Key PointsQuestion
What effect do β-blockers have on functional decline and death in older nursing home residents with acute myocardial infarction?
Findings
In this cohort study, use of β-blockers was associated with a 26% lower rate of death but 14% higher odds of functional decline. Functional harms were particularly pronounced in nursing home residents with poor cognitive and functional status at baseline.
Meaning
Decisions about treating older nursing home residents with β-blockers should consider the tradeoff between functional harms and mortality benefits.
Importance
Although β-blockers are a mainstay of treatment after acute myocardial infarction (AMI), these medications are commonly not prescribed for older nursing home residents after AMI, in part owing to concerns about potential functional harms and uncertainty of benefit.
Objective
To study the association of β-blockers after AMI with functional decline, mortality, and rehospitalization among long-stay nursing home residents 65 years or older.
Design, Setting, and Participants
This cohort study of nursing home residents with AMI from May 1, 2007, to March 31, 2010, used national data from the Minimum Data Set, version 2.0, and Medicare Parts A and D. Individuals with β-blocker use before AMI were excluded. Propensity score–based methods were used to compare outcomes in people who did vs did not initiate β-blocker therapy after AMI hospitalization.
Main Outcomes and Measures
Functional decline, death, and rehospitalization in the first 90 days after AMI. Functional status was measured using the Morris scale of independence in activities of daily living.
Results
The initial cohort of 15 720 patients (11 140 women [70.9%] and 4580 men [29.1%]; mean [SD] age, 83 [8] years) included 8953 new β-blocker users and 6767 nonusers. The propensity-matched cohort included 5496 new users of β-blockers and an equal number of nonusers for a total cohort of 10 992 participants (7788 women [70.9%]; 3204 men [29.1%]; mean [SD] age, 84 [8] years). Users of β-blockers were more likely than nonusers to experience functional decline (odds ratio [OR], 1.14; 95% CI, 1.02-1.28), with a number needed to harm of 52 (95% CI, 32-141). Conversely, β-blocker users were less likely than nonusers to die (hazard ratio [HR], 0.74; 95% CI, 0.67-0.83) and had similar rates of rehospitalization (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.98-1.14). Nursing home residents with moderate or severe cognitive impairment or severe functional dependency were particularly likely to experience functional decline from β-blockers (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.11-1.61 and OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.10-1.59, respectively). In contrast, little evidence of functional decline due to β-blockers was found in participants with intact cognition or mild dementia (OR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.89-1.20; P = .03 for effect modification) or in those in the best (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.77-1.26) and intermediate (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.86-1.27) tertiles of functional independence (P = .06 for effect modification). Mortality benefits of β-blockers were similar across all subgroups.
Conclusions and Relevance
Use of β-blockers after AMI is associated with functional decline in older nursing home residents with substantial cognitive or functional impairment, but not in those with relatively preserved mental and functional abilities. Use of β-blockers yielded a considerable mortality benefit in all groups.
After acute myocardial infarction (AMI), β-blockers are a mainstay of guideline-recommended care for adults.1,2 Randomized trials in middle-aged and young-old adults (ie, aged 65-75 years) show that treatment with β-blockers after AMI reduces mortality by 25% to 30%.3-5 Multiple observational studies have found a similar level of mortality reduction in adults 85 years or older and in those with functional impairment or multiple chronic conditions.6-9
Despite the benefits of β-blockers across the age span, these medications are less often prescribed to older adults, especially those with functional impairment or multiple comorbidities.6,7,10,11 Although studies have suggested that β-blockers are generally well tolerated in older adults,12-14 few data on their adverse event profile in frail and highly vulnerable elders are available, including potential harms such as orthostasis, fatigue, and depression, which can negatively affect daily functioning and quality of life. This dilemma, where potential mortality benefits are weighed against an unclear level of harms, is common in the care of vulnerable older adults.15-18 It is particularly important for the 1.4 million Americans who reside in nursing homes, who are at high risk for functional decline and often strongly value preserving whatever remaining functional independence they have.19,20 In this study, we evaluated the effect of β-blockers on functional outcomes in older nursing home residents with AMI and compared these functional outcomes with the effect of β-blockers on death and rehospitalization in this population.
Data Sources and Participants
We obtained data from Medicare Part A and Part D (prescription drug benefit) claims; the Online Survey Certification and Reporting System (OSCAR), which provides facility-level information on nursing home characteristics, staffing, and quality indicators; and the Minimum Data Set (MDS), version 2.0, which consists of assessments of nearly all nursing home residents in the United States. Minimum Data Set assessments occur a minimum of every 3 months, and more often for patients with a major recent change in clinical status and those receiving care under the Medicare Skilled Nursing Facility benefit. This study was approved by the institutional review boards of the University of California, San Francisco, and the Department of Veterans Affairs, who waived the need for informed consent.
