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Table 1.  Characteristics of 26 823 Participants
Characteristics of 26 823 Participants
Table 2.  Descriptive Statistics of Symptom Prevalence by Belief and Serology Test Result Status
Descriptive Statistics of Symptom Prevalence by Belief and Serology Test Result Status
Table 3.  Associations Between Persistent Symptoms, Belief, and Serology Test Results
Associations Between Persistent Symptoms, Belief, and Serology Test Results
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14 Comments for this article
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Conclusion may not be valid
Herbert Renz-Polster, MD | Mannheim Institute for Public Health, University of Heidelberg, Germany

The authors  claim that “persistent physical symptoms after COVID-19 infection may be associated more with the belief in having been infected with SARS-CoV-2 than with having laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection.” (1) They base this statement on the absence of a positive correlation between typical symptoms of Long COVID and serological proof of a past SARS-CoV-2 infection.
However, this conclusion may not be valid because the method used for ascertainment of past infection may not be accurate.

First, a significant portion – indeed, up to 36 % - of infected adults may not seroconvert after SARS-CoV-2 infection and therefore
may not have been identified by the serologic antibody test used. (2) (3) It has also been shown that patients who go on to develop Long COVID symptoms may be more likely to be among those who do not seroconvert after SARS-CoV-2 infection. (4) Therefore, the study may have misclassified a significant portion of patients with past COVID-19 infection as not infected in the past.

Second, according to the manufacturer, the antibody test used in the study has a sensitivity of 87% and a specificity of 97.5 %. (1) This means that 13% of truly infected participants may have falsely been classified as non infected. The authors rightly assume that this may be a negligeable influence. However, what the authors - surprisingly - do not discuss, is the effect of the 2.5 % of possibly false positive results to be assumed. This fraction of false positive results in a study population of over 26,000 participants would amount to about 650 people who may have been classified as infected in the past when indeed they were not – and about half of those (49.6%, i.e. about 325 people) would have been included in the analysis.
Given the fact that there were only 453 people in the group of participants with an apparent infection in the past, these concerns raise questions about the study results.

In summary, the serological test used may be an unreliable marker for previous infection with SARS-CoV-2. This study therefore may not provide reliable data to support the authors' claims.


References

(1)
Matta J, Wiernik E, Robineau O, et al. Association of Self-reported COVID-19 Infection and SARS-CoV-2 Serology Test Results With Persistent Physical Symptoms Among French Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Intern Med. Published online November 08, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454

(2)
Pathela P, Crawley A, Weiss D, et al. Seroprevalence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Following the Largest Initial Epidemic Wave in the United States: Findings From New York City, 13 May to 21 July 2020. J Infect Dis. 2021;224(2):196-206. doi:10.1093/infdis/jiab200

(3)
Liu W, Russell RM, Bibollet-Ruche F, et al. Predictors of Nonseroconversion after SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 2021;27(9):2454-2458. doi:10.3201/eid2709.211042

(4)
García-Abellán, J., Padilla, S., Fernández-González, M. et al. Antibody Response to SARS-CoV-2 is Associated with Long-term Clinical Outcome in Patients with COVID-19: a Longitudinal Study. J Clin Immunol 41, 1490–1501 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10875-021-01083-7
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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Conclusion not supported by data
Jean-Francois Grenier, MD |
Saying that "persistent physical symptoms after COVID-19 infection may be associated more with the belief in having been infected with SARS-CoV-2 than with having laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection" is not supported by the data presented in this article.
First, the study does not focus on "symptoms after COVID-19 infection," but rather on "self-reported beliefs of having had COVID-19 infection," which is very different.
Second, extrapolating the 87% sensitivity of the Euroimmune ELISA test, that comes from a small study where median time to COVID onset was 44 days and in which convalescent patients with COVID onset more than 6 months ago
were excluded, introduces a major bias in adjudicating presence or absence of past COVID. This is especially true when one knows that IgGs against SARS CoV 2 are waning over time.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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Authors’ reply to Dr Grenier’s comments
Cedric Lemogne, MD, PhD | Université de Paris, AP-HP, INSERM
As described in the Methods section, our study did focus not only on the belief of having had COVID-19, but also on self-reported persistent physical symptoms, which were not considered as beliefs.

Regarding the sensitivity of the Euroimmune ELISA test over time, assuming the worst-case scenario of a sensitivity (se) of the serology of 61.2 % at 9 months after the initial episode (1,2), with a prevalence (p) of 4% and a specificity (sp) of 97.5%, the probability of having had COVID-19 given a positive serology result would be about 50% (i.e., p*se/(p*se+(1-p)*(1-sp))) whereas the probability of having had
COVID given a negative serology result would be about 1.6% (i.e., p*(1-se)/(p*(1-se)+(1-p)*sp))). Although 50% of false positive would not allow any conclusion on an individual level, the likelihood of having had COVID-19 would nonetheless be 30 times higher in participants with positive serology results than in those with negative serology results. On a populational level, serology is thus a powerful tool to examine clinical outcomes associated with an actual infection. Should persistent symptoms be uniquely associated with a past infection by SARS-CoV-2, we would thus have observed a robust association between serology results and these symptoms. Of course, this worst-case scenario is highly implausible, given that the participants had their serology between May and November 2020.

References
1. Kahre E, Galow L, Unrath M, Haag L, Blankenburg J, Dalpke AH, et al. Kinetics and seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies: a comparison of 3 different assays. Sci Rep. 21 juill 2021;11:14893.
2. Perez-Saez J, Zaballa M-E, Yerly S, Andrey DO, Meyer B, Eckerle I, et al. Persistence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies: immunoassay heterogeneity and implications for serosurveillance. Clin Microbiol Infect. nov 2021;27(11):1695.e7-1695.e12.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: Corresponding author of the article
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Authors’ reply to Dr Renz-Polster’s comments
Cedric Lemogne, MD, PhD | Université de Paris, AP-HP, INSERM
We acknowledge that the issue of false positive was not discussed in our article. We thank Dr Renz-Polster for this opportunity to clarify how reliable the serology results might be in the context of our study.

Assuming a prevalence (p) of past infection of 4 %, a sensitivity (se) of 87 % and a specificity (sp) of 97.5 % (1), the probability of having had COVID-19 given a positive serology result is about 59% (i.e., p*se/(p*se+(1-p)*(1-sp))), whereas the probability of having had COVID given a negative serology result is about 0.5% (i.e., p*(1-se)/(p*(1-se)+(1-p)*sp))). Although we agree that 59% is
not that good on an individual level, it means that the likelihood of having had COVID-19 is more than 100 times more likely in participants with positive serology results. On a populational level, serology is thus a powerful tool to examine clinical outcomes associated with an actual infection.

