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Figure.  Aspirin Initiated at Different Ages and Subsequent Risk of Colorectal Cancer in the Nurses’ Health Study
Aspirin Initiated at Different Ages and Subsequent Risk of Colorectal Cancer in the Nurses’ Health Study

Multivariable HRs for colorectal cancer of regular use of aspirin initiated at different ages or duration of use vs nonregular users were conditioned on age and calendar time and adjusted for family history of colorectal cancer, diabetes, body mass index, alcohol consumption, physical activity, smoking pack-years, lower endoscopy, total energy intake, calcium intake, folate intake, Alternative Healthy Eating Index 2010 score, and regular use of NSAIDs, multivitamins, and menopausal hormones. Owing to a limited number of participants who initiated aspirin after 80 years of age and used for more than 5 years, separate analysis was not performed. HR indicates hazard ratio; NSAID, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug.

Table 1.  Aspirin Use at Age 70 Years or Above and Risk of Colorectal Cancer
Aspirin Use at Age 70 Years or Above and Risk of Colorectal Cancer
Table 2.  Aspirin Use at Age 70 or Above and Risk of Colorectal Cancer by Prior Duration of Use
Aspirin Use at Age 70 or Above and Risk of Colorectal Cancer by Prior Duration of Use
Table 3.  Aspirin Use at Age 70 or Above and Risk of Colorectal Cancer by Age at Initiation
Aspirin Use at Age 70 or Above and Risk of Colorectal Cancer by Age at Initiation
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1 Comment for this article
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Aspirin use and risk of colorectal cancer among older adults
Tomoyuki Kawada, MD | Nippon Medical School
Guo et al. examine the effect of aspirin use on the incident colorectal cancer (CRC) among older adults, aged 70 years or older (1). The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of regular use of aspirin for incident CRC was 0.80 (0.72-0.90). The significance disappeared in adults who initiated aspirin use at or after 70 years. I present information about their study with special reference to duration of aspirin use and the risk of CRC.

Bosetti et al. reviewed estimates of the CRC risk in relation to the duration of aspirin use (2). Relative risks (RRs)
(95% CIs) of aspirin use for one year, 3 years, 5 years and 10 years were 0.96 (0.95-0.8), 0.89 (0.85-0.93), 0.81 (0.76-0.88), and 0.71 (0.630.80), respectively. Although RR increased over 10 years of aspirin use, decline of RR within 10 years was consistent with data by Guo et al., presenting advantage of preventing CRC in adults who initiated aspirin use before 70 years. Regular use of aspirin reduces the risk of colorectal cancers with overexpression of COX-2 (3), and further studies are needed regarding the risk reduction of CRC by aspirin by considering the use of duration and amount. Anyway, risk of bleeding and cancer progression by aspirin use among older adults should also be paid with caution (4,5).


References
1. Guo CG, Ma W, Drew DA, et al. Aspirin use and risk of colorectal cancer among older adults. JAMA Oncol 2021 doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.7338. Epub ahead of print
2. Bosetti C, Santucci C, Gallus S, et al. Aspirin and the risk of colorectal and other digestive tract cancers: an updated meta-analysis through 2019. Ann Oncol 2020;31(5):558-568.
3. Chan AT, Ogino S, Fuchs CS. Aspirin and the risk of colorectal cancer in relation to the expression of COX-2. N Engl J Med 2007;356(21):2131-2142.
4. Perisetti A, Goyal H, Tharian B, et al. Aspirin for prevention of colorectal cancer in the elderly: friend or foe? Ann Gastroenterol 2021;34(1):1-11.
5. McNeil JJ, Gibbs P, Orchard SG, et al. Effect of aspirin on cancer incidence and mortality in older adults. J Natl Cancer Inst 2020 doi: 10.1093/jnci/djaa114. Epub ahead of print
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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Original Investigation
January 21, 2021

Aspirin Use and Risk of Colorectal Cancer Among Older Adults

Author Affiliations
  • 1Clinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston
  • 2Division of Gastroenterology, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston
  • 3Department of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
  • 4Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 5Division of Public Health Sciences, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri
  • 6Alvin J. Siteman Cancer Center, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri
  • 7Department of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 8Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 9Program in Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 10Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts
  • 11Cancer Immunology and Cancer Epidemiology Programs, Dana-Farber Harvard Cancer Center, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 12Department of Nutrition, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 13Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • 14Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
JAMA Oncol. 2021;7(3):428-435. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.7338
Key Points

Question  What is the association of aspirin use with the risk of colorectal cancer in older adults?

