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Figure 1.  Cumulative Incidence and Survival Curves Weighted for the Inverse Probability of Trial Enrollment
Cumulative Incidence and Survival Curves Weighted for the Inverse Probability of Trial Enrollment

Cumulative incidence curves for biochemical recurrence (A), distant metastasis (B), prostate cancer–specific mortality and other-cause mortality (C), distant metastasis-free survival (D), and overall survival (E). All curves were weighted for the inverse probability of enrollment on a given trial. Weights were determined based on a multinomial logistic regression with trial as the outcome and age, prostate-specific antigen level, Gleason score, T category, and treatment strategy as independent covariates.

Figure 2.  Estimates of Association Between Race and Biochemical Recurrence and Distant Metastasis
Estimates of Association Between Race and Biochemical Recurrence and Distant Metastasis

Associations between race and biochemical recurrence (A) and distant metastasis (B) were modeled with the unadjusted Fine-Gray method yielding subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) method. Trial-specific estimates were generated and then combined with a 2-step meta-analysis method with random effects to obtain overall estimates. LTADT indicates long-term androgen deprivation therapy; NCCN, National Comprehensive Cancer Network; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; RT, radiotherapy; sHR, subdistribution hazard ratio; and STADT, short-term androgen deprivation therapy. SI conversion of PSA levels to micrograms per liter is 1:1.

Figure 3.  Estimates of Association Between Race and Prostate Cancer–Specific Mortality (PCSM) and All-Cause Mortality (ACM)
Estimates of Association Between Race and Prostate Cancer–Specific Mortality (PCSM) and All-Cause Mortality (ACM)

Associations between race and prostate cancer–specific mortality (A) and all-cause mortality (B) were modeled with the unadjusted Fine-Gray method yielding subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) and Cox proportional hazards models yielding hazard ratios (HRs), respectively. Trial-specific estimates were generated and then combined with a 2-step meta-analysis method with random effects to obtain overall estimates. LTADT indicates long-term androgen deprivation therapy; NCCN, National Comprehensive Cancer Network; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; RT, radiotherapy; sHR, subdistribution hazard ratio; and STADT, short-term androgen deprivation therapy. SI conversion of PSA levels to micrograms per liter is 1:1.