Please note that this conclusion still holds when assuming the worst-case scenario of a sensitivity of the serology of 61.2 % at 9 months after the initial episode (2,3). In this case, the likelihood of having had COVID-19 would have been 30 times higher in participants with positive serology results than in those with negative serology results. Should persistent symptoms be uniquely associated with a past infection by SARS-CoV-2, we would have observed a robust association between serology results and these symptoms.

Regarding the hypothesis that a weak anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody response could be a risk factor of ´long COVID’, we did take this hypothesis into account in our analysis by computing additional logistic regression models including a belief by serology interaction for each persistent symptom (4). Should a negative serology after COVID-19 be a risk factor of ‘long COVID’, it would have resulted in a significant negative interaction, with the belief of having had COVID-19 being more strongly associated with persistent symptoms among those with negative than positive serology results. Against this hypothesis, there was no significant interaction (neither positive nor negative) for any of the 18 tested persistent symptoms.

References
1. Carrat F, de Lamballerie X, Rahib D, Blanché H, Lapidus N, Artaud F, et al. Antibody status and cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection among adults in three regions of France following the first lockdown and associated risk factors: a multicohort study. Int J Epidemiol. 10 nov 2021;50(5):1458‑72
2. Kahre E, Galow L, Unrath M, Haag L, Blankenburg J, Dalpke AH, et al. Kinetics and seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies: a comparison of 3 different assays. Sci Rep. 21 juill 2021;11:14893
3. Perez-Saez J, Zaballa M-E, Yerly S, Andrey DO, Meyer B, Eckerle I, et al. Persistence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies: immunoassay heterogeneity and implications for serosurveillance. Clin Microbiol Infect. nov 2021;27(11):1695.e7-1695.e12
4. Matta J, Wiernik E, Robineau O, Carrat F, Touvier M, Severi G, et al. Association of Self-reported COVID-19 Infection and SARS-CoV-2 Serology Test Results With Persistent Physical Symptoms Among French Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Intern Med. 8 nov 2021
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: Corresponding author of the article
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Concerns about the Study
Silvia Guerrero, phD in Biochem&Molec Biol | Coordinator of reseach group of Long Covid ACTS

The results of this cross-sectional analysis of a large, population-based French cohort suggest that physical symptoms persisting 10 to 12 months after the COVID-19 pandemic first wave may be associated more with the belief in having experienced COVID-19 infection than with actually being infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus.
This conclusion is based on the lack of correlation between persistent symptoms and positive specific SARS-COV-2 serology results.
There is insufficient evidence about the generation or duration of antibodies in specific subpopulations to infer that negative serology testing is synonymous with not having  the infection when clinical symptoms are
present.  Long COVID has been associated with weak anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody response (1).
In addition, many Long COVID patients produce no detectable specific anti-SARS-COV-2 antibodies at all during their illness but many test positive for SARS-COV-2 specific cellular response, when performed, several months after the first infection. The results of a survey launch by a Spanish Long COVID patient organization support this conclusion (2).
Further, patients with Long COVID have specific inflammation profiles (3) and virus spike protein has been found in CD16+ monocytes up to 15 months after infection (4) regardless of whether patients have positive serology against SARS-COV-2.

1. Javier García-Abellán, Sergio Padilla, Marta Fernández-González, José A. García, Vanesa Agulló, María Andreo, Sandra Ruiz, Antonio Galiana, Félix Gutiérrez, and Mar Masiá. Antibody Response to SARS-CoV-2 is Associated with Long-term Clinical Outcome in Patients with COVID-19: a Longitudinal Study. J Clin Immunol. 2021 Jul 17 : 1–12.doi: 10.1007/s10875-021-01083-7 [Epub ahead of print]
2. Nerea Montes, Èlia Domènech, Sílvia Guerrero, Bárbara Oliván-Blázquez, Rosa Magallón-Botaya. Analysis of cell-mediated immunity in people with long COVID. doi: 10.1101/2021.06.09.21258553 (bioRxiv preprint)
3. Bruce K Patterson, Jose Guevara-Coto, Ram Yogendra, Edgar B Francisco, Emily Long, Amruta Pise, Hallison Rodrigues, Purvi Parikh, Javier Mora, Rodrigo A Mora-Rodríguez. Immune-Based Prediction of COVID-19 Severity and Chronicity Decoded Using Machine Learning. Front Immunol. 2021 Jun 28;12:700782. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2021.700782. eCollection 2021.
4. Bruce K. Patterson, Edgar B. Francisco, Ram Yogendra, Emily Long, Amruta Pise, Hallison Rodrigues, Eric Hall, Monica Herrara, Purvi Parikh, Jose Guevara-Coto, Xaiolan Chang, Jonah B Sacha, Rodrigo A Mora-Rodríguez, Javier Mora. Persistence of SARS CoV-2 S1 Protein in CD16+ Monocytes in Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) Up to 15 Months Post-Infection. doi: 10.1101/2021.06.25.449905 (bioRxiv preprint)
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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Assessing participants' self-report of having had COVID-19
Nicholas Brown, PhD | Linnaeus University, Sweden
It is understandable why some people in the study would believe they had COVID-19 infection because they had received confirmation, via a test or expert medical opinion, as shown in eTable 5.  (Unfortunately, it seems that neither the article nor the supplement tells us whether this proportion differed between the S− and S+ groups.) Thus, given the false positive rate of the serology test, the proportion of true cases of COVID among those who “believe” they had it is likely to be higher than the proportion of true cases of COVID among those who tested positive (cf. the comment above from Dr. Herbert Renz-Polster), even if every one of the participants who answered “No, but I think I had it” was mistaken. For the two-thirds of Belief+ participants who had a test result or medical examination to back them up, to “believe” that they had COVID was entirely rational; indeed, a statement by a member of this group that they did not “believe” they had been infected might itself be considered a denial of the scientific evidence.

Matta et al.’s conclusion was that “belief” that one had had COVID was a stronger predictor of long COVID symptoms than a serology test. But an equally plausible interpretation is that the dried-blood serology test is not as good a way of determining whether one has been infected as asking patients. Yet this study has been extensively misinterpreted  as indicating the opposite; that is, that a large proportion of participants who have long COVID symptoms never actually had COVID in the first place. The possibilities for harm to patients if such erroneous ideas were to spread among medical professionals, policymakers, and the public are substantial. As a minimum, no conclusions should be drawn about the reality of long COVID until a replication has been conducted, this time using the gold standard of a positive PCR test (of which many millions have now been carried out worldwide, including in France) as the criterion for determining SARS-CoV-2 infection objectively.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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Misclassification bias questions the conclusions
Esther Rodriguez Rodriguez | MD, Psychiatrist in Acute Adolescent Hospitalization in Barcelona.
The study uses serology results to determine if any prolonged symptoms are associated with infection. Despite the known limitations of serology tests, they can be useful when comparing positive and negative serologies within a sufficiently large population. And in fact, model 2 shows “a positive serology test result was associated with 10 categories of persistent symptoms”.