Findings  In this pooled analysis of 2 cohort studies with a total of 94 540 participants, regular use of aspirin at or after age 70 years was associated with a lower risk of colorectal cancer compared with nonregular use. However, this reduction in risk was evident only among individuals who initiated use at a younger age.

Meaning  These results suggest that the initiation of aspirin use at an older age for the sole purpose of primary prevention of colorectal cancer should be discouraged; however, the findings support recommendations to continue using aspirin if initiated at a younger age.

Abstract

Importance  Although aspirin is recommended for the prevention of colorectal cancer (CRC) among adults aged 50 to 59 years, recent data from a randomized clinical trial suggest a lack of benefit and even possible harm among older adults.

Objective  To examine the association between aspirin use and the risk of incident CRC among older adults.

Design, Setting, and Participants  A pooled analysis was conducted of 2 large US cohort studies, the Nurses’ Health Study (June 1, 1980–June 30, 2014) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (January 1, 1986–January 31, 2014). A total of 94 540 participants aged 70 years or older were included and followed up to June 30, 2014, for women or January 31, 2014, for men. Participants with a diagnosis of any cancer, except nonmelanoma skin cancer, or inflammatory bowel disease were excluded. Statistical analyses were conducted from December 2019 to October 2020.

Main Outcomes and Measures  Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for incident CRC.

Results  Among the 94 540 participants (mean [SD] age, 76.4 [4.9] years for women, 77.7 [5.6] years for men; 67 223 women [71.1%]; 65 259 White women [97.1%], 24 915 White men [96.0%]) aged 70 years or older, 1431 incident cases of CRC were documented over 996 463 person-years of follow-up. After adjustment for other risk factors, regular use of aspirin was associated with a significantly lower risk of CRC at or after age 70 years compared with nonregular use (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.72-0.90). However, the inverse association was evident only among aspirin users who initiated aspirin use before age 70 years (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.67-0.95). In contrast, initiating aspirin use at or after 70 years was not significantly associated with a lower risk of CRC (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.76-1.11).

Conclusions and Relevance  Initiating aspirin at an older age was not associated with a lower risk of CRC in this pooled analysis of 2 cohort studies. In contrast, those who used aspirin before age 70 years and continued into their 70s or later had a reduced risk of CRC.

Introduction

Aspirin is considered the most established agent for chemoprevention of colorectal cancer (CRC)1-3 and is currently recommended by the US Preventive Services Task Force for individuals aged 50 to 59 years with specific cardiovascular risk profiles.4 This recommendation is due to remarkably consistent data from previous cohort studies and randomized clinical trials (RCTs).5-13 However, the US Preventive Services Task Force cited insufficient evidence to issue a recommendation for adults aged 70 years or older.

Recently, the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study, an RCT of 19 114 relatively healthy adults aged 70 years or older (or 65 years or older for US racial/ethnic minorities), reported that participants assigned to daily low-dose aspirin (100 mg) had an increased risk of death from cancer, including CRC, after a median of 4.7 years of follow-up,14 without a corresponding increase in overall incidence and CRC incidence.15 These results suggest a potential difference in the effect of aspirin at older ages. However, the vast majority of ASPREE participants (89%) had never used aspirin regularly before joining the study.16 Thus, the association of continuing aspirin use with CRC at older ages among individuals who initiate use when younger remains unclear.

Previous studies have found that regular use of aspirin is associated with a lower risk of CRC in the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS).6,11,17 In the present study, we specifically evaluated the association between regular use of aspirin and CRC incidence among participants in the NHS and HPFS who had reached age 70 years, which provides a unique opportunity to prospectively examine the use of aspirin across mid and late adulthood in association with long-term risk of CRC.