Table 1.  Baseline Clinical and Demographic Characteristics
Baseline Clinical and Demographic Characteristics
Table 2.  Multivariable Competing Risk Analysis for Factors Associated With Treatment Outcome
Multivariable Competing Risk Analysis for Factors Associated With Treatment Outcome
1.
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Dess  RT, Hartman  HE, Mahal  BA,  et al.  Association of Black race with prostate cancer–specific and other-cause mortality.   JAMA Oncol. 2019;5(7):975-983. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2019.0826 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Krimphove  MJ, Cole  AP, Fletcher  SA,  et al.  Evaluation of the contribution of demographics, access to health care, treatment, and tumor characteristics to racial differences in survival of advanced prostate cancer.   Prostate Cancer Prostatic Dis. 2019;22(1):125-136. doi:10.1038/s41391-018-0083-4 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Mahal  BA, Alshalalfa  M, Spratt  DE,  et al.  Prostate cancer genomic-risk differences between African-American and White men across Gleason scores.   Eur Urol. 2019;75(6):1038-1040. doi:10.1016/j.eururo.2019.01.010 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Mahal  BA, Berman  RA, Taplin  ME, Huang  FW.  Prostate cancer-specific mortality across Gleason scores in Black vs nonBlack men.   JAMA. 2018;320(23):2479-2481. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.11716 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Sundi  D, Ross  AE, Humphreys  EB,  et al.  African American men with very low-risk prostate cancer exhibit adverse oncologic outcomes after radical prostatectomy: should active surveillance still be an option for them?   J Clin Oncol. 2013;31(24):2991-2997. doi:10.1200/JCO.2012.47.0302 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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George  DJ, Heath  EI, Sartor  AO,  et al.  Abi race: a prospective, multicenter study of Black (B) and White (W) patients (pts) with metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with abiraterone acetate and prednisone (AAP)  [abstract].  J Clin Oncol. 2018;36(18)(suppl):LBA5009. doi:10.1200/JCO.2018.36.18_suppl.LBA5009Google Scholar
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Hutton  B, Salanti  G, Caldwell  DM,  et al.  The PRISMA extension statement for reporting of systematic reviews incorporating network meta-analyses of health care interventions: checklist and explanations.   Ann Intern Med. 2015;162(11):777-784. doi:10.7326/M14-2385 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Lawton  CAF, Lin  X, Hanks  GE,  et al.  Duration of androgen deprivation in locally advanced prostate cancer: long-term update of NRG Oncology RTOG 9202.   Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2017;98(2):296-303. doi:10.1016/j.ijrobp.2017.02.004 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Jones  CU, Hunt  D, McGowan  DG,  et al.  Radiotherapy and short-term androgen deprivation for localized prostate cancer.   N Engl J Med. 2011;365(2):107-118. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1012348 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
15.
Roach  M, Moughan  J, Lawton  CAF,  et al.  Sequence of hormonal therapy and radiotherapy field size in unfavourable, localised prostate cancer (NRG/RTOG 9413): long-term results of a randomised, phase 3 trial.   Lancet Oncol. 2018;19(11):1504-1515. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(18)30528-X PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
16.
Rosenthal  SA, Hunt  D, Sartor  AO,  et al.  A phase 3 trial of 2 years of androgen suppression and radiation therapy with or without adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk prostate cancer: final results of Radiation Therapy Oncology Group phase 3 randomized trial NRG Oncology RTOG 9902.   Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2015;93(2):294-302. doi:10.1016/j.ijrobp.2015.05.024 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
17.
Pisansky  TM, Hunt  D, Gomella  LG,  et al.  Duration of androgen suppression before radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer: Radiation Therapy Oncology Group randomized clinical trial 9910.   J Clin Oncol. 2015;33(4):332-339. doi:10.1200/JCO.2014.58.0662 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
18.
Sanda  MG, Dunn  RL, Michalski  J,  et al.  Quality of life and satisfaction with outcome among prostate-cancer survivors.   N Engl J Med. 2008;358(12):1250-1261. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa074311 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
19.
Lee  WR, Dignam  JJ, Amin  MB,  et al.  Randomized phase III noninferiority study comparing two radiotherapy fractionation schedules in patients with low-risk prostate cancer.   J Clin Oncol. 2016;34(20):2325-2332. doi:10.1200/JCO.2016.67.0448 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
20.
Rajan  P, Sooriakumaran  P, Nyberg  T,  et al.  Effect of comorbidity on prostate cancer–specific mortality: a prospective observational study.   J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(31):3566-3574. doi:10.1200/JCO.2016.70.7794 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
21.
Xie  W, Regan  MM, Buyse  M,  et al; ICECaP Working Group.  Metastasis-free survival is a strong surrogate of overall survival in localized prostate cancer.   J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(27):3097-3104. doi:10.1200/JCO.2017.73.9987 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
22.
National Comprehensive Cancer Network. NCCN clinical practice guidelines in oncology: prostate cancer. September 10, 2021. Accessed October 1, 2021. https://www.nccn.org/professionals/physician_gls/pdf/prostate.pdf
23.
Schwarzer G, Carpenter JR, Rücker G. Meta-analysis with R. Springer International Publishing; 2015.
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Team  RDC. R: a language and environment for statistical computing. February 2015. Accessed November 15, 2017. https://www.gbif.org/tool/81287/r-a-language-and-environment-for-statistical-computing
25.
Optenberg  SA, Thompson  IM, Friedrichs  P, Wojcik  B, Stein  CR, Kramer  B.  Race, treatment, and long-term survival from prostate cancer in an equal-access medical care delivery system.   JAMA. 1995;274(20):1599-1605. doi:10.1001/jama.1995.03530200035033 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
26.
Johansson  JE, Andrén  O, Andersson  SO,  et al.  Natural history of early, localized prostate cancer.   JAMA. 2004;291(22):2713-2719. doi:10.1001/jama.291.22.2713 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
27.
Bill-Axelson  A, Holmberg  L, Garmo  H,  et al.  Radical prostatectomy or watchful waiting in prostate cancer—29-year follow-up.   N Engl J Med. 2018;379(24):2319-2329. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1807801 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
28.
Morgan  PB, Hanlon  AL, Horwitz  EM, Buyyounouski  MK, Uzzo  RG, Pollack  A.  Timing of biochemical failure and distant metastatic disease for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk prostate cancer after radiotherapy.   Cancer. 2007;110(1):68-80. doi:10.1002/cncr.22755 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
29.
Michalski  JM, Moughan  J, Purdy  J,  et al.  Effect of standard vs dose-escalated radiation therapy for patients with intermediate-risk prostate cancer: the NRG Oncology RTOG 0126 randomized clinical trial.   JAMA Oncol. 2018;4(6):e180039. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.0039 PubMedGoogle Scholar
30.
Sartor  O, de Bono  JS.  Metastatic prostate cancer.   N Engl J Med. 2018;378(7):645-657. doi:10.1056/NEJMra1701695 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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McKay  RR, Sarkar  RR, Kumar  A,  et al.  Outcomes of Black men with prostate cancer treated with radiation therapy in the Veterans Health Administration.   Cancer. 2021;127(3):403-411. doi:10.1002/cncr.33224 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Vince  RA  Jr.  Eradicating racial injustice in medicine: if not now, when?   JAMA. 2020;324(5):451-452. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.12432 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Polite  BN, Gluck  AR, Brawley  OW.  Ensuring equity and justice in the care and outcomes of patients with cancer.   JAMA. 2019;321(17):1663-1664. doi:10.1001/jama.2019.4266 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
34.
Senft  N, Hamel  LM, Manning  MA,  et al.  Willingness to discuss clinical trials among Black vs White men with prostate cancer.   JAMA Oncol. 2020;6(11):1773-1777. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.3697 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
35.
Sheppard  VB, Sutton  A, Holmes  E,  et al.  Recruitment of African Americans into cancer clinical research: strategies and outcomes.   J Urban Health. 2021;98(suppl 2):149-154. doi:10.1007/s11524-021-00565-8 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Rayford  W, Beksac  AT, Alger  J,  et al.  Comparative analysis of 1152 African-American and European-American men with prostate cancer identifies distinct genomic and immunological differences.   Commun Biol. 2021;4(1):670. doi:10.1038/s42003-021-02140-y PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
37.
Taioli  E, Sears  V, Watson  A,  et al.  Polymorphisms in CYP17 and CYP3A4 and prostate cancer in men of African descent.   Prostate. 2013;73(6):668-676. doi:10.1002/pros.22612 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
38.
Berglund  AE, Rounbehler  RJ, Gerke  T,  et al.  Distinct transcriptional repertoire of the androgen receptor in ETS fusion-negative prostate cancer.   Prostate Cancer Prostatic Dis. 2019;22(2):292-302. doi:10.1038/s41391-018-0103-4 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
39.
Kwabi-Addo  B, Wang  S, Chung  W,  et al.  Identification of differentially methylated genes in normal prostate tissues from African American and Caucasian men.   Clin Cancer Res. 2010;16(14):3539-3547. doi:10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-09-3342 PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Weiner  AB, Vidotto  T, Liu  Y,  et al.  Plasma cells are enriched in localized prostate cancer in Black men and are associated with improved outcomes.   Nat Commun. 2021;12(1):935. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21245-w PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
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Original Investigation
Oncology
December 29, 2021