Our study population consisted of US nursing home residents 65 years or older who were hospitalized for AMI from May 1, 2007, to March 31, 2010; had resided in a nursing home for at least 30 days before the AMI hospitalization; had not used a β-blocker for at least 4 months before hospitalization; and returned to a nursing home after hospital discharge21 (eAppendix 1 in the Supplement provides additional details). We defined hospitalization with AMI based on a hospital admission or discharge claim with code 410.XX or 411.1 from the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, as a primary or secondary diagnosis. We excluded patients who died, were rehospitalized, or otherwise left the nursing home within 14 days of hospital discharge because reliable ascertainment of β-blocker use is difficult in such short-stay situations. We also excluded patients with a very poor prognosis at baseline (Changes in Health, End-stage Disease, and Signs and Symptoms [CHESS] score of 5 [range, 0-5, with higher scores indicating worse prognosis]),22 patients on hospice, patients who were not continuously enrolled in Medicare Part D during the study period or had no Part D claims after hospitalization, and patients who were enrolled in a Medicare Advantage plan at any point during this period. Finally, we excluded patients with extremely poor functional status before hospitalization (Morris scale of independence in activities of daily living [ADL] score ≥24 [range, 0-28, with higher scores indicating greater dependency]) because they had little room for further functional decline.23
Our exposure of interest was use of a β-blocker in the immediate posthospital period. We defined this as a Part D claim for an oral β-blocker within 30 days of resuming Part D coverage after hospital discharge. Part D covers at least 81% of nursing home residents and in most cases is the sole source of prescription drug coverage for these patients.24 For the subset of patients who return to the nursing home under the Medicare Skilled Nursing Facility benefit, resumption of Part D claims is temporarily delayed. Therefore, we conducted a companion validation study to evaluate the performance of our β-blocker exposure measure in this subset. This study confirmed the validity of our measure (eAppendix 1 in the Supplement).
Our primary outcome was functional decline. We defined this as a loss of 3 points on the validated Morris scale of independence in ADLs between the prehospital baseline assessment and the first available assessment after hospitalization, to 3 months after discharge.23 A 3-point drop corresponds to a major loss of independence in 1 ADL or incremental losses in 2 or more ADLs. In a sensitivity analysis, we evaluated the outcome as a 4-point (more substantial) decline in function. We chose a 90-day outcome period because it is long enough to be clinically meaningful but short enough that many of these highly vulnerable patients have not yet died, a competing outcome that complicates interpretation of longer-term functional outcomes.
Other key outcome measures included death and rehospitalization within 90 days of the index hospital discharge. We used data from Medicare Part A and Medicare enrollment files to identify hospital admissions and date of death. We also explored the following 2 composite outcomes: time to hospitalization or death, and time to hospitalization, death, or functional decline.
Information on chronic conditions and characteristics of the index hospitalization were obtained from Medicare Part A data. Overall, this data source is more accurate for identifying chronic conditions than MDS 2.0.25-28 The MDS 2.0 provided data on other patient characteristics, including functional and cognitive status, geriatric syndromes, and symptoms, including validated scales such as the Cognitive Performance Score and CHESS scores.22,29 We used the OSCAR data set to evaluate a variety of nursing home facility characteristics such as staffing, resident mix, and quality indicators.
We used propensity score–based methods to evaluate the association between β-blocker exposure and our outcomes of interest. Following an intention-to-treat framework, we defined participants as β-blocker users or nonusers throughout the study period based on their exposure in the immediate post-AMI period.
We estimated the propensity score via a logistic regression model that used 93 variables to predict β-blocker use. Variables included sociodemographic characteristics, chronic medical conditions, baseline medication use, hospitalization history, baseline functional and cognitive status, geriatric syndromes, symptoms, characteristics of the AMI hospitalization, and nursing home characteristics (eAppendix 2 in the Supplement). To evaluate whether vital signs, laboratory test results, and measures of cardiac function could result in unmeasured confounding, we conducted a companion validation study using national data from the Department of Veterans Affairs, which, unlike Medicare claims data, contains information on these variables. We found no evidence that the absence of these factors would substantially alter our results (eAppendix 3 in the Supplement).