Methods
Study Population

This prospective cohort study included women from the NHS and men from the HPFS who reached 70 years of age. The NHS, conducted from June 1, 1980, to June 30, 2014, is a prospective cohort of 121 701 US female registered nurses aged 30 to 55 years at enrollment. The HPFS was conducted from January 1, 1986, to January 31, 2014, and included 51 529 male health professionals aged 40 to 75 years. Details of the cohorts have been described previously.6,11 Participants were mailed biennial questionnaires that included a validated assessment of diet and questions on lifestyle factors, medical history, and disease outcomes, including aspirin use and CRC. The response rate reached 90% in both cohorts.18 We excluded participants with a diagnosis of any cancer, except nonmelanoma skin cancer, or inflammatory bowel disease before age 70 years. Participants with missing prior aspirin use and those who died or were lost to follow-up before 70 years were also excluded. We also excluded participants with missing aspirin use data during follow-up (5186 [4.3%] in the NHS and 1357 [2.5%] in the HPFS; eFigure in the Supplement). The study protocol was approved by the institutional review boards of the Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, and those of participating registries as required. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants to access their medical records. This study followed the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guideline.

Assessment of Exposure and Covariates

Beginning in 1980 for the NHS and 1986 for the HPFS, we collected information biennially on participants’ use of aspirin. Participants were specifically asked about use of standard-dose (325 mg) tablets. Between 1994 and 1998, participants were asked to convert 4 low-dose (81 mg) aspirin tablets to 1 standard-dose tablet. Since 2000, regular use of low-dose aspirin was reported separately from standard-dose aspirin.18 Consistent with our prior studies,6,18,19 regular aspirin use was defined as using aspirin 2 or more times per week, including both standard-dose and low-dose aspirin. Missing aspirin use was updated using information from the previous questionnaires with only 1 biennial questionnaire cycle carried forward. Our primary exposure was regular aspirin use at or after age 70 years. Nonregular aspirin users were those who were not regular users of aspirin at any time at or after 70 years. In the NHS, participants were asked in 1980 how many years they had been regularly using aspirin. In the HPFS, prior aspirin use at younger ages was collected in 1996, and participants were asked if they used aspirin and the use frequency in their 20s, 30s, 40s, 50s, and 60s. Consistent with previous studies,18,19 covariates were selected as potential confounders (eMethods in the Supplement).

Ascertainment of Outcome

Our primary end point was incident CRC. Written permission to acquire medical records and pathology reports was obtained from participants who reported CRC on the biennial questionnaire. Deaths were identified through the National Death Index, next of kin, and postal authorities. For all deaths due to CRC, we requested permission to review medical records from the next of kin. Two blinded physicians (K.N., J.A.M., or E.L.G.) reviewed records to confirm a diagnosis of CRC and abstract information on tumor, node, metastasis (TNM) stage at the time of diagnosis.

Statistical Analysis

Person-time started from the date a person reached the age of 70 years until the date of diagnosis of CRC, death, or the end of follow-up on June 30, 2014, for women or January 31, 2014, for men, whichever came first. We evaluated the association between biennially updated aspirin use and CRC risk at or after age 70 years. We also examined the association according to prior aspirin use (prior regular aspirin user or prior nonregular user) and prior aspirin use duration (<5 or ≥5 years) before age 70 years. Analyses according to CRC defined by stage were also performed.

Cox proportional hazards regression model stratified on age and calendar time (2-year intervals) was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. All covariates were updated biennially and included as time-varying variables. In the multivariable model, covariates including family history of CRC; personal history of diabetes; body mass index; alcohol use; physical activity20; smoking pack-years; lower endoscopy; Alternative Healthy Eating Index 2010 score21; intakes of total calories, calcium, and folate; and regular use of other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), multivitamins, and menopausal hormones (for women only) were adjusted. To address the potential influence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, a model further adjusted for regular use of cholesterol-lowering drugs (eg, statins), hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and CVD was performed. Analyses were performed separately in the NHS and HPFS cohorts, and a meta-analysis was then conducted using a random-effects model for pooled estimates.