Comparison of Response to Definitive Radiotherapy for Localized Prostate Cancer in Black and White Men: A Meta-analysis

Author Affiliations
  • 1Department of Radiation Oncology, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)
  • 2Statistics Core, David Geffen School of Medicine, UCLA
  • 3Department of Radiation Oncology, Veterans Affairs Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, Los Angeles, California
  • 4Division of Hematology and Oncology, David Geffen School of Medicine, UCLA
  • 5Division of Hematology and Oncology, Veterans Affairs Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, Los Angeles, California
  • 6Department of Urology, UCLA
  • 7Jonsson Comprehensive Cancer Center, David Geffen School of Medicine, UCLA
  • 8Division of Urology, Greater Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Healthcare System, Los Angeles, California
  • 9Department of Radiation Oncology, Helen Diller Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of California, San Francisco
  • 10Washington University School of Medicine in St Louis, St Louis, Missouri
  • 11Department of Radiation Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
  • 12Department of Radiation Oncology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina
  • 13Sutter Medical Group and Sutter Cancer Centers, Roseville, California
  • 14Department of Radiation Oncology, Division of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston
  • 15Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
  • 16Department of Radiation Oncology, Brigham and Women’s Hospital/Dana Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 17Department of Human Genetics, UCLA
  • 18Department of Urology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
  • 19Department of Pathology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
  • 20Department of Urology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
  • 21Department of Radiation Oncology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California
  • 22Department of Radiation Oncology, University Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center, Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, Ohio
JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(12):e2139769. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.39769
Key Points

Question  Is there a difference in outcomes between Black and White men with localized prostate cancer receiving definitive radiotherapy (RT)?

Findings  In this meta-analysis that included 8814 patients treated with definitive RT enrolled in 7 randomized clinical trials, Black men were significantly less likely to experience a biochemical recurrence, distant metastasis, and prostate cancer–specific mortality event than White men.

Meaning  The findings of this meta-analysis noted that Black men enrolled in randomized clinical trials presented with more aggressive disease features but had better treatment and disease-specific outcomes with RT-based therapy compared with White men, suggesting other important factors associated with outcome, such as access to care, as sources of disparity.

Abstract

Importance  Black men have a 2-fold increased risk of dying from prostate cancer compared with White men. However, race-specific differences in response to initial treatment remain unknown.

Objective  To compare overall and treatment-specific outcomes of Black and White men with localized prostate cancer receiving definitive radiotherapy (RT).

