocortisone, methylprednisolone, betamethasone, and dexamethasone, compared with placebo or standard supportive care (which may have included antibiotics, fluid replacement, inotropic or vasopressor therapy, mechanical ventilation, or dialysis, if needed). The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. In-hospital or intensive care unit (ICU) mortality rates were used to compute the pooled analysis on 28-day mortality unless actual 28-day mortality rates were reported or were obtained from study authors. Secondary outcomes were ICU mortality, in-hospital mortality, and 90-day mortality. Shock reversal at day 7 was also studied, as well as the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) (score range, 0 to 24 with acute change of 2 points indicating organ dysfunction) score at day 7, ICU length of stay, hospital length of stay, health-related quality of life (reported by patients), time to shock reversal, vasopressor-free days to day 28, and ventilation-free days to day 28. Adverse events included any severe adverse event, gastroduodenal bleeding, superinfections, hyperglycemia, and hypernatremia. The definitions of outcomes are presented in eTable 1 in the Supplement. Only RCTs (including quasi-randomized trials and crossover trials) were included.
Studies were excluded if they were case reports, case series, or observational studies; the intervention included topical or inhaled corticosteroids; and all patients received corticosteroids.
The search strategy was developed and executed in consultation with an experienced research librarian (P.X.) and was independently peer-reviewed by a nonauthor second librarian. MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched electronically from inception until March 20, 2018, and updated on August 10, 2018. The World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform was consulted regarding any ongoing studies or the availability of completed studies with reported results. The conference proceedings from the Society of Critical Care Medicine, American Thoracic Society, and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine were also queried. To maximize the search for relevant articles, reference lists of RCTs were reviewed, as well as review articles and systematic reviews on the same topic. Language or publication status restrictions were not used.
The terms corticosteroids, sepsis, septic shock, hydrocortisone, controlled trials, and randomized controlled trial were searched alone or in combination. The details of the search strategy are presented in eTable 2 in the Supplement.
Two independent investigators (R.T. and T.L.) screened the titles and abstracts to determine whether the citation met eligibility criteria. They screened the full text for potentially relevant trials when both agreed that a citation met the eligibility criteria. Chance-adjusted interviewer agreement (κ statistic) was calculated. Disagreements between the investigators were resolved by consensus and, if necessary, consultation with a third investigator (F.F.). The corresponding authors were contacted to obtain missing information and unpublished data when needed to assess the inclusion criteria or when suitable data were not available.
Two independent investigators (R.T. and T.L.) extracted data from the included RCTs into standardized collection forms and created tables for the evidence and outcomes. Disagreements between the 2 reviewers were resolved by consensus and, if necessary, consultation with a third investigator (F.F.).
Two independent investigators (R.T. and T.L.) performed risk assessment using the Cochrane Collaboration risk of bias tool.21 The included RCTs were assessed for (1) random-sequence generation, (2) allocation sequence concealment, (3) blinding of participants and personnel, (4) blinding of outcome assessment, (5) completeness of outcome data, (6) selective reporting, and (7) other sources of bias. Each domain was assessed as low, unclear, or high risk of bias. The highest risk of bias for any criteria was used to reflect the overall risk of bias for the study.
The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) approach was used to rate the quality of evidence and generate absolute estimates of effect for the outcomes.22 Detailed GRADE guidance was used to assess the overall risk of bias, inconsistency, imprecision, indirectness, and publication bias and to summarize results in an evidence profile.
The statistical analyses were performed using RevMan, version 5.3.3 (Cochrane Collaboration), and the meta package in R, version 3.4.3 (R Project for Statistical Computing). The random-effects model was used for all analyses. Dichotomous variables were analyzed using the Mantel-Haenszel method and were expressed as risk ratios (RRs). Continuous variables were analyzed using the inverse variance random-effects model and were expressed as mean differences. A 2-tailed P value of less than 0.05 was set for statistical significance. Heterogeneity was assessed using with the χ2 test and the I2 test, with I2 greater than 50% being considered substantial.23 The possibility of publication bias was assessed by visual estimate of funnel plot and by the regression test of Egger test, Begg test, and Harbord test when 10 or more trials were pooled.24 The approach for incorporating crossover trials was to include only data from the first period.
A trial sequential analysis was conducted to explore whether cumulative data were adequately powered to evaluate outcomes. This analysis was performed using trial sequential analysis software, version 0.9.5.9 (Centre for Clinical Intervention Research).25 The required information size was calculated, and the trial sequential monitoring boundaries were computed using the O’Brien-Fleming approach. An optimal information size was considered as a 2-sided 5% risk of a type I error, 20% risk of a type II error (power of 80%), relative risk reduction of 20%, and the pooled control group event rate across the included studies.