As a secondary analysis, we further evaluated the association of aspirin initiated at different age categories and risk of subsequent incident CRC through separate cohort analyses among participants who had not used aspirin before reaching the corresponding age category in the NHS. For each cohort defined according to baseline categories of age at initiation, we evaluated the risk of incident CRC after the baseline age (eMethods in the Supplement).

For all analyses, a 2-sided P < .05 was regarded as statistically significant. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS, version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc). Statistical analyses were conducted from December 2019 to October 2020.

Results
Baseline Characteristics

We analyzed a total of 94 540 participants aged 70 years or older (mean [SD] age, 76.4 [4.9] years for women, 77.7 [5.6] years for men; 65 259 White women [97.1%], 24 915 White men [96.0%]), including 67 223 women from the NHS (71.1%) and 27 317 men from the HPFS (28.9%), encompassing 996 463 total person-years (699 626 years for the NHS and 296 837 years for the HPFS) of follow-up. We documented 1431 incident cases of CRC, including 857 (59.9%) among women (NHS) and 574 (40.1%) among men (HPFS). The age-standardized characteristics of participants according to aspirin use at or after age 70 years in the NHS and the HPFS are presented in eTable 1 in the Supplement. In both the NHS and the HPFS, compared with nonusers, participants who used aspirin at or after age 70 years were more likely to be older (mean [SD] age, 75.1 [4.5] vs 77.3 [5.0] years in the NHS and 75.7 [5.0] vs 78.4 [5.7] years in the HPFS); smoke currently or in the past (51.7% vs 53.9% in the NHS and 51.5% vs 55.5% in the HPFS); have a prior lower endoscopy (30.2% vs 31.8% in the NHS and 31.2% vs 36.8% in the HPFS); have a history of hypertension (60.5% vs 72.0% in the NHS and 45.6% vs 59.3% in the HPFS), dyslipidemia (67.3% vs 77.0% in the NHS and 44.9% vs 61.4% in the HPFS), diabetes (11.9% vs 15.9% in the NHS and 11.1% vs 14.3% in the HPFS), and CVDs (11.6% vs 23.3% in the NHS and 17.4% vs 38.4% in the HPFS); regularly use multivitamins (65.1% vs 72.4% in the NHS and 57.5% vs 68.8% in the HPFS), NSAIDs (27.7% vs 30.5% in the NHS and 12.3% vs 17.2% in the HPFS), and cholesterol-lowering drugs (23.4% vs 40.9% in the NHS and 14.4% vs 35.1% in the HPFS); take in more total calories (mean [SD] kcal/d, 1665 [423] vs 1675 [418] in the NHS and 1955 [534] vs 1969 [520] in the HPFS); and consume more folate (mean [SD] μg/d, 509 [200] vs 536 [191] in the NHS and 586 [253] vs 630 [241] in the HPFS) and calcium (mean [SD] mg/d, 1097 [396] vs 1148 [392] in the NHS and 981 [382] vs 1014 [365] in the HPFS).

Aspirin Use at 70 Years or Older and Risk of CRC

Among individuals aged 70 years or older, regular use of aspirin was associated with a lower risk of CRC compared with nonregular users (pooled HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.72-0.90 [model 2]) (Table 1), which was consistent in both women (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.70-0.93) and men (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.67-0.97). However, this inverse association was restricted to those who initiated regular use of aspirin before age 70 years (pooled HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.67-0.95). In contrast, among those who did not regularly use aspirin before age 70 years, regular aspirin use at or after 70 years was not associated with reduced risk of CRC (pooled HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.76-1.11) (Table 1). The results were consistent after further adjustment for use of cholesterol-lowering drugs, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and CVD (model 3). Among individuals who used aspirin before age 70 years, the inverse association was also consistent after further adjustment for duration of aspirin use before 70 years (pooled HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.70-0.95).