But the validity of this identification becomes questionable when separating analysis of the participants by “belief”. It seems that misclassification bias was not ruled out for the other serology models (model 3 and following), which only demonstrate an association with anosmia. False positives
should be treated as negative serologies, and may be assumed to have the same “belief” distribution, meaning most of them would fall into the “Belief-” group. We might also expect that false negatives (individuals who were in fact previously infected) would fall into the “Belief+” group, especially since 65% of them have confirmation in the form of a clinical diagnosis or a test. Whatever the serological result, the rate of actual infection should be very high for individuals who report having had an infection, and very low for those who do not.

These distributions dramatically reduce the usefulness of serology to identify association with actual Covid-19 infection. Are prolonged symptoms really expected to be statistically significant in the mutually adjusted models? We assume that anosmia is the only symptom to stand out because it is the symptom most specific to Covid-19 but close review of the data shows its odds ratio collapses from 15.7 (model 2) to 2.73 (model 3), which is further evidence of misclassification. This in itself represents sufficient bias to question the conclusions.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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Considering anosmia as very specific to Covid-19 leads to a different conclusion
Eleni Iasonidou, MD | Primary care
The authors appear to consider anosmia to be the only symptom specific to Covid-19 and claim this to be consistent with anosmia being the only symptom associated with positive serology.

A closer look at the data raises questions. The association of anosmia with the “belief” that one had Covid-19 looks stronger (odds ratio of 28.66) than the association with serology (odds ratio of 15.69), and this is enhanced after mutual adjustment, when the odds ratio of anosmia is only 2.72 for serology, compared to 16.37 for “belief”. Thus, anosmia, “a hallmark of Covid-19 infection”, is much more highly correlated
with belief than with serology – throwing the study’s conclusions into question.

This specificity of anosmia implies that the number of affected individuals should be directly correlated to the number of infections. Within the seropositives, the rate of anosmia is 8.8 times higher among those who believe they have been infected ("Belief+" 9.7%) than among those who believe they have not ("Belief–" 1.1%), and the same ratio should be assumed for infection rates. This unbalanced distribution provides a convincing explanation for why prolonged symptoms continue to be associated with “belief” but not with serology after mutual adjustment, and further confirms the misclassification bias raised by Dr Esther Rodriguez Rodriguez using different data from the same study.

Moreover, we can deduce from the rates of anosmia in the “Belief+” population (7.0%) and in the “Serology+” population (4.7%) that the first group contains 1.5 times more infected individuals than the latter group. In other words, “belief” seems more accurate than serology in identifying Covid-19 infection (what is expected when two-third of the "belief-positive" have received a physician diagnosis or a positive lab result), and the multiple symptoms other than anosmia associated with “belief” are likely to be consequences of the disease.

It is perhaps relevant that when infection is confirmed by PCR/LFT test or clinical diagnosis (model 7), the point estimates of the odds ratios are greater than 1 for most of the prolonged symptoms. Although the sample size is too limited for these individual estimates to reach conventional levels of statistical significance (i.e., their 95% confidence intervals do not include 1.0), this cumulative evidence across symptoms is nevertheless suggestive of an association of these prolonged symptoms with Covid-19.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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“Belief” may have been swayed by prejudicial presentation of an additional serological test result
Jerome Larche, MD, MSc | Clinique Clémentville, Montpellier
The article by Matta et al classifies participants with their Covid-19 serological tests against spike protein (ELISA-S) results. The article, however, does not mention that all positive serologies were supplemented with an in-house microneutralization assay (SN) that detects the presence of neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 (1).

Participants were given both their ELISA-S and SN results by December 2020 (2,3), before they were asked whether they thought they had been infected with SARS-CoV-2 or not. Crucially, they were informed, by a laboratory led by one of the Matta et al. authors, that SN would be far more reliable than
ELISA-S serologies: a positive SN test would be almost 100% associated with a prior Covid-19 infection, but a negative SN could reveal a false positive ELISA-S, caused by antibodies against other common cold coronaviruses (4). This information is likely to have substantially influenced the opinion of those with a positive ELISA-S serology, such that those with positive SN would be likely to report a Covid-19 infection while those with negative SN would not.

Seven co-authors of the Matta et al. article contributed to a research article (5) based on 16,000 participants of the SAPRIS-SERO study, which showed that only 38% of ELISA-S positives were also SN positives. This proportion is very close to the surprisingly low rate (42%) of positive ELISA-S that report a Covid-19 infection in the Matta et al. study. In order to assess this potential major source of bias, the distribution of SN results for each subcategory “Belief+” and “Belief−” should be provided to readers.


(1) https://www.constances.fr/actualites/2020/Etude-serologie-COVID.php

(2) https://cephb.fr/ceph-SAPRIS-SERO.php

(3) https://www.constances.fr/actualites/2020/Web-conference-COVID19.php

(4) https://www.constances.fr/actualites/2020/Conclusion-serologie-COVID.php

(5) https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab110
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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Authors’ reply to Dr Larche’s comments
Cedric Lemogne, MD, PhD | Université Paris Cité, AP-HP, INSERM
We thank Dr Larche for his question regarding the in-house neutralization assay (SN) performed in the SAPRIS-SERO survey. Although this test is thought to have an excellent specificity regarding past infection by SARS-CoV-2, its sensitivity is unknown and expected to be low. Furthermore, it was only used in samples with an ELISA-S test optical density ratio ≥0.7 and the results were thus available in <10% participants (1). We thus based our analysis on the results of the well-validated Euroimmune® ELISA-S test, available for all the participants and allowing the study to be replicated.

As our article states, serological test
results likely influenced the belief of having had COVID-19 (2). Indeed, the ELISA-S test results were positive in about a half of participants with self-reported COVID-19 versus in 2.5% of those without. Therefore, ELISA-S test results could have confounded the association of belief with persistent symptoms. Mutual adjustment, however, yielded no evidence for such a confounding effect as belief’s ORs remained virtually unchanged, except for anosmia.

Similar results were observed when replacing the 2-class serology variable with a 3-class variable based on both ELISA-S and SN results (i.e., ELISA-S-; ELISA-S+/SN-; ELISA-S+/SN+). As expected, both ELISA-S+/SN- and ELISA-S+/SN+ were more frequent in participants who self-reported having had COVID-19 (22% and 25%, respectively) than in those who did not (2.3% and <1%). As in our article, this 3-class variable was significantly associated with the same 10 persistent symptom categories in model 2 and mutual adjustment in model 3 did not yield substantial reduction of the belief’s ORs, except for anosmia. This new variable was no longer significantly associated with persistent symptoms in model 3, except for anosmia.

Please note that one should not interpret this last result as evidence that COVID-19 could not result in persistent symptoms other than anosmia, since the association between serology and persistent symptoms could be mediated by belief (3). Our results merely suggest that self-reported COVID-19 may be associated with several persistent symptoms in participants with no serological traces of past infection and that mechanisms not specific to SARS-CoV-2 should thus be considered.

