Data are in millions of US dollars. Arrows indicate dates of publication of randomized clinical trials (solid arrows) or meta-analyses of randomized clinical trials (dashed arrows) of ω-3 FAs in high-impact medical journals between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2012. Trials and meta-analyses with cardiovascular disease (CVD) end points are shown in the lower panel, and those with non-CVD end points are shown in the upper panel. a indicates the trials reporting a benefit of ω-3 FAs; NA, not available.
Andrew Grey, Mark Bolland. Clinical Trial Evidence and Use of Fish Oil Supplements. JAMA Intern Med. 2014;174(3):460–462. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2013.12765
Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) with “hard” end points and meta-analyses of these trials should influence clinical practice because they represent the highest level of evidence. Health care behaviors based on less robust evidence are often established before such RCTs are conducted. If the results of high-quality RCTs contradict established practice, numerous barriers exist to their acceptance and implementation.1 ω-3 Fatty acid (FA) supplements are commonly used for the management of cardiovascular, neurocognitive, ophthalmic, and inflammatory disorders. In 2002, their use in the secondary prevention of heart disease was endorsed by the American Heart Association.2 Recently, their health effects have been studied in several RCTs and meta-analyses, many of which were reported in high-impact journals. Here, we report the relationship between these publications in influential journals and the use of ω-3 FAs.
Data on annual sales of fish oils and ω-3 FAs from 2007 through 2012 were obtained from Euromonitor International (http://www.euromonitor.com/). Using MEDLINE and Factiva, we identified RCTs or meta-analyses of RCTs of ω-3 FAs and accompanying editorials, published in the top-ranking internal medicine journals (New England Journal of Medicine, The Lancet, JAMA, PLoS Medicine, JAMA Internal Medicine, British Medical Journal, and Annals of Internal Medicine),3- 26 between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2012, and news reports generated within 2 weeks of each publication. We independently assessed editorial disposition toward the use of ω-3 FAs using a scale from 1 (clearly unfavorable) to 5 (clearly favorable).
Between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2012, a total of 18 RCTs (primary end points: 10 cardiovascular, 4 neurocognitive, 1 cancer, 1 immune, 1 gastrointestinal, and 1 respiratory) and 6 meta-analyses of RCTs (all cardiovascular primary end points) of ω-3 FAs were published in the high-impact journals3- 26 (Table). Only 2 publications reported benefit of the intervention on the primary end point.3,7 The median (range) editorial score was 4 (1.5-5), indicating overall enthusiasm for the use of ω-3 FAs (Table). The median (range) number of news reports per publication was 11 (0-27). Between 2007 and 2012, sales of fish oils and ω-3 FA supplements in the United States increased steadily, from $425 to $1043 million (Figure). The median (range) year-on-year increase was $124 (104-150) million. Similar patterns of sales were observed in the United Kingdom and Australasia (data not shown).
This analysis suggests that publications in prominent medical journals of RCTs and meta-analyses of RCTs of ω-3 FAs have had little effect on the use of these supplements. Sales of ω-3 FAs steadily increased despite contemporaneous accrual of high-level evidence that the supplements lack efficacy across a range of health outcomes for which their use is advocated. Since 10% of adults in the United States take an ω-3 FA or fish oil supplement, most commonly for heart health or to lower cholesterol,27 the null results of 9 of the 10 RCTs and 5 of the 6 meta-analyses studying cardiovascular disease might have been expected to influence use. It remains to be seen whether a recently published trial sequential analysis, which reports proof of no efficacy of ω-3 FAs in the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease, alters use of the supplements.28
For prescribed interventions, numerous factors, including academic and/or medical specialists’ biases, contribute to resistance to the translation into clinical practice of robust evidence that contradicts established behaviors.29 The editorialists’ positive views on ω-3 FAs may have influenced the responses of health practitioners to the results of the source trials. However, only 10% of those who take ω-3 FAs do so on the advice of a health care professional.27 Additional factors that may contribute to increasing use of a nonprescribed intervention despite accumulating evidence of its ineffectiveness include anecdotal evidence, low cost, ready availability, assumptions of safety, supportive news reports, and selective presentation of evidence by the supplements industry.30
Corresponding Author: Andrew Grey, MD, Department of Medicine, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand (firstname.lastname@example.org).
Published Online: December 16, 2013. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2013.12765.
Author Contributions: Dr Grey had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Study concept and design: Both authors.
Acquisition of data: Grey.
Analysis and interpretation of data: Both authors.
Drafting of the manuscript: Grey.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Bolland.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.
Funding/Support: The Health Research Council of New Zealand.
Role of the Sponsor: The Health Research Council of New Zealand had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.