Data Sources  A systematic search was performed of relevant published randomized clinical trials conducted by the NRG Oncology/Radiation Therapy Oncology Group between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2010. This meta-analysis was performed from July 1, 2019, to July 1, 2021.

Study Selection  Randomized clinical trials of definitive RT for patients with localized prostate cancer comprising a substantial number of Black men (self-identified race) enrolled that reported on treatment-specific and overall outcomes.

Data Extraction and Synthesis  Individual patient data were obtained from 7 NRG Oncology/Radiation Therapy Oncology Group randomized clinical trials evaluating definitive RT with or without short- or long-term androgen deprivation therapy. Unadjusted Fine-Gray competing risk models, with death as a competing risk, were developed to evaluate the cumulative incidences of end points. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate differences in all-cause mortality and the composite outcome of distant metastasis (DM) or death. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline was followed.

Main Outcomes and Measures  Subdistribution hazard ratios (sHRs) of biochemical recurrence (BCR), DM, and prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM).

Results  A total of 8814 patients (1630 [18.5%] Black and 7184 [81.5%] White) were included; mean (SD) age was 69.1 (6.8) years. Median follow-up was 10.6 (IQR, 8.0-17.8) years for surviving patients. At enrollment, Black men were more likely to have high-risk disease features. However, even without adjustment, Black men were less likely to experience BCR (sHR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.58-0.91), DM (sHR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.58-0.91), or PCSM (sHR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.54-0.97). No significant differences in all-cause mortality were identified (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.92-1.07). Upon adjustment, Black race remained significantly associated with improved BCR (adjusted sHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.72-0.88; P < .001), DM (adjusted sHR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.55-0.87; P = .002), and PCSM (adjusted sHR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.93; P = .01).

Conclusions and Relevance  The findings of this meta-analysis suggest that Black men enrolled in randomized clinical trials present with more aggressive disease but have better BCR, DM, and PCSM with definitive RT compared with White men, suggesting that other determinants of outcome, such as access to care, are important factors of achieving racial equity.

Introduction

Black men are more likely to be diagnosed with prostate cancer and are more likely to die from the disease compared with White men.1 Evidence suggests that a large proportion of these differences may be attributable to socioeconomic factors and/or disparities in guideline-concordant care.2-4 Data also suggest that biological differences may exist that could help explain in part the observed population-based disparities in prostate cancer outcomes.5-7

In the context of metastatic disease, data suggest improved efficacy of abiraterone,8 docetaxel,9 and sipuleucel-T 10 in Black compared with non-Black men. Additional studies suggest prostate cancer–specific mortality (PCSM) outcomes are similar for patients receiving definitive therapy for localized disease, provided equal access to care, and receiving standardized treatments.2 However, the end point of PCSM, albeit important, is the culmination of often many years of multiple salvage therapies and does not intrinsically capture the initial responsiveness to primary therapy. To our knowledge, no large-scale study has been conducted to examine race and the early metrics of response to treatment, including biochemical recurrence (BCR) or the development of distant metastasis (DM) in men with localized prostate cancer; thus, it is unknown whether there is an initial differential response to treatment by race. Because most patients with prostate cancer present with localized disease, understanding potential differences in the initial response to therapy is necessary to identify potential factors and/or mitigators of disparities in prostate cancer care.

To elucidate associations between race and both early (ie, BCR and DM) and late (ie, PCSM and all-cause mortality [ACM]) outcomes of treatment efficacy among men with localized prostate cancer, we performed the largest individual patient data meta-analysis to date of men with localized prostate cancer enrolled in 7 randomized trials using definitive RT with varying schedules of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).

Methods
Patients and Trial Inclusion

We performed a systematic literature search to identify relevant randomized clinical trials run by the NRG Oncology/Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) from January 1, 1990, to December 31, 2010, which has historically enrolled a substantial number of Black men in its trials.11,12 This systematic review and meta-analysis was performed from July 1, 2019, to July 1, 2021. Seven trials for which individual patient-level data were available were identified (eFigure 1 and eTable 1 in the Supplement). Data sharing applications were submitted to NRG Oncology to obtain individual patient-level data for patients enrolled in RTOG protocols 9202,13 9408,14 9413,15 9902,16 9910,17 0126,18 and 0415.19 Specific information on inclusion criteria and treatment details is presented in eTable 1 in the Supplement. Patients who had node-positive disease (clinically or via pathologic sampling) were excluded. Data were extracted for men who self-identified as Black or White race and reviewed by 2 of us (T.R. and A.U.K.). The arms of each trial were merged into 1 of 4 larger groups (ie, treatment strategies): RT alone, RT with short-term ADT, RT with long-term ADT, and high-dose RT (eTable 2 in the Supplement). RT doses higher than 74 Gy were considered high dose (presuming an α/β ratio of 3.0 to convert hypofractionated schedules). The duration of short-term ADT was 4 months (except for RTOG 9910, in which the arm with 9 months of ADT was included as it was not oncologically different from the 4-month ADT arm) while that of long-term ADT was 24 to 28 months. The study was approved by the University of California Los Angeles Institutional Review Board. This study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline.

