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January 1979

The Prediction of Posttraumatic Epilepsy: A Mathematical Approach

Author Affiliations

From the Departments of Psychology (Dr Feeney) and Surgery (Neurosurgery) (Dr Walker), University of New Mexico, Albuquerque.

Arch Neurol. 1979;36(1):8-12. doi:10.1001/archneur.1979.00500370038005

• Simple mathematical equations can be used to estimate the probability of posttraumatic seizures. Risk factors and time since the injury are taken into consideration in the calculations. The equations are based on a constant probability model derived from published data. When these formulae are applied to data from a variety of published studies, the predicted incidence of posttraumatic epilepsy based on the mathematical model agrees well with the incidence observed in the study groups.

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