[Skip to Navigation]
Sign In
Figure. 
Estimated prevalence of posttraumatic stress disorder symptoms for each of the 3 latent classes in the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma sample and in the mid-Atlantic urban young adults sample.

Estimated prevalence of posttraumatic stress disorder symptoms for each of the 3 latent classes in the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma21,22 sample and in the mid-Atlantic urban young adults23-25 sample.

Table 1. 
Lifetime Exposure to Trauma and Conditional Probabilities of PTSD in 2181 Trauma-Exposed Subjects in the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma Sample and 1698 Trauma-Exposed Subjects in the Mid-Atlantic Urban Young Adults Sample
Lifetime Exposure to Trauma and Conditional Probabilities of PTSD in 2181 Trauma-Exposed Subjects in the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma21,22 Sample and 1698 Trauma-Exposed Subjects in the Mid-Atlantic Urban Young Adults23-25 Sample
Table 2. 
Model Fit Indexes for Latent Classes of PTSD Symptoms in Trauma-Exposed Subjects in the 2 Samples
Model Fit Indexes for Latent Classes of PTSD Symptoms in Trauma-Exposed Subjects in the 2 Samples
Table 3. 
Results of Latent Class Analysis of Data on 1899 Trauma-Exposed Respondents From the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma
Results of Latent Class Analysis of Data on 1899 Trauma-Exposed Respondents From the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma21,22
Table 4. 
Results of Latent Class Analysis of Data on 1377 Trauma-Exposed Respondents From the Mid-Atlantic Urban Young Adults Sample
Results of Latent Class Analysis of Data on 1377 Trauma-Exposed Respondents From the Mid-Atlantic Urban Young Adults Sample23-25
Table 5. 
LCA-Derived Class Membership in Relation to Sex, Trauma Type, and Indicators of Impairment for Each Sample
LCA-Derived Class Membership in Relation to Sex, Trauma Type, and Indicators of Impairment for Each Sample
1.
American Psychiatric Association, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition.  Washington, DC American Psychiatric Press1994;
2.
Taylor  SKuch  KKoch  WJCrockett  DJPassey  G The structure of posttraumatic stress symptoms.  J Abnorm Psychol 1998;107154- 160PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
3.
Buckley  TCBlanchard  EBHickling  EJ A confirmatory factor analysis of posttraumatic stress symptoms.  Behav Res Ther 1998;361091- 1099PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
4.
King  DWLeskin  GAKing  LAWeathers  FW Confirmatory factor analysis of the Clinician-Administered PTSD scale: evidence for the dimensionality of posttraumatic stress disorder.  Psychol Assess 1998;1090- 96Google ScholarCrossref
5.
Asmundson  GJFrombach  IMcQuaid  JPedrelli  PLenox  RStein  MB Dimensionality of posttraumatic stress symptoms: a confirmatory factor analysis of DSM-IV symptom clusters and other symptom models.  Behav Res Ther 2000;38203- 214PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
6.
Asmundson  GJStapleton  JATaylor  S Are avoidance and numbing distinct PTSD symptom clusters?  J Trauma Stress 2004;17467- 475PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
7.
Ruscio  AMRuscio  JKeane  TM The latent structure of posttraumatic stress disorder: a taxometric investigation of reactions to extreme stress.  J Abnorm Psychol 2002;111290- 301PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
8.
Haslam  N Categorical versus dimensional models of mental disorder: the taxometric evidence.  Aust N Z J Psychiatry 2003;37696- 704PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
9.
Lenzenweger  MF Consideration of the challenges, complications, and pitfalls of taxometric analysis.  J Abnorm Psychol 2004;11310- 23PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
10.
Bulik  CMSullivan  PFKendler  KS An empirical study of the classification of eating disorders.  Am J Psychiatry 2000;157886- 895PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