References
1. Carrat F, de Lamballerie X, Rahib D, et al. Antibody status and cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection among adults in three regions of France following the first lockdown and associated risk factors: a multicohort study. Int J Epidemiol. 2021;50(5):1458-1472. doi:10.1093/ije/dyab110
2. Matta J, Wiernik E, Robineau O, et al. Association of Self-reported COVID-19 Infection and SARS-CoV-2 Serology Test Results With Persistent Physical Symptoms Among French Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2022;182(1):19-25. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454
3. Lemogne C, Matta J, Robineau O. Serology Test Results and Other Important Characteristics of Patients With Persistent COVID-19 Symptoms—Reply. JAMA Internal Medicine. Published online March 21, 2022. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.0424
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: Corresponding author of the article
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Authors’ reply to Dr Iasonidou’s comments
Cedric Lemogne, MD, PhD | Université Paris Cité, AP-HP, INSERM
We thank Dr Iasonidou for this impetus to further discuss our results regarding anosmia. Although anosmia is arguably more specific to COVID-19 than any other symptom reported in our study, the specificity of anosmia regarding COVID-19 may not be higher than the specificity of positive serology results (1). In addition, it is noteworthy that anosmia was the only symptom whose association with belief substantially decreased after adjustment for serology. In other words, anosmia is the only symptom whose association with belief may be partially confounded by serology, further suggesting that it was the only symptom substantially associated with past infection (2). However, the fact that anosmia has been widely portrayed as a “hallmark of COVID-19 infection” may explain why most participants experiencing this symptom may think they have had COVID-19, regardless of test results. As shown in eTable 7, among participants who reported having had COVID-19, anosmia was more frequently associated with the attribution of persistent symptoms to COVID-19 than any other symptom (3). The robustness of its association with belief in model 3 is therefore consistent with our conclusions.

Regarding the point estimates of the odds ratios in model 7, in which the serology test results were replaced with the self-reported confirmation of the diagnosis, we agree that they were greater than 1 for most of the persistent symptoms. However, before interpreting this finding as suggesting a specific association of these symptoms with COVID-19, one should consider that the recommendation of the French health authorities during the pandemic first wave was that patients without criteria of severe infection should not go to the hospital. Therefore, participants reporting a confirmation of the diagnosis by any test or even a physician are likely to have presented with more severe acute symptoms, thus possibly accounting for the higher likelihood of persistent symptoms.

References
1. Haehner A, Draf J, Dräger S, de With K, Hummel T. Predictive Value of Sudden Olfactory Loss in the Diagnosis of COVID-19. ORL J Otorhinolaryngol Relat Spec. 2020;82(4):175-180. doi:10.1159/000509143
2. Lemogne C, Matta J, Robineau O. Serology Test Results and Other Important Characteristics of Patients With Persistent COVID-19 Symptoms—Reply. JAMA Internal Medicine. Published online March 21, 2022. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.0424
3. Matta J, Wiernik E, Robineau O, et al. Association of Self-reported COVID-19 Infection and SARS-CoV-2 Serology Test Results With Persistent Physical Symptoms Among French Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2022;182(1):19-25. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: Corresponding author of the article
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Authors’ reply to Dr Rodriguez Rodriguez’s comments
Cedric Lemogne, MD, PhD | Université Paris Cité, AP-HP, INSERM
We agree with Dr Rodriguez Rodriguez that false negative and false positive serology results might be more likely in participants with and without self-reported COVID-19, respectively. However, since participants were aware of their serology test results (1), those with positive test results were more likely to report having had COVID-19 than those with negative test results. In addition, a substantial misclassification bias would have affected not only serology’s ORs but also belief’s ORs in model 3. Indeed, unless one assumes self-reporting to be the ‘gold standard’ for the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, false negatives and false positives may have occurred with self-reporting as well. Asymptomatic cases, about one third of SARS-CoV-2 infections (2), might explain why some participants may not believe they have had COVID-19 despite positive serology results. Reciprocally, another viral infection might account for persistent symptoms in participants self-reporting COVID-19 despite negative results (3). Therefore, the prevalence of past infection is likely to be highest in participants with both positive serology results and self-reported COVID-19. Should persistent symptoms be merely linked to past infection, they would be associated with both factors after mutual adjustment. This pattern was observed only for anosmia.

Although anosmia is arguably more specific to COVID-19 than any other symptom reported in our study, the specificity of anosmia regarding COVID-19 may not be higher than the specificity of positive serology results (4). Furthermore, it is noteworthy that anosmia was the only symptom whose association with belief substantially decreased after adjustment for serology. In other words, anosmia is the only symptom whose association with belief may be partially confounded by serology, further suggesting that it was the only symptom substantially associated with past infection (5). However, since anosmia has been widely portrayed as the hallmark of COVID-19 infection, the participants experiencing this symptom were obviously more likely to believe they have had COVID-19, regardless of test results. Among participants who reported having had COVID-19, anosmia was indeed more frequently associated with the attribution of persistent symptoms to COVID-19 than any other symptom (1).

References
1. Matta J, Wiernik E, Robineau O, et al. Association of Self-reported COVID-19 Infection and SARS-CoV-2 Serology Test Results With Persistent Physical Symptoms Among French Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2022;182(1):19-25. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454
2. Sah P, Fitzpatrick MC, Zimmer CF, et al. Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021;118(34):e2109229118. doi:10.1073/pnas.2109229118
3. Taquet M, Dercon Q, Luciano S, Geddes JR, Husain M, Harrison PJ. Incidence, co-occurrence, and evolution of long-COVID features: A 6-month retrospective cohort study of 273,618 survivors of COVID-19. PLoS Med. 2021;18(9):e1003773. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1003773
4. Haehner A, Draf J, Dräger S, de With K, Hummel T. Predictive Value of Sudden Olfactory Loss in the Diagnosis of COVID-19. ORL J Otorhinolaryngol Relat Spec. 2020;82(4):175-180. doi:10.1159/000509143
5. Lemogne C, Matta J, Robineau O. Serology Test Results and Other Important Characteristics of Patients With Persistent COVID-19 Symptoms—Reply. JAMA Internal Medicine. Published online March 21, 2022. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.0424
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: Corresponding author of the article
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Authors’ reply to Dr Brown’s comments
Cedric Lemogne, MD, PhD | Université Paris Cité, AP-HP, INSERM
We agree with Dr Brown that the belief of having had COVID-19 may be entirely rationale for many participants. As our article states, this belief is likely to have been influenced by the serological test results (1), as well as by other test results, a physician’s diagnosis, or acute symptoms consistent with a COVID-19 episode. We did not split eTable 5 according to serology test results as these results would then be part of both the independent variable (i.e., the group) and the dependent variable (i.e., the % of confirmation). It is noteworthy that false positive and false negative serology results might have influenced the participants’ belief as well. For instance, for a participant with positive results, not believing that he or she has had COVID-19 could be considered, as pointed by Dr Brown, “a denial of the scientific evidence”.