Study End Points

The primary outcomes of interest for the current analysis were BCR, DM, and PCSM. For BCR, in all trials (except RTOG 9902), the Phoenix definition (increase of prostate-specific antigen [PSA] level by ≥2 ng/mL [1:1 conversion to micrograms per liter] above the nadir) was used. For RTOG 9902, the ASTRO definition (3 consecutive PSA increases after a nadir) was used. All-cause mortality was considered a secondary end point because data regarding comorbidity status were not available, and comorbidity status has been shown to limit estimation of ACM, both for prostate cancer in general20 and when investigating associations between race and outcome specifically.2 A composite outcome, defined as death or DM, was also explored as the inverse of metastasis-free survival—a validated surrogate marker for overall survival in patients receiving definitive RT for prostate cancer.21 Time to event was defined as per each study (generally, from time of randomization to the end point in question).

Statistical Analysis

Differences in age and initial PSA level between races were evaluated with a Wilcoxon rank sum test, and differences in categorical variables (including PSA level with cut points, performance status, National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk group, Gleason score [higher scores indicate greater risk], and cT category) were compared using the Fisher exact test. Cumulative incidences of BCR, DM, PCSM, and other-cause mortality for each trial were estimated with a competing risk method. Cumulative incidences of death or DM and of ACM were estimated for each trial with Kaplan-Meier methods. Each trial-level estimate was then pooled to provide an estimate for the entire cohort using a meta-analysis approach with random effects. We also developed cumulative incidence and survival curves that were weighted for the inverse probability of being enrolled in a given trial. Weights were determined based on a multinomial logistic regression with trial as the outcome and age, initial PSA level, Gleason score, T category, and treatment strategy as independent covariates. To evaluate associations between race and BCR, DM, and PCSM, a network meta-analysis was performed. First, the trial-specific subdistribution hazard ratios (sHRs) for the associations between race and BCR, DM, and PCSM in the presence of competing risks were estimated using the multivariable Fine-Gray method with age at treatment, ln(initial PSA level), treatment strategy, T category, and Gleason score as independent covariates. Death from any cause was considered a competing risk for BCR and DM, and other-cause mortality was considered a competing risk for PCSM. Other-cause mortality was modeled similarly, with PCSM as the competing risk event. Next, trial-specific estimates were combined using traditional meta-analysis methods with random effects to obtain a pooled overall estimate.

The same approach was used to conduct a 2-step random effect meta-analysis to estimate the unadjusted association between race and each end point within predefined subgroups. The categories were defined as age (≤65 vs >65 years), NCCN risk grouping,22 PSA level (<10, 10-20, >20 ng/mL), Gleason score (6, 7, 8-10), T category (T1-2 vs T3-4), and treatment strategy (RT alone, RT with short-term ADT, RT with long-term ADT, and high-dose RT alone). To adjust for multiple comparisons when estimating within categories (HRs and sHRs), we report q values that were adjusted for false discovery rates. P values were 2-tailed, and statistical significance was set at P = .05. All statistical analyses were conducted using SAS, version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc) and Packages metafor and netmeta (Network Meta-Analysis using Frequentist Methods)23 in R, version 3.3.1.24

Results
Patient and Trial Characteristics

Overall, 8814 patients (Black, 1630 [18.5%]; White, 7184 [81.5%]) were identified. The mean (SD) age overall was 69.1 (6.8) years (Black, 67.1 [7.3] years; White, 69.6 [6.6] years). The cohort comprised primarily patients with NCCN risk levels of low (1748 [19.8%]) and intermediate (4263 [48.4%]); the remaining patients had high-risk disease (2803 [31.8%]). Risk groups were defined by the NCCN22 as low risk (cT1-T2a, Gleason score ≤6, and PSA level <10 ng/mL), intermediate risk (cT2b-T2c, Gleason score 7, or PSA level 10-20 ng/mL, and high risk (cT3a or Gleason score 8-10 or PSA level >20 ng/mL). Patient characteristics are presented in Table 1. Median follow-up was 10.6 (IQR, 8.0-17.8) years for living patients using the inverse Kaplan-Meier method. On average, 19.5% of patients in any of the 7 evaluated studies were of Black race, with RTOG 0126 having the lowest percentage of Black patients (188 of 1440 [13.1%]), and RTOG 9902 having the highest (102 of 367 [27.8%]).