11.
Keel  PKFichter  MQuadflieg  NBulik  CMBaxter  MGThornton  LHalmi  KAKaplan  ASStrober  MWoodside  DBCrow  SJMitchell  JERotondo  AMauri  MCassano  GTreasure  JGoldman  DBerrettini  WHKaye  WH Application of a latent class analysis to empirically define eating disorder phenotypes.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 2004;61192- 200PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
12.
Kendler  KSKarkowski-Shuman  LO'Neill  FAStraub  REMacLean  CJWalsh  D Resemblance of psychotic symptoms and syndromes in affected sibling pairs from the Irish Study of High-Density Schizophrenia Families: evidence for possible etiologic heterogeneity.  Am J Psychiatry 1997;154191- 198PubMedGoogle Scholar
13.
Kendler  KSKarkowski  LMWalsh  D The structure of psychosis: latent class analysis of probands from the Roscommon Family Study.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 1998;55492- 499PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
14.
van Lier  PAVerhulst  FCvan der Ende  JCrijnen  AA Classes of disruptive behaviour in a sample of young elementary school children.  J Child Psychol Psychiatry 2003;44377- 387PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
15.
Sullivan  PFKessler  RCKendler  KS Latent class analysis of lifetime depressive symptoms in the national comorbidity survey.  Am J Psychiatry 1998;1551398- 1406PubMedGoogle Scholar
16.
Eaves  LJSilberg  JLHewitt  JKRutter  MMeyer  JMNeale  MCPickles  A Analyzing twin resemblance in multisymptom data: genetic applications of a latent class model for symptoms of conduct disorder in juvenile boys.  Behav Genet 1993;235- 19PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
17.
Green  BLLindy  JDGrace  MC Posttraumatic stress disorder: toward DSM-IV J Nerv Ment Dis 1985;173406- 411PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
18.
Foa  EBZinbarg  RRothbaum  BO Uncontrollability and unpredictability in post-traumatic stress disorder: an animal model.  Psychol Bull 1992;112218- 238PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
19.
Horowitz  MJ Stress Response Syndromes.  New York, NY Jason Aronson1976;
20.
Breslau  NLucia  VCDavis  GC Partial PTSD versus full PTSD: an empirical examination of associated impairment.  Psychol Med 2004;341205- 1214PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
21.
Breslau  NKessler  RCChilcoat  HDSchultz  LRDavis  GCAndreski  P Trauma and posttraumatic stress disorder in the community: the 1996 Detroit Area Survey of Trauma.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 1998;55626- 632PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
22.
Breslau  NPeterson  ELPoisson  LMSchultz  LRLucia  VC Estimating post-traumatic stress disorder in the community: lifetime perspective and the impact of typical traumatic events.  Psychol Med 2004;34889- 898PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
23.
Kellam  SGWerthamer-Larsson  LDolan  LJBrown  CHMayer  LSRebok  GWAnthony  JCLaudolff  JEdelsohn  G Developmental epidemiologically based preventive trials: baseline modeling of early target behaviors and depressive symptoms.  Am J Community Psychol 1991;19563- 584PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
24.
Kellam  SGAnthony  JC Targeting early antecedents to prevent tobacco smoking: findings from an epidemiologically based randomized field trial.  Am J Public Health 1998;881490- 1495PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
25.
Werthamer-Larsson  LKellam  SWheeler  L Effect of first-grade classroom environment on shy behavior, aggressive behavior, and concentration problems.  Am J Community Psychol 1991;19585- 602PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
26.