Subgroup analyses were planned for the following variables: (1) dose of corticosteroid (high dose [defined as ≥400 mg/d of hydrocortisone or equivalent26] and low dose [defined as <400 mg/d]); (2) treatment duration (short [<4 days] and long [≥4 days]); (3) sepsis subtype (sepsis, sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome, sepsis and community-acquired pneumonia, septic shock, and severe sepsis); (4) type of corticosteroids used (hydrocortisone, hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone, dexamethasone, betamethasone, methylprednisolone, or prednisolone); and (5) mortality in the control group (high [≥40%] and low [<40%]).
Sensitivity analyses were conducted for the primary outcome by (1) excluding trials only reported as abstracts, (2) excluding trials published before 2000, (3) using fixed-effect models, (4) excluding trials that reported ICU mortality or in-hospital mortality to replace 28-day mortality, (5) excluding trials with non-low risk of bias, (6) excluding trials with fewer than 10 events, (7) excluding trials with fewer than 200 patients, (8) using the adjusted odds ratios, RRs, and hazard ratios with the generic inverse variance method.
Figure 1 shows the study selection process. Of the 9939 results, 37 RCTs14,15,27-62 that enrolled a total of 9564 patients were included in the final meta-analysis. There was close agreement between the reviewers on the review of full-text articles (κ = 0.78).
Table 1 and eTable 4 in the Supplement present the main characteristics of selected studies. The studies were published from 1963 to 2018. Population sizes ranged from 26 to 3800 patients. Fifteen trials were multicenter.14,15,29-31,33,36,39,44,46,50,51,55,59,63 Two trials35,41 were published as abstracts. Eighteen trials14,15,28,29,33-36,38,40,41,43,46-48,55,58,61 included patients with septic shock. One trial42 used a standard therapy as the control to compare with corticosteroids, and others used a placebo. Thirty-two trials14,15,33-61,64,65 investigated the use of low-dose corticosteroids, whereas 7 trials27-32,63 studied the effects of high-dose corticosteroids. Twenty-one trials15,33-35,38-42,46-48,51,53,55,56,58-61,63 investigated the use of hydrocortisone; 3 trials,14,36,45 hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone; 4 trials,30,32,44,54 prednisolone; 4 trials,43,50,64,65 dexamethasone; 6 trials,30-32,44,54,57 methylprednisolone; and 1 trial,27 betamethasone. Two trials28,29 tested effects of dexamethasone and methylprednisolone. The daily dose of corticosteroid varied between 30 mg/kg and 600 mg/kg of hydrocortisone (or equivalent26).
Risk-of-bias assessments are reported in eFigures 1 and 2 in the Supplement. Eleven trials had a low risk of bias, 12 trails had an unclear risk, and 14 trials were considered to have a high risk. Key findings of the GRADE assessment of certainty for each outcome are shown in Table 2.
Thirty-four trials with 8699 patients reported 28-day mortality. Overall, 28-day mortality was 26.3% in the patients taking corticosteroids and 29.2% in the patients not taking corticosteroids. The RR (0.90; 95% CI, 0.82-0.98; I2 = 27%) (Figure 2) revealed an association between corticosteroid therapy and improved 28-day mortality. Trial sequential analysis confirmed that the required information size was met for mortality at 28 days (eFigure 3 in the Supplement). Funnel plot analysis suggested some asymmetry (eFigure 5 in the Supplement), and the Egger test (P = .001), Begg test (P = .002), and Harbord test (P = .02) detected significant publication bias.
eFigures 13-27 in the Supplement give the forest plots for secondary outcomes. Corticosteroids were associated with significant benefit for in-hospital mortality (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.99) and ICU mortality (RR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.77-0.94, I2 = 0%), whereas there was no statistically significant difference in 90-day mortality between groups (3 trials: RR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.85-1.03, I2 = 27%).
Nine trials provided data on the SOFA score at day 7. The mean difference (MD) in the SOFA score at day 7 was −1.38 (95% CI, −1.87 to −0.89), with patients receiving corticosteroids having lower scores. Fourteen studies reported that shock reversed at day 7 (RR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.12-1.35), with patients receiving corticosteroids having greater likelihood of reversal of shock. Pooled estimates suggested a marked decrease in ICU length of stay (MD, −1.16; 95% CI, −2.12 to −0.20) and time to resolution of shock (MD, −1.35; 95% CI, −1.78 to −0.91) and a significant increase of vasopressor-free days to day 28 (MD, 1.95; 95% CI, 0.80-3.11) but not ventilation-free days to day 28 (MD, 2.03; 95% CI, −0.38 to 4.44). There was no association between corticosteroids and duration of hospital stay (MD, −0.6; 95% CI, −2.25 to 1.04). To our knowledge, no trial has reported quality of life.