Speculating about the proportion of true cases in participants with self-reported COVID-19, one should thus keep in mind that false negatives and false positives may have occurred with self-reporting as well. Asymptomatic cases, about one third of SARS-CoV-2 infections (2), might explain why some participants did not self-report COVID-19 despite true positive serology results. Reciprocally, another viral infection might account for persistent symptoms in participants self-reporting COVID-19 despite true negative results (3). The prevalence of past infection is thus likely to be highest in participants with both positive serology results and self-reported COVID-19. Any persistent symptom merely linked to past SARS-CoV-2 infection would thus have been associated with both factors after mutual adjustment. This pattern was observed only for anosmia. Furthermore, anosmia was the only symptom whose association with self-reported COVID-19 was substantially attenuated after adjustment for serology test results.

Although a PCR test may not be the “gold standard” to detect past infection in a population-based study, we also agree with Dr Brown that a replication of our results is needed to draw definitive conclusions, as for any study. However, it noteworthy that our study was not designed to question the “reality of long COVID”, but rather to examine the hypothesis that the mechanisms underlying persistent symptoms after COVID-19 may not be specific to SARS-CoV-2. Regarding the possibilities for harm to patients, we designed the study having in mind the risk of ascribing any new persistent symptom to SARS-CoV-2 based solely on a previous episode of COVID-19, documented or not. Hazards are twofold. First, as front-line clinicians, some of us were concerned that another disease might explain the symptoms, with serious harm if misattributed. Second, given the potential burden of long COVID worldwide, major harm would be done to patients if research focuses only on mechanisms unique to SARS-CoV-2 when some of these mechanisms are not.

References
1. Matta J, Wiernik E, Robineau O, et al. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2022;182(1):19-25. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454
2. Sah P, Fitzpatrick MC, Zimmer CF, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021;118(34):e2109229118. doi:10.1073/pnas.2109229118
3. Taquet M, Dercon Q, Luciano S, Geddes JR, Husain M, Harrison PJ. PLoS Med. 2021;18(9):e1003773. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1003773
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: Corresponding author of the article
READ MORE
Authors’ reply to Dr Guerrero’s comments
Cedric Lemogne, MD, PhD | Université Paris Cité, AP-HP, INSERM
We agree with Dr Guerrero that negative serology results may not rule out a past infection by SARS-CoV-2 at the individual level. However, whatever the past infection prevalence one may assume in our population, participants with positive results would be far more likely to have had COVID-19 than those with negative results. Serology may thus be a useful tool to study the correlates of SARS-CoV-2 infection at the populational level (1).

Regarding the hypothesis that a weak anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody response could be a risk factor of 'long COVID', this finding was not replicated in some studies in which the
initial infection was ascertained. Studies even found higher antibody titers associated with more persistent symptoms (2). Furthermore, this hypothesis would imply a stronger association between self-reported COVID-19 and persistent symptoms among participants with negative (versus positive) serology results. Against this hypothesis, we found no significant interaction between self-reported COVID-19 and positive serology results across 18 symptom categories (3).

Regarding other potential markers of past SARS-CoV-2 infection, such as those mentioned by Dr. Guerrero, if validated with appropriate control groups and found to be superior to serological tests, they could be of great interest in studying the long-term clinical correlates of COVID-19.

References
1. Lemogne C, Matta J, Robineau O. Serology Test Results and Other Important Characteristics of Patients With Persistent COVID-19 Symptoms—Reply. JAMA Internal Medicine. Published online March 21, 2022. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.0424
2. Blomberg B, Mohn KGI, Brokstad KA, et al. Long COVID in a prospective cohort of home-isolated patients. Nat Med. 2021;27(9):1607-1613. doi:10.1038/s41591-021-01433-3
3. Matta J, Wiernik E, Robineau O, et al. Association of Self-reported COVID-19 Infection and SARS-CoV-2 Serology Test Results With Persistent Physical Symptoms Among French Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2022;182(1):19-25. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: Corresponding author of the article
READ MORE
Original Investigation
November 8, 2021

Association of Self-reported COVID-19 Infection and SARS-CoV-2 Serology Test Results With Persistent Physical Symptoms Among French Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Author Affiliations
  • 1Université de Paris, “Population-based Cohorts Unit,” Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Paris Saclay University, Université de Versailles-Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, UMS 011, Paris, France
  • 2Université Lille, Centre Hospitalier de Tourcoing, ULR 2694-METRICS: Évaluation des technologies de santé et des pratiques médicales, Lille, France
  • 3Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Département de Santé Publique, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Assistance publique–Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Paris, France
  • 4Sorbonne Paris Nord University, INSERM U1153, Inrae U1125, Cnam, Nutritional Epidemiology Research Team (EREN), Epidemiology and Statistics Research Center–University of Paris (CRESS), Bobigny, France
  • 5Université Paris-Saclay, UVSQ, INSERM, CESP U1018, Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France
  • 6Department of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications “G. Parenti,” University of Florence, Florence, Italy
  • 7Unité des Virus Emergents, UVE: Aix Marseille Université, IRD 190, INSERM 1207, Institut Hospitalo-Universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France
  • 8Centre d’Etude du Polymorphisme Humain, Fondation Jean Dausset, Paris, France
  • 9AP-HP, Hôpital Hôtel-Dieu, Département Médico-Universitaire Psychiatrie et Addictologie, Service de Psychiatrie de l’adulte, Paris, France
  • 10Université de Paris, AP-HP, Hôpital Corentin-Celton, DMU Psychiatrie et Addictologie, Service de Psychiatrie de l’adulte et du sujet âgé, INSERM, Institut de Psychiatrie et Neurosciences de Paris (IPNP), UMR_S1266, Paris, France
  • 11Université de Paris, AP-HP, Hôpital Européen Georges-Pompidou, DMU endocrinologie, ophtalmologie, médecine infectieuse, médecine interne & immunologie, médecine sociale, Service de Médecine interne, Paris, France
  • 12Université de Paris, AP-HP, Hôpital Hôtel-Dieu, DMU Psychiatrie et Addictologie, Service de Psychiatrie de l’adulte, INSERM, IPNP, UMR_S1266, Paris, France
JAMA Intern Med. 2022;182(1):19-25. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454
Key Points

Question  Are the belief in having had COVID-19 infection and actually having had the infection as verified by SARS-CoV-2 serology testing associated with persistent physical symptoms during the COVID-19 pandemic?

Findings  In this cross-sectional analysis of 26 823 adults from the population-based French CONSTANCES cohort during the COVID-19 pandemic, self-reported COVID-19 infection was associated with most persistent physical symptoms, whereas laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection was associated only with anosmia. Those associations were independent from self-rated health or depressive symptoms.