To match β-blocker users with nonusers who had similar propensity scores, we first discarded participants in the top and bottom 1% of the propensity score distribution so as to exclude areas of nonoverlap. We then applied a 1:1 greedy 5-to-1 digit-matching algorithm without replacement.30 We evaluated the quality of resulting matches by comparing standardized differences between groups for each covariate in our model and by using 2-tailed t tests to assess differences in the distribution of propensity scores.31,32
Our propensity matching yielded an excellent covariate balance, so we did not further adjust for baseline covariates in our models. Because we excluded people who died or were rehospitalized during the first 14 days after hospital discharge, we did not consider outcomes that occurred during this period, thus effectively beginning our outcome analyses at day 14 after hospitalization.
We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to determine the effect of β-blocker use on time to death. We used the method of Fine and Gray (similar to Cox regression) to evaluate the effect of β-blocker use on time to rehospitalization while accounting for the competing outcome of death.33 Finally, we used multinomial logit models to evaluate the effect of β-blocker use on functional decline.28 At the end of the 90-day follow-up, participants were classified as alive without functional decline, having had functional decline documented in the first MDS assessment of that period, or having died without evidence of functional decline on the first MDS assessment.
We used multiplicative and additive interaction terms to evaluate whether the effect of β-blockers on outcomes varied across participant characteristics. These characteristics included levels of baseline functional status, cognitive function, age, and presence or absence of an intensive care unit or cardiac care unit stay during the AMI hospitalization. The distribution of propensity scores was very similar for β-blocker users and nonusers within each subgroup, suggesting that stratifying patients into subgroups did not threaten covariate balance (eAppendix 4 in the Supplement).
The decision to exclude patients who died or were rehospitalized within 14 days after the AMI discharge has the potential to create selection bias. To evaluate this, we repeated our main analyses using inverse probability of selection weighting.34,35 This approach weighted participants according to their similarity to individuals who were excluded owing to death (n = 1859) or rehospitalization (n = 2444) in the first 14 days, thus estimating treatment effects as if these people had been included in the analysis. In another sensitivity analysis, we controlled for post-AMI use of other cardiovascular medications with multinomial logistic regression in our propensity-matched cohort.
We also evaluated several alternate approaches to determine whether our results were stable across different analytic techniques. These approaches included stratifying by propensity score quintiles and deciles, controlling for propensity score as a covariate, using inverse probability of treatment weights, and performing time-dependent analyses. In each case, results were similar to our main approach (eAppendix 5 in the Supplement). We considered P < .05 to be statistically significant.
Our initial cohort of 15 720 patients (11 140 women [70.9%] and 4580 men [29.1%]; mean [SD] age, 83 [8] years) included 8953 new β-blocker users and 6767 nonusers. Before matching, β-blocker users were more likely to have been in an intensive care unit or a cardiac care unit during the hospital stay and to return to the nursing home on the Medicare Skilled Nursing Facility benefit care pathway and less likely to have a prior diagnosis of angina pectoris or unstable angina (Table 1, Table 2, and eAppendix 6 in the Supplement).
Propensity score matching yielded a cohort of 5496 new β-blocker users and an equal number of nonusers (Tables 1 and 2). Mean (SD) age was 84 (8) years; 7788 were women (70.9%); and 3204 were men (29.1%). The distribution of propensity scores was nearly identical between the matched groups (mean [SD], 0.57 [0.11] in β-blocker users vs 0.57 [0.11] in nonusers; P = .63), and all but 2 variables had standardized mean differences of 0.03 or less (eAppendix 6 in the Supplement). This result is consistent with excellent covariate balance between groups.31 Users and nonusers of β-blockers had equal time between nursing home readmission and their first ADL assessment (median, 22 days; interquartile range, 11-29 days; P = .97). New β-blockers users were more likely than nonusers to be prescribed other cardiovascular medications in the post-AMI period, including statins (2705 [49.2]% vs 1779 [32.4%]; P < .001) and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (2439 [44.4%] vs 1683 [30.6]%; P < .001), but not angiotensin receptor blockers (409 [7.4%] vs 448 [8.2%]; P = .17).
Within 3 months after hospital discharge, 1328 of 10 992 participants (12.1%) experienced functional decline; 2782 (25.3%) were rehospitalized; and 1541 (14.0%) died. Some patients experienced more than 1 outcome, such as rehospitalization and then death.