These results were largely consistent in analyses according to CRC stage, although we had limited statistical power within each stage category. The multivariable HR for regular aspirin use after 70 years was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.69-1.00) for nonmetastatic (stage I, II, III) and 0.45 (95% CI, 0.15-1.38) for metastatic (stage IV) CRC among those who regularly used aspirin before age 70 years of age (eTable 2 in the Supplement).

Analyses by Duration of Aspirin Use Before Age 70 Years or Age at Initiation

We further grouped those who initiated aspirin before age 70 years by the cumulative duration of use before 70 years. The apparent protective benefits of aspirin use at or after 70 years were evident only among those who had regularly used aspirin for 5 or more years before 70 years of age (pooled HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.59-0.98). In contrast, no benefit was observed among those who used aspirin for less than 5 years before 70 years of age (pooled HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.77-1.30) (Table 2). When we considered the initiation age of aspirin use, the lower risk of CRC for aspirin use at or after 70 years was found only when individuals initiated aspirin before 70 years of age (Table 3).

Aspirin Use With Different Initiation Age and Subsequent Risk of CRC After Initiation in the NHS

To further evaluate the association of aspirin initiated at different ages and subsequent risk of CRC (not restricted to CRC at or after 70 years), we performed separate cohort analyses among participants who had not used aspirin before reaching the corresponding age category in the NHS. Compared with nonregular users, women who initiated regular aspirin treatment at a younger age (<70 years) had a decreased risk of subsequent CRC, which was mainly consistent with the risk level among those who had cumulatively taken aspirin for 5 or more years (Figure). Specifically, compared with nonregular use, regular aspirin use was associated with a multivariable HR for CRC of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.63-0.92) for women who initiated aspirin use from 40 to 44 years of age; 0.79 (95% CI, 0.67-0.93) for ages 45 to 49 years; 0.79 (95% CI, 0.68-0.91) for ages 50 to 54 years; 0.82 (95% CI, 0.71-0.94) for ages 55 to 59 years; 0.69 (95% CI, 0.57-0.83) for ages 60 to 64 years; and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.56-0.90) for ages 65 to 69 years. In contrast, initiating aspirin use at an older age (≥70 years) was associated with weaker benefits, even for those who had cumulatively taken aspirin for 5 or more years. Specifically, the corresponding HR was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.62-1.12) for initiation of aspirin use at ages 70 to 74 years; 0.87 (95% CI, 0.59-1.29) for ages 75 to 79 years; and 1.01 (95% CI, 0.47-2.20) for 80 years and older.

Discussion

In 2 large US prospective cohorts, regular aspirin use at or after 70 years of age was associated with a significantly reduced risk of CRC, but this association was evident only among those who regularly used aspirin at a younger age, particularly for at least 5 years before reaching 70 years of age. In contrast, initiation of aspirin after 70 years was not associated with lower risk of CRC.

Substantial evidence suggests that a benefit of aspirin for CRC requires at least 5 to 10 years of use.4 However, these data are primarily derived from cohort studies and RCTs conducted in middle-aged adults.13 This limitation led to current US Preventive Services Task Force recommendations for low-dose aspirin for primary prevention of CRC among US adults aged 50 to 59 years with a greater than 10% 10-year cardiovascular risk. However, this advice did not extend to adults 70 years or older, for whom the evidence was considered insufficient.4 Recently, the ASPREE RCT compared daily low-dose aspirin vs placebo in 19 114 healthy older adults.14 After 4.7 years of follow-up, participants taking aspirin experienced higher all-cause mortality that was largely attributable to death from cancer. A recent study reported no significant difference between groups for all incident cancers (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.95-1.14), including CRC (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.81-1.30), in the ASPREE trial.15 A secondary analysis of the Japanese Primary Prevention Project (JPPP), an open-label RCT designed to examine the effects of low-dose aspirin on vascular events in an older Japanese population (aged 60-85 years),22 showed that aspirin was associated with higher overall cancer incidence but not cancer mortality during a 5-year study period.23,24 Because 89% of the participants in the ASPREE trial and all the participants in the JPPP study did not regularly use aspirin before enrollment,16,24 our results demonstrating that initiation of aspirin use at or after age 70 was not associated with a reduction in risk of incident CRC are broadly consistent with the lack of protective effect observed in ASPREE and JPPP. However, these RCTs were inconsistent in demonstrating potential harm related to incidence and mortality.