Wilcox  HCAnthony  JC The development of suicide ideation and attempts: an epidemiologic study of first graders followed into young adulthood.  Drug Alcohol Depend 2004;76 ((suppl)) S53- S67PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
27.
Storr  CLReboussin  BAAnthony  JC Early childhood misbehavior and the estimated risk of becoming tobacco-dependent.  Am J Epidemiol 2004;160126- 130PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
28.
Breslau  NWilcox  HCStorr  CLLucia  VCAnthony  JC Trauma exposure and posttraumatic stress disorder: a study of youths in urban America.  J Urban Health 2004;81530- 544PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
29.
World Health Organization, Composite International Diagnostic Interview. Version 2.1 Geneva, Switzerland World Health Organization1997;
30.
Hagenaars  JAMcCutcheon  AL Applied Latent Class Analysis.  Cambridge, England Cambridge University Press2002;
31.
Magidson  JVermunt  JK Latent class cluster analysis. Hagenaars  JAMcCutcheon  ALeds Applied Latent Class Analysis. Cambridge, England Cambridge University Press2000;Google Scholar
32.
Magidson  JVermunt  JK Latent class models. Kaplan  Ded The Sage Handbook of Quantitative Methodology for the Social Sciences. Thousand Oaks, Calif Sage Publications2004;175- 198Google Scholar
33.
McCutcheon  AL Latent Class Analysis.  Thousand Oaks, Calif Sage Publications1987;
34.
Vermunt  JKMagidson  J Latent Gold 3.0 User's Guide.  Belmont, Mass Statistical Innovations Inc2003;
35.
Bandeen-Roche  KHuang  GHMunoz  BRubin  GS Determination of risk factor associations with questionnaire outcomes: a methods case study.  Am J Epidemiol 1999;1501165- 1178PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
36.
Agresti  AYang  M An empirical investigation of some effects of sparseness in contingency tables.  Comp Stat Data Anal 1986;59- 21Google ScholarCrossref
37.
Banfield  JDRaferty  AE Model-based gaussian and non-gaussian clustering.  Biometrics 1993;43803- 821Google ScholarCrossref
38.
Kaplan  ELMeier  P Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations.  J Am Stat Assoc 1958;53457- 481Google ScholarCrossref
39.
Breslau  NChilcoat  HDKessler  RCPeterson  ELLucia  VC Vulnerability to assaultive violence: further specification of the sex difference in post-traumatic stress disorder.  Psychol Med 1999;29813- 821PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
40.
Blake  DDWeathers  FWNagy  LMKaloupek  DGGusman  FDCharney  DSKeane  TM The development of a Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale.  J Trauma Stress 1995;875- 90PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
41.
Breslau  NKessler  RPeterson  EL PTSD assessment with a structured interview: reliability and concordance with a standardized clinical interview.  Int J Methods Psychiatr Res 1998;7121- 127Google ScholarCrossref
42.
Stein  MBHofler  MPerkonigg  ALieb  RPfister  HMaercker  AWittchen  HU Patterns of incidence and psychiatric risk factors for traumatic events.  Int J Methods Psychiatr Res 2002;11143- 153PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
43.
Stein  MBWalker  JRHazen  ALForde  DR Full and partial posttraumatic stress disorder: findings from a community survey.  Am J Psychiatry 1997;1541114- 1119PubMedGoogle Scholar
44.
Blanchard  EBHickling  EJBarton  KATaylor  ARLoos  WRJones-Alexander  J One-year prospective follow-up of motor vehicle accident victims.  Behav Res Ther 1996;34775- 786Google ScholarCrossref
45.
Galea  SVlahov  DResnick  HAhern  JSusser  EGold  JBucuvalas  MKilpatrick  D Trends of probable post-traumatic stress disorder in New York City after the September 11 terrorist attacks.  Am J Epidemiol 2003;158514- 524PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
46.
North  CSNixon  SJShariat  SMallonee  SMcMillen  JCSpitznagel  ELSmith  EM Psychiatric disorders among survivors of the Oklahoma City bombing.  JAMA 1999;282755- 762PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
Original Article
December 2005

