HOW WELL do predictions based upon psychiatric interviewers' ratings of the effectiveness of performance, hold up against ratings in the field one year later?
Previous studies of psychiatrists' interviews and their predictions via rating scales of effectiveness of performance have been presented by Ulrich and Trumbo1 in their excellent review article "The Selection Interview Since 1949." The research literature citations may be found there, and will not be repeated here except for the following statement in partial summary:
Thus, the results, while demonstrating some validity for the interview, failed to provide evidence of superiority of interviewer predictions over that achieved by either clinical or actuarial treatment of test data (p 107).
In an earlier paper2 a study of the reliability of psychiatrist's ratings obtained from interviews was presented. This report is concerned with how these same ratings compared with, and were
Fisher J, Epstein LJ, Harris MR. Validity of the Psychiatric Interview: Predicting the Effectiveness of the First Peace Corps Volunteers in Ghana. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 1967;17(6):744–750. doi:10.1001/archpsyc.1967.01730300104013
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