Overall, Black men presented at a significantly younger age (median [IQR], 68 [62-73] vs 71 [66-74] years; P < .001). They were also significantly more likely to present with high-risk disease (622 [38.2%] vs 2181 [30.4%]; P < .001), higher PSA levels (median [IQR], 10.3 [6.2-19.1] vs 8.4 [5.7-13.2] ng/mL; P < .001), and Gleason scores of 8 to 10 (262 of 1608 [16.3%] vs 997 of 7086 [14.1%]; P = .03). However, there was no difference in the proportion of patients with cT3-4 disease (259 [17.0%] vs 1296 [18.7%]; P = .10), although Black men were more likely to have cT1 disease (772 [50.5%] vs 2857 [41.3%]; P < .001).

Cumulative Incidences of End Points

Individual trial crude event rates within the Black and White subgroups are reported in eTable 3 in the Supplement. Compared with White men, Black men had lower absolute unadjusted 10-year cumulative incidence rates of BCR (40.5% vs 44.6%; P = .006), DM (8.4% vs 11.6%; P = .005), and PCSM (4.5% vs 6.4%; P = .03). Ten-year rates of ACM and death or DM were similar (ACM: 39.8% vs 41.2%; log-rank test, P = .43; death or DM: 41.5% vs 43.6%; log-rank test, P = .40). Other-cause mortality was also similar (10-year rates of 37.2% vs 36.6%; P = .50). Proportions of death attributable to PCSM vs other-cause mortality overall and based on age and NCCN risk group are shown in eFigure 2 in the Supplement, with additional information on breakdown by other prespecified subgroups shown in eFigure 3 in the Supplement. A lower percentage of mortality events were due to PCSM rather than other-cause mortality overall (50 of 773 [6.5%] vs 368 of 3617 [10.2%]) and among men younger than 65 years (17 of 225 [7.6%] vs 93 of 624 [14.9%]) and aged 65 years or older (33 of 548 [6.0%] vs 275 of 2993 [9.2%]) as well as men with high-risk disease (24 of 374 [6.4%] vs 188 of 1480 [12.7%]). To account for ecological biases and include time to event considerations, we also developed cumulative incidence and survival curves that were weighted for the inverse probability of being enrolled in a given trial (Figure 1).

Competing Risk and Cox Proportional Hazards Models

The forest plots depicting the results of our 2-step unadjusted meta-analysis evaluating BCR, DM, PCSM, and ACM are shown in Figure 2 and Figure 3. Overall, Black race was associated with a lower risk of BCR (sHR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80-0.96; P = .006), DM (sHR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.58-0.91; P = .005), and PCSM (sHR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.54-0.97; P = .03). There was no significant difference in time to ACM (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.92-1.07; P = .87). Similarly, there was no significant difference in time to other-cause mortality (sHR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.95-1.12; P = .50), and DM or death (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.92-1.08; P = .91) (eFigure 4 in the Supplement). When examined within predefined strata, Black race was similarly associated with a lower risk of BCR, DM, and PCSM among men aged 65 years or younger. Black race was also associated with a lower risk of BCR and DM among men with high-risk disease, PSA level greater than 20 ng/mL, and men receiving RT with short-term ADT. We also evaluated the association between race and BCR, DM, and PCSM with a network meta-analysis while adjusting for age, initial PSA level, T category, Gleason score, and treatment strategy (Table 2). Black race was significantly associated with improved BCR (adjusted sHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.72-0.88; P < .001), DM (adjusted sHR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.55-0.87; P = .002), and PCSM (adjusted sHR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.5-0.93; P = .01).

Discussion

In this individual patient data meta-analysis of 7 randomized clinical trials, Black men were significantly more likely to have high-risk disease and a younger age at the time of treatment, yet had lower BCR, DM, and PCSM rates compared with White men, even without adjustment. In an adjusted network meta-analysis that accounted for age, initial PSA level, T category, Gleason score, and treatment strategy, race remained significantly associated with improved BCR, DM, and PCSM outcomes. No significant differences were found with respect to ACM or the composite outcome DM or death, and most mortality events in either Black or White men were other-cause mortality events. The fact that Black men had improved early and late disease outcomes compared with White men is a novel and unexpected result, suggesting that Black men may have an improved response to their initial treatment.