A basis for the lack of outcome of aspirin on CRC when initiated at an older age is biologically plausible.25 There is growing evidence that cancers that arise in older adults may have a differential mechanistic basis compared with those in younger individuals. For example, aging is associated with alterations in DNA methylation, which may affect susceptibility to cancer.26,27 Among older adults, CRC arises more commonly in the right side of the colon,28,29 and tumors have a higher prevalence of specific molecular changes, including positive or high CpG island methylator phenotype and BRAF variations.30-32 Previous studies reported that regular aspirin use was associated with a lower risk of BRAF wild-type or KRAS wild-type CRC but not BRAF-variant or KRAS-variant CRC.33,34 There is also a greater incidence of the G12 variant of KRAS in those younger than 40 years compared with the more frequent A146, K117, and Q61 variants in older patients.35 Second, aspirin esterase activity may differ among older individuals, changing pharmacodynamic properties of aspirin.36 Third, the gut microbiota of older people differs from that of younger adults,37,38 which may influence drug metabolism39 and the development of age-related disease by modulating metabolic and inflammatory processes. For example, the gut microbiota may affect the antithrombotic activity of aspirin by reducing its level in circulation.40 A recent study also showed that Lysinibacillus sphaericu reduced the bioavailability and chemopreventive effects of aspirin on the development of CRC in mice.41 Last, body mass index or body weight may also influence the effect of aspirin on CRC. Some studies have shown that aspirin has limited benefit in individuals with higher body mass index or body weight,42,43 which is more common in an older population. However, a secondary analysis of the Concerted Action Polyposis Prevention 2 (CAPP2) study showed that aspirin preferentially protected against CRC in patients with obesity with Lynch syndrome.44

We acknowledge that the differential association of aspirin among those who initiated its use after 70 years of age may be due to a more limited duration of use. However, among those who initiated aspirin use after 70 years, we found that the lack of association of aspirin use with CRC was consistent among those who used for more than 5 years and those who used for less than 5 years (Figure). In addition, in many prior studies, aspirin use for at least 5 years was sufficient for an association to emerge.7,12 Another possible explanation for our results is that those who initiated aspirin after 70 years may differ in the prevalence of health conditions, such as CVD. However, in a model adjusted for additional CVD risk factors, such as use of cholesterol-lowering drugs (eg, statins), hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and CVD, the results were consistent. A recent analysis of data from the Women's Health Initiative also found that aspirin was associated with a lower risk of CRC within all levels of CVD risk, supporting the possibility that baseline CVD risk may not significantly affect the association.45

Strengths and Limitations

The strengths of this study include the use of 2 large, well-characterized cohorts of the NHS and the HPFS, which have collected biennial updated data on aspirin use since 1980 and 1986, respectively, and provided a unique opportunity to examine aspirin use across mid to late adulthood in association with long-term risk of CRC. We also prospectively collected important lifestyle and dietary risk factors to reduce the potential for confounding. Third, we confirmed CRC cases through medical records and pathology reports.

Our study also has several limitations. First, our results are not as definitive as in an RCT. However, such a trial to confirm the differential benefits according to age at initiation would require a large number of participants initiating aspirin at different ages with follow-up beyond 70 years of age, which limits feasibility. Second, this is a post hoc analysis and was not specifically powered to evaluate the association of aspirin initiated in older age with CRC. However, with our reasonably large sample size, our study still offers a potential explanation for the lack of protective effect of aspirin on CRC observed among older adults in the ASPREE trial. Third, although our study was large, we had limited ability to examine the association in specific subgroups, particularly according to different ages at initiation. Last, the NHS and HPFS are based on self-reported questionnaires. However, because our participants are health professionals, it is likely that self-reported intake reflects actual use.