The incidences of hyperglycemia (RR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30) and hypernatremia (RR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.24-1.99) were higher in the corticosteroid group compared with the control group. Rates of any severe adverse event, gastroduodenal bleeding, and superinfection were not statistically different between treatment groups.
Similar results were observed for 28-day mortality in all conducted sensitivity analyses excluding studies only reported as abstracts, published earlier than 2000, that reported ICU mortality or in-hospital mortality, with non-low risk of bias, with fewer than 10 events, with fewer than 200 patients, using fixed-effect models and using odds ratios with the generic inverse variance method (eTable 6 in the Supplement).
Subgroup analysis revealed that 28-day mortality was significantly lower in patients taking corticosteroids among the long-course treatment trials, low-dose corticosteroids trials, and trials with low-risk bias (Table 3 and eFigures 6-10 in the Supplement). In the meta-regression analysis exploring the effects of potential sources of heterogeneity (ie, dose of corticosteroids, treatment duration, sepsis population subtype, type of corticosteroids, disease severity, and year of publication), a significant subgroup effect was not found. The meta-regression scatterplots of published year and control groups mortality in the control groups are presented in eFigures 11 and 12 in the Supplement.
In this meta-analysis of 37 RCTs (including 9564 patients), corticosteroid treatment was significantly associated with reduced 28-day mortality, ICU mortality, and in-hospital mortality among patients with sepsis. However, this survival benefit was not replicated with 90-day mortality. Subgroup analyses based on treatment modalities demonstrated that the beneficial effect in 28-day mortality was associated with the use of low-dose corticosteroids. The association with 28-day mortality was not observed with high-dose corticosteroids. However, meta-regression did not demonstrate a credible association for any of the subgroup differences.
This meta-analysis showed that the use of corticosteroids in sepsis was associated with a significant increase in shock reversal and vasopressor-free days to day 28 and with a marked decrease in ICU length of stay, SOFA score at 7 days, and time to resolution of shock. However, corticosteroid treatment was not associated with shorter hospital length of stay or fewer ventilation-free days to day 28. To our knowledge, no trial has reported quality of life.
This meta-analysis also showed no association between significant adverse effects and corticosteroid treatment when comparing rates of gastroduodenal bleeding, superinfection, or any severe adverse event. Corticosteroid administration was associated with an increased risk of hypernatremia and hyperglycemia.
Several meta-analyses have examined the use of corticosteroids in patients with sepsis. However, the results were contradictory and were limited by the small size of the trials. In 2009, Annane et al13 identified 12 eligible trials and found no significant association of corticosteroid treatment with 28-day mortality, hospital mortality, or ICU mortality in severe sepsis or septic shock. In 2015, Annane et al9 published a Cochrane systematic review including a total of 33 trials randomizing 4428 patients. Findings in this review showed that corticosteroid treatment was associated with reduced all-course 28-day mortality (RR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.76-1.00).9 In parallel, an additional systematic review by Volbeda et al11 included 35 trials and 4682 patients. Conversely, corticosteroids were not statistically significantly associated with mortality (RR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.74-1.08).11 The results of their meta-analyses were limited owing to imprecision (total information is smaller than the calculated optimal information size), inconsistency (significant heterogeneity across trial results), published bias, and risk of bias.
The findings of this meta-analysis of the association of corticosteroid administration with improved 28-day mortality contrasts with results of previous publications. This difference in part may be explained by additionally including 6 RCTs14,15,58-61 published after 2015, a feature that accounted for 62.6% (5986 of 9564 patients) of the total number of patients. Moreover, previous meta-analyses pooled only small RCTs, whereas this study included the 2 largest RCTs14,15 available in the literature. The data from these studies helped reinforce the findings, meet the minimum information size required in trial sequential analysis, decrease the heterogeneity, and provide improved precision concerning the treatment effects of corticosteroid therapy.
After this study was submitted for initial review, an additional meta-analysis66 was published. This meta-analysis compared low-dose corticosteroids with placebo in adults with septic shock but found that both short-term and longer-term mortality were unaffected by low-dose corticosteroids. That study differs from the present study in several ways. First, our study included more studies because trials of any dose of corticosteroids for sepsis were reviewed, whereas the other study focused on trials of low-dose corticosteroids for septic shock. Second, the primary outcome of the other study was short-term mortality (defined as death within 90 days), whereas the primary outcome of this study was 28-day mortality. Thus, the studies extracted different data from several included RCTs14,15 that reported 28-day and 90-day mortality at once. In addition, 3 of the trials67-69 were excluded from this analysis because 28-day mortality was not reported; however, they were included in the aforementioned report. Third, the authors used a fixed-effects model, whereas the random-effects model was used in this study because of the high level of clinic heterogeneity. The difference in some of the methodologies used in both reports may explain the contrasting results.