A 2019 meta-analysis focusing on men with advanced disease reported a significant increase in overall survival in Black vs White men with metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer treated with docetaxel in phase 3 clinical trials.9 Other data suggest a similar increased efficacy of abiraterone8 and sipeulecel-T.10 An earlier report, predominantly assessing men with prostate cancer diagnosed between 1980 and 1990, found that Black men presenting with metastatic prostate cancer had improved survival compared with White men.25 To our knowledge, whether a parallel association between Black race and improved early disease outcomes (ie, BCR and DM) might be present among men presenting with localized disease—comprising most men with newly diagnosed prostate cancer—has not been extensively studied. These earlier end points are important given the prolonged natural history of localized prostate cancer both in general26,27 and after BCR,28,29 as well as the availability of effective treatments for patients with DM.30 This study provides, to our knowledge, the most comprehensive analysis of the association between race and multiple end points in patients with localized prostate cancer.

The results should be contextualized with other studies that have focused on potential associations between race and outcomes in men with localized prostate cancer. A recent meta-analysis, which included 4 of the 7 randomized clinical trials we used, reported that Black race was not associated with worse PCSM outcome.2 In that study, analyses were adjusted to account for imbalances in age and risk features (including risk group itself) to underscore the disparities in access to care and uncontrolled treatment selection on PCSM outcomes. McKay et al31 recently reported the outcomes in patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer treated with definitive radiotherapy at 152 centers within the Veterans Health Administration and found that Black race was associated with a decreased risk of PCSM and ACM. In the present report, we broadened the analysis to a larger cohort of men (including 44% more Black men) and specifically interrogated not only PCSM, but earlier disease outcomes, such as BCR and DM. In our main 2-step meta-analysis approach, we did not perform any adjustments, although differences in important prognostic variables, such as NCCN risk stratum and Gleason score, were present. We did not adjust the analyses because other important variables, such as percentage of positive biopsy cores, primary Gleason score, and performance status, were not readily available, we believed it was most appropriate to evaluate unadjusted competing risks and incidence rates. However, we performed an adjusted network meta-analysis that supported our finding that race appeared to be independently associated with improved BCR, DM, and PCSM.

These results provide high-level evidence to question the belief that prostate cancer among Black men necessarily portends a worse prognosis compared with White men. This belief may be a factor in differences in the approach to cancer therapy, thereby leading to the use of more aggressive treatments than might be necessary, which carry greater risks of decreasing the quality of life and distracting attention from other important factors associated with outcome and sources of disparity, such as access to care.32,33 The findings between race and outcome in our analysis were derived from patient groups that not only had access to enrollment but were enrolled in randomized clinical trials, with all patients (Black and White) receiving the same treatment. There is an important distinction between access to trials and enrollment as Black men have been reported to be notably less willing to discuss trials than White men owing to medical mistrust.34 In the general population, such equity in access to care and receipt of treatment are not realized, therefore leading to population-level disparities in outcome. Engaging Black men and increasing the representation of the Black population in various cancer prevention and treatment studies is warranted and can be facilitated by connecting with community stakeholders and identifying study champions.35 Moreover, most death events in both Black and White men are due to diseases other than prostate cancer, underscoring the importance of overall health in men with prostate cancer. Nononcologic care is needed, and disparities in overall health care access and receipt can also be factors associated with survival outcomes on a population level. However, these results do not suggest that there are no biological differences that might be associated with differences in prostate cancer incidence between racial groups. It is possible that the association with differential treatment response might be, at least in part, explained by differences in underlying biologic factors. Studies have reported distinct characteristics of prostate cancer in Black and White men at the genetic,36-38 epigenetic,39 and immunological level.40 These differences may have contributed to improved efficacy of multiple lines of systemic therapy in Black men compared with non-Black men with locally advanced or metastatic disease.10

Limitations

This study has limitations. First, none of the trials included in this analysis was designed to investigate associations between race and outcome of the trial intervention. Therefore, these comparisons are post hoc and susceptible to residual confounding beyond what would be expected for optimal prespecified subgroup analyses.41 Second, race was defined on the basis of self-identification and is a sociopolitical construct that may not intrinsically capture biologic factors.42 Ancestry may be a more appropriate metric for capturing biological phenomena and increasing our understanding of health disparities, but has not been historically abstracted for clinical trials. Third, salvage therapies after BCR or DM were not standardized, potentially leading to secondary confounding of the end points of PCSM and ACM. We addressed this limitation by including these earlier outcomes as end points of interest as well, but it is also possible that intervention after the development of BCR might have had a differential effect on the incidence of DM. Fourth, data for other prognostic variables, such as comorbidity, socioeconomic status, and performance status, were not uniformly available and could not be adjusted for. It is possible that a lack of such information and the inability to adjust thereof precluded us from detecting a significant difference in ACM. Given the known barriers toward enrolling individuals of minority racial and ethnic groups in clinical trials,43 the external validity of our results may be different for Black and White men.