Users of β-blockers had a higher rate of functional decline than nonusers. In the first 90 days after AMI, the odds of functional decline were 1.14 (95% CI, 1.02-1.28) times greater in patients receiving β-blockers than in those not using β-blockers (Table 3). The number needed to treat to cause 1 patient to have functional decline was 52 (95% CI, 32-141). Results were similar using the more stringent threshold of a 4-point decline on the Morris ADL scale. Using this definition, 1165 subjects (10.6%) had functional decline, and β-blocker users were more likely to have a decline (odds ratio [OR], 1.16; 95% CI, 1.02-1.31).
Users of β-blockers were less likely than nonusers to die within 90 days of hospital discharge (hazard ratio [HR], 0.74; 95% CI, 0.67-0.83) (Figure 1A and Table 3). The number needed to treat to prevent 1 death was 26 (95% CI, 19-39). Use of β-blockers had no effect on time to rehospitalization (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.98-1.14) (Figure 1B and Table 3).
Use of β-blockers had no significant effect on a composite outcome of time to death, hospitalization, or functional decline (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.94-1.03). Use of β-blockers showed a borderline small protective effect for a composite outcome that only included time to death or hospitalization (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.88-1.00).
The effect of β-blocker use on death was similar across a variety of patient characteristics (Figure 2). However, the effect of β-blocker use on functional decline varied according to patients’ baseline cognitive and functional status (Figure 2 and eAppendix 7 in the Supplement). Among nursing home residents with moderate or severe cognitive deficits, β-blocker users were substantially more likely than nonusers to experience functional decline (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.11-1.61), with a number needed to harm of 36 (95% CI, 24-76). In contrast, use of β-blockers did not increase the risk of functional decline in people with intact cognition or mild dementia (OR, 1.03; 95% CI 0.89-1.20; P = .03 for effect modification of treatment by cognition). Among residents with severe functional dependence at baseline, β-blocker users had greater risk of functional decline than did nonusers (OR, 1.32; 95% CI 1.10-1.59), with a number needed to harm of 25 (95% CI, 16-55). In contrast, β-blocker use did not increase the risk of functional decline in people in the best (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.77-1.26) and intermediate (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.86-1.27) tertiles of baseline ADL functioning (P = .06 for effect modification of treatment by baseline functional status).
The main results were similar after applying inverse probability of selection weights, although the point estimate for the effect of β-blockers on functional decline was slightly attenuated, with 95% CIs crossing 1 (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.96-1.24). Similar patterns held for results of subgroup analyses using selection weights (eAppendix 8 in the Supplement). Finally, results were similar after controlling for use of other cardiovascular medications in the post-AMI setting (eAppendix 5 in the Supplement).
In this national study of older nursing home residents, using β-blockers after AMI resulted in a 26% relative reduction in 90-day mortality, with a number needed to treat of 26 to prevent 1 death. Similar levels of risk reduction were found across a wide variety of patient subgroups. However, β-blockers conferred a 14% relative increase in the odds of functional decline, with a number need to harm of 52 to cause 1 case of functional decline. This risk was particularly high for people with moderate or severe cognitive impairment or a high degree of functional dependence at baseline. In these groups, β-blockers increased the odds of functional decline by 32% to 34%, with a number needed to harm of 25 to 36. In contrast, nursing home residents with relatively preserved cognitive and functional abilities did not appear to experience adverse functional consequences from receiving β-blockers.
Our findings of mortality benefit are consistent with the results of other observational studies of β-blocker use among the old-old (aged ≥85 years), frail, and functionally impaired.6-9,37,38 Regarding harms, little is known about the effect of β-blockers on functional status. However, these agents increase the risk for fatigue (particularly first-generation agents such as propranolol hydrochloride)12 and have been associated with increased rates of dizziness39,40 and a decreased subjective sense of well-being,41,42 although no consistent effect has been found on rates of depression12 or falls.13,43
Our results confirm the suspicion of many physicians that poor cognitive and functional status increases the risk for medication-induced harms in older adults. However, they call into question the more general practice whereby older adults are less likely to receive guideline-recommended medications after AMI regardless of their mental or physical abilities.7,10,11,44 For nursing home residents with intact cognition or mild dementia and in those with nonsevere levels of functional dependency, we found substantial mortality benefit and no functional harms. Therefore, treatment is appropriate for most such patients. In contrast, for nursing home residents with extensive functional dependency or moderate to severe dementia (roughly corresponding to a Folstein Mini-Mental State Examination score of ≤14 of 30 points),29 resolving the tradeoff between reduced mortality and increased risk for functional decline will depend on patient preferences, as expressed directly or through surrogate decision makers.45,46 For cognitively or functionally impaired nursing home residents who are more concerned about functional decline than death, avoiding treatment may be preferable. This is a large population; more than half of nursing home residents have high levels of functional dependence, and two-thirds have moderate or severe cognitive impairment.47
Because this study is observational, we cannot rule out the possibility of confounding. However, several factors support the robustness of our findings. We obtained an excellent balance of baseline covariates across treatment groups and consistent results using several alternate analytic approaches. Moreover, younger and healthier patients are more likely to receive secondary prevention medications after AMI.7,10,11,44,48 This likelihood would bias results toward better outcomes in β-blocker users. Instead, functional outcomes were in the opposite direction of this expected bias. Cointerventions constitute another important consideration. People who used β-blockers after AMI were also more likely to receive statins and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors in the post-AMI period. Controlling for these differences slightly attenuated the observed associations between β-blocker use and our outcomes of interest, although the overall pattern remained.