Meaning  Findings suggest that persistent physical symptoms after COVID-19 infection should not be automatically ascribed to SARS-CoV-2; a complete medical evaluation may be needed to prevent erroneously attributing symptoms to the virus.

Abstract

Importance  After an infection by SARS-CoV-2, many patients present with persistent physical symptoms that may impair their quality of life. Beliefs regarding the causes of these symptoms may influence their perception and promote maladaptive health behaviors.

Objective  To examine the associations of self-reported COVID-19 infection and SARS-CoV-2 serology test results with persistent physical symptoms (eg, fatigue, breathlessness, or impaired attention) in the general population during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Design, Setting, and Participants  Participants in this cross-sectional analysis were 26 823 individuals from the French population-based CONSTANCES cohort, included between 2012 and 2019, who took part in the nested SAPRIS and SAPRIS-SERO surveys. Between May and November 2020, an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect anti–SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Between December 2020 and January 2021, the participants reported whether they believed they had experienced COVID-19 infection and had physical symptoms during the previous 4 weeks that had persisted for at least 8 weeks. Participants who reported having an initial COVID-19 infection only after completing the serology test were excluded.

Main Outcomes and Measures  Logistic regressions for each persistent symptom as the outcome were computed in models including both self-reported COVID-19 infection and serology test results and adjusting for age, sex, income, and educational level.

Results  Of 35 852 volunteers invited to participate in the study, 26 823 (74.8%) with complete data for serologic testing and self-reported infection were included in the present study (mean [SD] age, 49.4 [12.9] years; 13 731 women [51.2%]). Self-reported infection was positively associated with persistent physical symptoms, with odds ratios ranging from 1.44 (95% CI, 1.08-1.90) to 16.61 (95% CI, 10.30-26.77) except for hearing impairment (odds ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 0.76-2.51), joint pain (odds ratio, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.98-1.80) and sleep problems (odds ratio, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.87-1.44). A serology test result positive for SARS-COV-2 was positively associated only with persistent anosmia (odds ratio, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.57-4.28), even when restricting the analyses to participants who attributed their symptoms to COVID-19 infection. Further adjusting for self-rated health or depressive symptoms yielded similar results. There was no significant interaction between belief and serology test results.

Conclusions and Relevance  The findings of this cross-sectional analysis of a large, population-based French cohort suggest that persistent physical symptoms after COVID-19 infection may be associated more with the belief in having been infected with SARS-CoV-2 than with having laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection. Further research in this area should consider underlying mechanisms that may not be specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus. A medical evaluation of these patients may be needed to prevent symptoms due to another disease being erroneously attributed to “long COVID.”

Introduction

After infection by SARS-CoV-2, both hospitalized and nonhospitalized patients have an increased risk of various persistent physical symptoms that may impair their quality of life, such as fatigue, breathlessness, or impaired attention.1-3 Although the term “long COVID” has been coined to describe these symptoms4 and putative mechanisms have been proposed,3,5,6 the symptoms may not emanate from SARS-CoV-2 infection per se but instead may be ascribed to SARS-CoV-2 despite having other causes. In this study, we examined the association of self-reported COVID-19 infection and of serology test results with persistent physical symptoms. We hypothesized that the belief in having been infected with SARS-CoV-2 would be associated with persistent symptoms while controlling for actual infection.

Methods

The French CONSTANCES population-based cohort study7 received ethical approval and included approximately 200 000 volunteers who were aged 18 to 69 years between 2012 and 2019 and who consented to be followed up through annual questionnaires and linked administrative databases.8 A total of 35 852 volunteers responding to annual questionnaires through the internet were invited to take part in the nested Santé, Pratiques, Relations et Inégalités Sociales en Population Générale Pendant la Crise COVID-19 (SAPRIS) and SAPRIS-Sérologie (SERO) surveys.9,10 Ethical approval and written or electronic informed consent were obtained from each participant before enrollment in the original cohort. The SAPRIS survey was approved by the French Institute of Health and Medical Research ethics committee, and the SAPRIS-SERO study was approved by the Sud-Mediterranée III ethics committee. Electronic informed consent was obtained from all participants for dried-blood spot testing. No one received compensation or was offered any incentive for participating in this study. Quiz Ref IDThe present study is a cross-sectional analysis of data from the SAPRIS and SAPRIS-SERO surveys nested in the French CONSTANCES cohort.

Serologic Testing

Between May and November 2020, self-sampling dried-blood spot kits were mailed to each participant. Each kit included material (a dried-blood spot card, lancets, and a pad), printed instructions, and an addressed, stamped, and padded envelope to be returned with the card to a centralized biobank (CEPH Biobank). Received blood spots were visually assessed, registered, punched, and stored in tubes (0.5 mL, FluidX 96-Format 2D code; Brooks Life Sciences) at −30 °C. Eluates were processed with an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (Euroimmun) to detect anti–SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (IgG) directed against the S1 domain of the virus spike protein. A test was considered positive for SARS-CoV-2 when the results indicated an optical density ratio of 1.1 or greater (sensitivity, 87%; specificity, 97.5%).11 The participants received their serology test results by mail or email.

Self-reported COVID-19 Infection

Between December 2020 and January 2021, the participants answered this question from the fourth SAPRIS questionnaire: “Since March, do you think you have been infected by the coronavirus (whether or not confirmed by a physician or a test)?” Participants answered “Yes,” “No,” or “I don’t know.” At the time they answered this question, the participants were aware of their serology test results (eFigure in Supplement 1). A total of 2788 participants (7.8%) who answered “I don’t know” were excluded.

The participants who answered “Yes” additionally answered this question: “When did you get the coronavirus? Between March and June; In July or August; Between September and now.” Participants who indicated having been initially infected after serologic testing (n = 1312 [3.6%]) were excluded. The participants who answered “Yes” also answered this question: “Has this been confirmed? Yes, by virological or PCR test (based on nose swab; results provided after at least 24 hours); Yes, by antigenic test performed (based on nose swab; results provided within 1 hour); Yes, by serological test (based on a blood test; results provided after at least 24 hours); Yes, by rapid diagnostic test (based on blood test; results provided within 1 hour); Yes, by saliva test; Yes, by chest CT scan; Yes, by a physician (without testing); No, but I think I had it; I don’t know.”

Persistent Physical Symptoms

In the same questionnaire, symptoms were measured by the following question: “Since March 2020, have you had any of the following symptoms that you did not usually have before?” On the basis of the literature,1-3 the following symptoms were explored: sleep problems, joint pain, back pain, muscular pain, sore muscles, fatigue, poor attention or concentration, skin problems, sensory symptoms (pins and needles, tingling or burning sensation), hearing impairment, constipation, stomach pain, headache, breathing difficulties, palpitations, dizziness, chest pain, cough, diarrhea, anosmia, and other symptoms.