Conclusions

In this meta-analysis, Black men enrolled in randomized clinical trials with long-term follow-up appeared to have higher risk disease features at the time of trial enrollment, but nonetheless had better BCR, DM, and PCSM outcomes with RT-based therapy compared with White men. The findings suggest that Black race may be an independent favorable prognostic variable.

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Article Information

Accepted for Publication: October 7, 2021.

Published: December 29, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.39769

Open Access: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License. © 2021 Ma TM et al. JAMA Network Open.

Corresponding Author: Amar U. Kishan, MD, Department of Radiation Oncology, University of California, Los Angeles, 200 Medical Plaza, Ste B265, Los Angeles, CA 90095 (aukishan@mednet.ucla.edu).

Author Contributions: Dr Kishan and Ms Romero had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Dr Ma and Ms Romero contributed equally to this work. Drs Spratt and Kishan contributed equally to this work as senior authors.

Concept and design: Garraway, Chamie, Jackson, Salami, Vince, Schaeffer, Mahal, Dess, Steinberg, Spratt, Kishan.

Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Ma, Romero, Nickols, Rettig, Garraway, Roach, Michalski, Pisansky, Lee, Jones, Rosenthal, Wang, Hartman, Nguyen, Feng, Boutros, Saigal, Morgan, Mehra, Salami, Dess, Steinberg, Elashoff, Sandler, Spratt, Kishan.

Drafting of the manuscript: Ma, Garraway, Pisansky, Lee, Spratt, Kishan.

Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors.

Statistical analysis: Ma, Romero, Rosenthal, Hartman, Boutros, Mahal, Elashoff, Kishan.

Obtained funding: Garraway, Saigal, Steinberg, Kishan.

Administrative, technical, or material support: Garraway, Michalski, Rosenthal, Wang, Salami, Steinberg, Sandler, Kishan.

Supervision: Nickols, Garraway, Roach, Pisansky, Lee, Saigal, Chamie, Jackson, Morgan, Salami, Schaeffer, Dess, Spratt, Kishan.

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Nickols reported receiving grants from Bayer, personal fees from Oncolinea, grants from Lantheus, and grants from Janssen outside the submitted work. Dr Rettig reported receiving consultant fees from Clovis, Ambrx, Amgen, and Roivant; speakers’ fees from Janssen and Bayer; grants from Novartis, and nonfinancial support from Merck outside the submitted work; Dr Rettig had a patent for inhibitor of AR N-terminus pending. Dr Nguyen reported receiving grants from Astellas, Janssen, and Bayer, and consulting and speakers’ fees from Astellas, Janssen, Bayer, Boston Scientific, Blue Earth Diagnostics, Cota, Myovant outside the scope of the submitted work. Dr Feng reported receiving consultant fees from Janssen, Blue Earth Diagnostics, Myovant, Roivant, Astellas, Bayer, and BMS; serving on the scientific advisory board and holding stock options in SerImmune and BlueStar Genomics, consult fees from Exact Sciences and Varian, and holding stock in Artera Stock outside the submitted work. Dr Boutros reported receiving grants from the National Cancer Institute during the conduct of the study and sitting on the scientific advisory boards of BioSymetrics Inc, Intersect Diagnostics Inc, and Sage Bionetworks. Dr Chamie receiving consultant fees from UroGen Pharma. Dr Steinberg reported receiving honoraria from Viewray for consulting and speaking fees outside the scope of the submitted work. Dr Sandler reported receiving fees for sitting on a clinical trial steering committee for Janssen and holding stock in and having an inactive role on the medical advisory board of Radiogel outside the submitted work; and is a member of the ASTRO board of directors. Dr Spratt reported receiving consulting and speaking fees from Janssen, Blue Earth, AstraZeneca, and from Boston Scientific outside the scope of the submitted work. Dr Kishan reported receiving consultant fees from Varian Medical Systems Inc and ViewRay Inc, research support and consulting fees from Intelligent Automation Inc, and consulting fees and personal fees for serving on the advisory board of Janssen Pharmaceuticals Inc outside the submitted work. No other disclosures were reported.

Funding/Support: This study was supported by grants P50CA09213 (Dr Kishan) and P50CA186786 (Dr Spratt) from the Prostate Cancer National Institutes of Health (NIH) Specialized Programs of Research Excellence (Dr Kishan), grant RSD1836 from the Radiological Society of North America (Dr Kishan), the STOP Cancer Organization (Dr Kishan), the Jonsson Comprehensive Cancer Center (Dr Kishan), grants PC151068 (Dr Spratt) and W81XWH-17-1-0302 (Dr Feng) from the Department of Defense, the Prostate Cancer Foundation (Drs Spratt and Mahal), and grant T32 CA-083654 from the NIH (Ms Hartman).

Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funding organizations had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

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