Corticosteroids have been used as adjuvant therapy for sepsis for more than 50 years without hard evidence to guide patient selection.7 Physicians have used their clinical judgment to decide how to use corticosteroids. Current Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines recommend the use of hydrocortisone in patients with septic shock if adequate fluid resuscitation and treatment with vasopressors have not restored hemodynamic stability (weak recommendation, low quality of evidence).8 This recommendation was based on the absence of convincing evidence of benefit. This analysis of all renewed data from RCTs suggests that corticosteroid treatment is associated with reduced mortality compared with control in patients with sepsis. Furthermore, this study showed that corticosteroid treatment may be associated with increased shock reversal and vasopressor-free days and with decreased ICU length of stay, time to resolution of shock, and SOFA score. These improvements in outcomes are not associated with an increased risk of main complications. These findings appear to indicate that corticosteroids should be prescribed at a low dose and for a long course. However, the optimal strategy for the administration of corticosteroids in patients with sepsis is uncertain. Future studies are needed to associate personalized medicine with clinical phenotyping, genotyping, or metabolomics with the treatment of sepsis for the selection of suitable patients who are more likely to show a benefit.
The strengths of the present review include a comprehensive search strategy, explicit eligibility criteria that enhance generalizability, and rigorous use of the GRADE approach to rate quality of evidence. This meta-analyses of mortality outcomes included more than 8000 patients, which was larger than the minimum information size required in trial sequential analysis and were robust despite multiple subgroup and sensitivity analyses.
This study had limitations. First, the results of this meta-analysis were weakened by significant clinical heterogeneity. The analysis included trials developed almost 5 decades ago; since then, treatments and diagnostic techniques for sepsis have evolved. Therefore, clinical heterogeneity will have inevitably occurred in trials, including type of corticosteroids, dose of drug, timing of administration, and duration of therapy. With regard to statistical heterogeneity, the results of trials included in this study were variable, with a moderate degree of detected heterogeneity for the primary outcome of mortality (I2 = 27%), justifying the use of random-effects models. Heterogeneity was qualitatively and quantitatively investigated and addressed in this analysis. By exclusion of early trials, low-dose trials, or short-course trials, heterogeneity could be resolved without significant change in the primary outcome. These factors were important contributors to heterogeneity in this meta-analysis.
Second, the asymmetry in the funnel plot appeared to be the result of publication bias, mostly secondary to the smaller studies, but a sensitivity analysis that excluded small studies (<200 patients) without evidence of this bias confirmed the findings. Nonetheless, the comprehensive search of the literature and the clinical trial registries may have decreased the risk of missing any study. Beyond small study effect, potential sources of an asymmetrical funnel plot include selective outcome reporting, poor methodological quality leading to spuriously inflated effects in smaller studies, true heterogeneity, artifact, and chance.24
Third, this study might not be powered enough to assess adverse events. The variable definitions of adverse events among trials may have led to inconsistent results. For example, the ADRENAL trial15 and APROCCHSS trial14 reported the ratio of hyperglycemia in the control groups as 0.16% (3 of 1829 patients) and 83.1% (520 of 626 patients), respectively. Moreover, although there was no association of corticosteroid treatment with risk of gastroduodenal bleeding, superinfection, or any severe adverse event, the analysis of rare events in RCTs is associated with its limitations. Observational studies may be more appropriate than RCTs to assess adverse events because these studies may include more patients and follow-up is often longer.
The findings suggest that corticosteroid therapy compared with standard supportive care or placebo is significantly associated with reduced 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
Accepted for Publication: September 1, 2018.
Corresponding Authors: Jianguo Xu, MD, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Xiang, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China (firstname.lastname@example.org); Chao You, MD, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Xiang, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China (email@example.com).
Published Online: December 21, 2018. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.5849
Author Contributions: Drs J. Xu and You are the guarantors of the review. Drs Fang and Zhang contributed equally to this work as first authors. Dr J. Xu had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Concept and design: Fang, Zhang, Li, J. Xu, You.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Fang, Zhang, J. Tang, Lunsford, Li, R. Tang, He, P. Xu, Faramand, You.
Drafting of the manuscript: Fang, Zhang, Li, R. Tang, He, P. Xu, Faramand, J. Xu, You.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Fang, Zhang, J. Tang, Lunsford, Faramand, J. Xu, You.
Statistical analysis: Fang, Zhang, J. Tang, He, P. Xu, You.
Obtained funding: Fang.
Administrative, technical, or material support: Fang, Zhang, R. Tang, He.
Supervision: Fang, Zhang, J. Xu, You.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.
Funding/Support: This work is supported by grants 81100925 and 81472361 from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Dr Fang).
Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The National Natural Science Foundation of China had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
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