Two additional questions were asked for each symptom: “Has this symptom been present in the past 4 weeks?” Participants answered “Yes, but not present anymore,” “Yes, and still present,” or “No”; “How much time did this symptom last? Or how long has it been since you have had this symptom (if it is still present)?” with possible responses ranging from “Less than a week” to “More than 8 weeks.” To avoid considering symptoms that were no longer present or only transient and to limit recall bias, only participants who responded “Yes” and “More than 8 weeks” to these 2 questions were considered as having persistent symptoms. Because we aimed to compare participants who self-reported having had COVID-19 infection with those who did not, we did not distinguish between persistent symptoms that were similar to those experienced at the time of the initial episode and potentially new symptoms.

Participants who declared having any of the listed persistent symptoms also answered the following question: “Do you attribute the current symptoms to COVID-19?” and participants answered “Yes, all”; “Yes, only a few”; “No”; or “I don’t know.” Participants who answered “Yes, all” or “Yes, only a few” were considered to attribute their symptoms to COVID-19 infection.

Covariates

Age, sex, educational level, income, and self-rated health in 2019 were obtained from the inclusion questionnaire and the 2019 CONSTANCES questionnaire. Depressive symptoms during the pandemic were measured as part of the SAPRIS survey by using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale.12

Statistical Analysis

The crude prevalence of persistent physical symptoms was first calculated for 4 groups of participants according to both belief (i.e., self-reported COVID-19 infection) and serology test results: belief negative and serology negative; belief positive and serology negative; belief negative and serology positive; and belief positive and serology positive. We used χ2 tests to search for between-group differences. To specifically test our hypothesis, we used separate logistic regressions for each persistent symptom as the outcome computed in models including either belief (model 1), serology test result (model 2), or both (model 3), adjusting for age, sex, income, and educational level. Only participants with complete data for model 3 were included in models 1 and 2. Additional models searched for belief by serology test result interactions. In sensitivity analyses, the models were further adjusted for self-rated health or depressive symptoms. Exploratory analyses were restricted to participants attributing their persistent symptoms to COVID-19 infection. A 2-sided value of P < .05 was considered statistically significant. All analyses were conducted using SAS, version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc).

Results

Of 35 852 volunteers invited to participate in this cross-sectional analysis, a cohort of 26 823 (74.8%) with complete data for serologic testing and self-reported infection were included (mean [SD] age, 49.4 [12.9] years; 13 731 women [51.2%]; and 13 092 men [48.8%]) (Table 1). Missing data for each covariate are given in Table 1. The crude prevalence rates of persistent symptoms by belief and by serology test result categories are given in Table 2, taking into account 1-2% missing data for each symptom. Compared with participants in the CONSTANCES cohort, the participants in the present study were more likely to be older, men, more educated, have higher levels of income, and have better self-reported health (eTable 1 in Supplement 1). Quiz Ref IDThe prevalence of persistent physical symptoms ranged from 0.6% (146 participants with anosmia) to 10.4% (2729 participants with sleep problems). A total of 1091 participants had a serology test result positive for SARS-CoV-2, including 453 participants (41.5%) who subsequently reported having had COVID-19 infection before the serology test. A total of 914 participants reported having had COVID-19 infection before the serology test, including 453 (49.6%) with a serology test result positive for SARS-CoV-2 (Table 2). Differences in covariates according to the serology test results, the belief in having had COVID-19 infection, and both are reported in eTables 2, 3, and 4 in Supplement 1. Whether or not the diagnosis was confirmed by a laboratory test or by a physician among the participants with a positive belief is reported in eTable 5 in Supplement 1.

Before adjustment, the belief in having had COVID-19 infection was associated with 14 of 18 categories of persistent symptoms (Table 3, model 1), whereas a positive serology test result was associated with 10 categories of persistent symptoms (Table 3, model 2). Quiz Ref IDAfter mutual adjustment, positive belief was significantly associated with higher odds of having all persistent symptoms, with odds ratios (ORs) ranging from 1.44 (95% CI, 1.08-1.90) to 16.61 (95% CI, 10.30-26.77) except for hearing impairment (OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 0.76-2.51), joint pain (odds ratio, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.98-1.80) and sleep problems (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.87-1.44) (Table 3, model 3). Quiz Ref IDBy contrast, a positive serology test result remained positively associated only with anosmia (OR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.57-4.28) and was negatively associated with skin problems (OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.27-0.80) (Table 3, model 3). There was no significant interaction between belief and serology. Adjusting for self-rated health or depressive symptoms yielded similar results except for back pain (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.00-1.77), which was no longer associated with belief when adjusting for depressive symptoms (eTable 6 in Supplement 1).

Restricting the analyses to participants with a positive belief and attributing their persistent symptoms to COVID-19 showed a positive serology test result to be associated only with anosmia (OR, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.43-5.11) (eTable 7 in Supplement 1). Similarly, confirmation of the diagnosis by a laboratory test or by a physician (vs the response, “No, but I think I had it,” and excluding participants who answered “I don’t know” or “No, but I think I had it” in combination with another response) was also associated only with anosmia (OR, 4.16; 95% CI, 1.86-9.32) (eTable 7 in Supplement 1).

Discussion

This cross-sectional analysis of data from a population-based cohort found that persistent physical symptoms 10 to 12 months after the COVID-19 pandemic first wave were associated more with the belief in having experienced COVID-19 infection than with having laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection.

In previous studies, the association between persistent symptoms and SARS-CoV-2 serology test results may be explained by the belief in having experienced COVID-19 infection.13 Furthermore, most previous studies assessing “long COVID” included only patients who had COVID-19 infection, thus lacking a control group of patients who did not have the infection.3,14 Indeed, our results showed that the persistent physical symptoms observed after COVID-19 infection were quite frequent in the general population. Because our study also included participants who reported not having had COVID-19 infection with either positive or negative serology test results, we were able to compare the prevalence of persistent physical symptoms according to these 2 variables. We were also able to perform analyses restricted to participants attributing their persistent symptoms to COVID-19 infection. Although our study did not assess long COVID per se because we also included participants without COVID-19 infection, these specific analyses may be more representative of the long COVID clinical issue in real-life settings15 than the picture provided by cohorts of patients with a laboratory-confirmed or physician-documented COVID-19 infection.