To enable robust assessment of β-blocker exposure, we excluded patients who died or were rehospitalized within the first 14 days of hospital discharge. This exclusion prevented us from evaluating the effect of β-blockers on outcomes during this period. Thus, our results should be interpreted as providing evidence about the effect of β-blocker use on outcomes starting 14 days after discharge, among people who had survived and remained in the nursing home until then. In addition, these exclusions could induce selection bias.34,35 However, although our sensitivity analyses were consistent with the possibility of mild selection bias, we found little evidence of bias sufficiently large to invalidate our overall findings.
Use of β-blockers after AMI resulted in substantial reductions in mortality among older nursing home residents. At the same time, use of these agents resulted in worse functional outcomes among nursing home residents with substantial cognitive or functional deficits. In this highly vulnerable group, understanding the importance that individual patients place on avoiding death and on avoiding functional decline will be critical to guiding decision making about use of these medications.
Corresponding Author: Michael A. Steinman, MD, Division of Geriatrics, University of California, San Francisco, 4150 Clement St, VA Box 181G, San Francisco, CA 94121 (mike.steinman@ucsf.edu).
Accepted for Publication: October 17, 2016.
Published Online: December 12, 2016. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2016.7701
Author Contributions: Drs Steinman and Mor had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Study concept and design: Steinman, Mor.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Zullo, Y. Lee, Daiello, Boscardin, Dore, Gan, Fung, S. J. Lee, Komaiko, Mor.
Drafting of the manuscript: Steinman, Zullo, Y. Lee.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Zullo, Daiello, Boscardin, Dore, Gan, Fung, S. J. Lee, Komaiko, Mor.
Statistical analysis: Zullo, Y. Lee, Boscardin, Gan, Fung, Mor.
Obtained funding: Steinman, Zullo, Mor.
Administrative, technical, or material support: Steinman, Zullo, Daiello, Dore, Komaiko.
Study supervision: Dore, Mor.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Steinman reports serving as a paid consultant for Iodine.com. Dr Dore reports being an employee of Optum and stockholder in UnitedHealth Group, Optum’s parent company. Dr Mor reports performing research in a related area to that of several different paid activities; periodically serving as a paid speaker at national conferences where he discusses trends and research findings in long-term and postacute care; holding stock of unknown value in PointRight, Inc, an information services company providing advice and consultation to various components of the long-term care and postacute care industry, including suppliers and insurers (PointRight sells information on the measurement of nursing home quality to nursing homes and liability insurers); being a founder of PointRight but subsequently divesting much of his equity in the company and relinquishing his seat on their board; chairing the Independent Quality Committee for HRC Manor Care, Inc, a nursing home chain, for which he receives compensation; serving as chair of a Scientific Advisory Committee for NaviHealth, a postacute care service organization, for which he also receives compensation; serving as a Technical Expert Panel member on several Centers for Medicare/Medicaid quality measurement panels; and being a member of the board of directors of Tufts Health Plan Foundation, Hospice Care of Rhode Island, and The Jewish Alliance of Rhode Island.
Funding/Support: This study was supported by grants R01HL111032 and K24AG049057 from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and by award 5K12HS022998 from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (Dr Zullo).
Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funders had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Meeting Presentations: This paper was presented at the National Meeting of the American Geriatrics Society; May 20, 2016; Long Beach, California; and the National Meeting of Academy Health; June 26, 2016; Boston, Massachusetts.
Additional Contrbutions: Irena Stijacic-Cenzer, MS, University of California, San Francisco, provided insights on analytic approaches. Kenneth Covinsky, MD, MPH, University of California, San Francisco, and the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center, provided guidance on study design and interpretation. Both contributors received compensation from the NIH award that funded this work.
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