Conclusions

In this cohort study, initiation of aspirin at an older age (≥70 years) was not associated with lower risk of CRC. In contrast, those who initiated aspirin at a younger age and continued use at an older age appeared to derive continued benefit for CRC risk reduction. Taken together with the results of the ASPREE trial, these findings suggest that initiation of aspirin use at an older age for the sole purpose of primary prevention of CRC should be discouraged. However, our findings appear to support recommendations to continue aspirin use if initiated at a younger age. Further studies to elucidate biologic mechanisms of aspirin according to age are warranted.

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Article Information

Accepted for Publication: October 27, 2020.

Published Online: January 21, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.7338

Corresponding Author: Andrew T. Chan, MD, MPH, Clinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, 100 Cambridge St, Boston, MA 02114 (achan@mgh.harvard.edu).

Author Contributions: Mr Guo and Dr Chan had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. The authors assume full responsibility for analyses and interpretation of these data.

Concept and design: Guo, Ma, Giovannucci, Chan.

Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: All authors.

Drafting of the manuscript: Guo, Chan.

Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Ma, Drew, Cao, Nguyen, Joshi, Ng, Ogino, Meyerhardt, Song, Leung, Giovannucci, Chan.

Statistical analysis: Guo, Ma, Joshi, Song, Giovannucci, Chan.

Obtained funding: Ogino, Meyerhardt, Giovannucci, Chan.

Administrative, technical, or material support: Leung, Giovannucci, Chan.

Supervision: Giovannucci, Chan.

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Chan reported receiving grants from the National Institutes of Health, the National Cancer Institute, Stand Up to Cancer, and the Crohn's and Colitis Foundation; and personal fees from Bayer Pharma AG, Pfizer Inc, and Boehringer Ingelheim outside of the submitted work. Dr Meyerhardt reported receiving institutional research funding from Boston Biomedical, serving as an advisor and consultant to Ignyta and COTA Healthcare, and serving on a grant review panel for the National Comprehensive Cancer Network funded by Taiho Pharmaceutical outside the submitted work. Dr Leung reported receiving speaker fees from Eisai and Ipsen, an honorarium for attending the advisory board for Janssen and Pfizer, and personal fees from Medtronic and Ferring outside the submitted work. Dr Drew reported receiving grants from the National Institutes of Health during the conduct of the study. Dr Cao reported receiving grants from the National Institutes of Health during the conduct of the study. Dr Ng reported receiving grants from the National Cancer Institute, the Department of Defense, Cancer Research UK, Revolution Medicines, Genentech, and Gilead Sciences; nonfinancial support from Pharmavite and Evergrande Group; and personal fees from Bayer, Seattle Genetics, Array Biopharma, and X-Biotix Therapeutics outside the submitted work. Dr Ogino reported receiving grants from the National Institutes of Health during the conduct of the study. No other disclosures were reported.

Funding/Support: This work was supported by infrastructure grant UM1 CA186107 from the Nurses’ Health Study, program grants P01 CA87969 and P01 CA55075 for cancer research from the Nurses’ Health Study, infrastructure grant UM1 CA167552 from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, a Cancer Research UK Catalyst Award, and National Institutes of Health grants R35 CA197735 (Dr Ogino), R01 CA151993 (Dr Ogino), K07 CA218377 (Dr Cao), R01 CA137178 (Dr Chan), R35 CA253185 (Dr Chan), and K01 DK120742 (Dr Drew). This work was supported in part by the Bau Tsu Zung Bau Kwan Yeu Hing Research and Clinical Fellowship (Mr Guo), the Douglas Gray Woodruff Chair fund, the Guo Shu Shi Fund, Anonymous Family Fund for Innovations in Colorectal Cancer, Project P fund, and the George Stone Family Foundation (Dr Meyerhardt). Dr Chan is a Stuart and Suzanne Steele MGH Research Scholar.

Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Additional Contributions: We thank all of the participants and staff of the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study for their valuable contributions, as well as the following state cancer registries for their help: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wyoming. There was no financial compensation for these contributions.

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