Although the participants were aware of the serology results when they reported having had COVID-19 infection or not, less than half of those with a positive serology test reported having experienced the disease. Conversely, among those who reported having had the disease, approximately half had a negative serology test result, consistent with some findings in clinical settings.15 These results, which allowed for disentangling the correlates of the serology test results from those of the belief in having had COVID-19 infection, were not unexpected. First, patients with a positive serology test result but no or only mild symptoms of COVID-19 infection may not believe that they had the disease. Because persistent symptoms may be more frequent among patients who experienced a higher number of acute COVID-19 symptoms,16 the severity of the initial episode may partially confound the association between the belief in having experienced COVID-19 infection and persistent symptoms among participants with positive serology test results. However, this belief was associated with persistent symptoms to a similar extent among participants with negative serology test results as shown by the lack of any interaction between belief and serology. Even if this belief could be explained by the experience of a COVID-19 infection–like episode among some of these participants, these results support the idea that persistent physical symptoms attributed to COVID-19 infection may not be specific to SARS-CoV-2. Second, patients who believe that they have had COVID-19 infection may reject a negative serology test result for several reasons, including perceptions about the frequency of false-negative tests and data suggesting that a weak anti–SARS-CoV-2 antibody response could be a risk factor of long COVID.17 Indeed, since the first definitions of long COVID, it has been proposed that the associated antibodies profile is “uncharacterized.”18 Among participants in the present study who believed that they had experienced COVID-19 infection, anosmia was the only symptom associated with the confirmation of the diagnosis by a laboratory test or a physician. In other words, those who responded, “No, but I think I had it” were 4 times less likely to have anosmia, with no differences regarding all other symptoms, further suggesting that these other symptoms were not specific to actual infection by SARS-CoV-2.

Two main mechanisms may account for our findings. First, having persistent physical symptoms may have led to the belief in having had COVID-19, especially in the context of a growing concern regarding long COVID. Although adjusting for self-rated health before the pandemic did not affect our results, another disease may underlie symptoms attributed to COVID-19 infection. Second, the belief in having had COVID-19 infection may have increased the likelihood of symptoms, either directly by affecting perception19,20 or indirectly by prompting maladaptive health behaviors, such as physical activity reduction or dietary exclusion. These mechanisms are thought to contribute to the long-described persistence of physical symptoms after acute infections.21

Strengths and Limitations

In addition to a large, population-based sample, the strengths of our study included the joint examination of self-reported COVID-19 infection and serology testing results while controlling for several covariates, including self-rated health—a robust indicator of physical health—and depressive symptoms.

This study had limitations. Quiz Ref IDFirst, selection biases limit the representativeness of our sample. Second, our study may not have investigated all of the symptoms that patients with long COVID are reporting. However, the symptoms we studied were among those that are frequently explored in studies investigating long COVID3 and reported by patients with long COVID.22 Third, we analyzed persistent symptoms separately; different outcomes may be tested by clustering symptoms. In addition, because our study also included participants who did not report having had COVID-19 infection, we did not distinguish between symptoms that were experienced at the time of the initial episode of COVID-19 infection and new symptoms that occurred afterward. Fourth, we cannot exclude the possibility of misclassification regarding serology test results, including false positives and false negatives. The lack of any interaction between belief and serology test results suggests that persistent symptoms were associated with belief to a similar extent in participants with positive and negative serology test results. This finding makes our results unlikely to be explained solely by false-negative results. Furthermore, serology test results were associated only with persistent anosmia, a hallmark of COVID-19 infection, strengthening our confidence in the serology test results. This result held true even when restricting our analyses to participants attributing their symptoms to COVID-19 infection. Fifth, participants were aware of their serology test results when they reported having had COVID-19 infection or not. This factor may have reduced our ability to disentangle the associations of the 2 measures with persistent physical symptoms.

Conclusions

The results of this cross-sectional analysis of a large, population-based French cohort suggest that physical symptoms persisting 10 to 12 months after the COVID-19 pandemic first wave may be associated more with the belief in having experienced COVID-19 infection than with actually being infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Although our study cannot determine the direction of the association between belief and symptoms, our results suggest that further research regarding persistent physical symptoms after COVID-19 infection should also consider mechanisms that may not be specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus. From a clinical perspective, patients in this situation should be offered a medical evaluation to prevent their symptoms being erroneously attributed to COVID-19 infection and to identify cognitive and behavioral mechanisms that may be targeted to relieve the symptoms.23

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Article Information

Accepted for Publication: September 17, 2021.

Published Online: November 8, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6454

Correction: This article was corrected on March 21, 2022, to fix errors in the article and Supplement 1.

Corresponding Author: Cédric Lemogne, MD, PhD, Service de Psychiatrie de l’adulte, Hôpital Hôtel-Dieu, 1 place du Parvis Notre-Dame, 75004 Paris, France (cedric.lemogne@aphp.fr).

Author Contributions: Drs Matta and Lemogne had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.

Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Matta, Wiernik, Robineau, Carrat, Touvier, de Lamballerie, Blanché, Deleuze, Hoertel, Ranque, Goldberg, Lemogne.

Drafting of the manuscript: Matta, Lemogne.

Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Matta, Wiernik, Robineau, Carrat, Touvier, Severi, de Lamballerie, Blanché, Deleuze, Gouraud, Hoertel, Ranque, Goldberg, Zins.

Statistical analysis: Matta, Robineau, Hoertel.

Obtained funding: Blanché, Zins.

Administrative, technical, or material support: Blanché, Deleuze, Gouraud, Goldberg, Zins.

Supervision: Carrat, Touvier, Blanché, Gouraud, Goldberg, Lemogne.

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Robineau reported personal fees and nonfinancial support from Gilead, ViiV Healthcare, and Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp outside the submitted work. Dr Carrat reported personal fees from Sanofi outside the submitted work. Dr de Lamballerie reported grants from the French Ministry of Research and the French Institute of Health and Medical Research during the conduct of the study. Dr Hoertel reported personal fees and nonfinancial support from Lundbeck outside the submitted work. Dr Lemogne reported personal fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Janssen-Cilag, Lundbeck, and Otsuka Pharmaceutical outside the submitted work. No other disclosures were reported.

Funding/Support: The CONSTANCES cohort benefits from grant ANR-11-INBS-0002 from the French National Research Agency. CONSTANCES is supported by the Caisse Nationale d’Assurance Maladie, the French Ministry of Health, the Ministry of Research, and the Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM). CONSTANCES is also partly funded by AstraZeneca, Lundbeck, L’Oréal, and Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp. The Santé, Pratiques, Relations et Inégalités Socials en Population Générale Pendant la Crise COVID-19 (SAPRIS) and SAPRIS-Sérologie (SERO) study was supported by grants ANR-10-COHO-06 and ANR-20-COVI-000 from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche; grant 20DMIA014-0 from Santé Publique France; grant 20RR052-00 from the Fondation pour la Recherche Médicale; and grant C20-26 from INSERM.

Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funders had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Group Information: A complete list of the members of the SAPRIS-SERO study group appears in Supplement 2.

Additional Contributions: Céline Ribet, PhD, Mireille Pellicer, MD, Laura Quintin, MSc, Stephane Le Got, MSc, all from the CONSTANCES cohort, and Céline Dorival, PhD, and Jerôme Nicol, MSc, from INSERM Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, substantially contributed to data collection for this work.

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