The Structure of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder: Latent Class Analysis in 2 Community Samples

Author Affiliations

Author Affiliations: Department of Epidemiology, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing (Drs Breslau and Anthony); Department of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC (Dr Reboussin); Department of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Md (Dr Storr).

Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2005;62(12):1343-1351. doi:10.1001/archpsyc.62.12.1343
Abstract

Context  Latent structure analysis of DSM-IV posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) can help clarify how persons who experience traumatic events might be sorted into clusters with respect to their symptom profiles. Classification of persons exposed to traumatic events into clinically homogeneous groups would facilitate further etiologic and treatment research, as well as research on the relationship of trauma and PTSD with other disorders.

Objectives  To examine empirically the structure underlying PTSD criterion symptoms and identify discrete classes with similar symptom profiles.

Design  Data on PTSD symptoms from trauma-exposed subsets of 2 community samples were subjected to latent class analysis. The resultant classes were studied in associations with trauma type and indicators of impairment.

Setting  The first sample is from the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma (1899 trauma-exposed respondents with complete data) and the second is from a mid-Atlantic study of young adults conducted by The Johns Hopkins University Prevention Research Center, Baltimore, Md (1377 trauma-exposed respondents with complete data).

Participants  Respondents in the 2 community samples who experienced 1 or more qualifying PTSD-level traumatic events.

Main Outcome Measures  Number, size, and symptom profiles of latent classes.

Results  In both samples, analysis yielded 3 classes: no disturbance, intermediate disturbance, and pervasive disturbance. The classes also varied qualitatively, with emotional numbing distinguishing the class of pervasive disturbance, a class that approximates the subset with DSM-IV PTSD. Members of the pervasive disturbance class were far more likely to report use of medical care and disruptions in life or activities.

Conclusions  The 3-class structure separates trauma-exposed persons with pervasive disturbance (a class that approximates DSM-IV PTSD) from no disturbance and intermediate disturbance, a distinction that also helps identify population subgroups with low risk for any posttrauma disturbance. The results suggest that the structure of PTSD is ordinal and configurational and that emotional numbing differentiates the class with pervasive disturbance. These results should motivate prospective research of persons who have experienced trauma to trace the emergence of posttrauma symptoms and the timing of emotional numbing relative to other symptoms.

The definition of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in DSM-IV is based on a conceptual model that brackets traumatic events from less severe stressors and links them with a specific syndrome. The syndrome is defined by 3 diagnostic criteria: (1) reexperiencing the trauma (criterion B), (2) avoidance of thoughts or acts that symbolize the trauma and emotional numbing (criterion C), and (3) increased arousal (criterion D). Each of the 3 criteria is identified through multiple constituent symptoms and a different threshold: 1 of 5 symptoms of “reexperiencing,” 3 of 7 symptoms of “avoidance and numbing,” and 2 of 5 symptoms of “increased arousal.” Theoretically, some properly diagnosed cases, those who experienced an etiologic stressor (criterion A) and the specified syndrome (criteria B, C, and D), may not share the same defining symptoms. The DSM-IV discusses the inclusion of such polythetic categories, in recognition of the heterogeneity of clinical presentation.1(pxxii) The use of multiple defining symptoms in a complex scheme, with ample room for heterogeneity among cases, has motivated the application of statistical methods to examine empirically the underlying structure of the clinically based formulation.

Posttraumatic stress disorder has been the subject of factor analytic studies conducted on data from Vietnam veterans recruited from Veteran’s Administration Medical Centers, patients in primary care clinics, persons who were involved in motor vehicle collisions, and other special populations at risk for PTSD.2-5 All studies reported multiple factors, although the number of factors varied across studies. Asmundson et al5 evaluated models suggested in previous studies and confirmed a model with 4 distinct factors of reexperiencing, avoidance, numbing, and hyperarousal. A recent review concluded that a 4-factor model is supported by the majority of studies.6 Probing for a 2-class (vs a 1-class) model, a taxometric analysis of PTSD symptoms in combat veterans failed to find evidence for a discrete syndrome (a taxon) and concluded that PTSD reflects the upper end of a continuum of reactions to extreme stress.7 A model with 3 or 4 classes was not tested. In general discussions of taxometric studies, Haslam8 and Lenzenweger9 argue for the application of different latent structure models to the same disorder. In this study, we used data from 2 community studies to examine the latent structure of DSM-IV PTSD, applying latent class analysis (LCA) to examine alternative multiclass models. In the past, this analytic method has yielded useful nosologic information on a range of psychiatric disorders (eg, major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, eating disorders, and disruptive behaviors)10-15 but has not been applied to PTSD.

Latent class analysis examines the structure underlying a set of symptoms and forms discrete classes with similar symptom profiles. Latent class analysis makes no further assumptions about the nature of the underlying categorization (eg, nominal, ordinal-discrete, or ordinal-interval) and allows the investigation of both dimensional and configural differences. If a simple ordinal model were correct, and if classes reflected increasing severity, the probability of reporting each symptom would increase monotonically across classes.16 This condition, however, is not sufficient for concluding that the underlying structure is unidimensional. Heterogeneity in the distribution of symptom probabilities across classes can occur in the presence of monotonicity and, when observed, would suggest configurational differences. Insights of this type cannot be gained when the underlying models are assumed to be strictly unidimensional (latent trait) or dichotomous (latent taxon).

The theoretical rationale for supposing a categorical latent variable in DSM-IV PTSD is as follows. The set of diagnostic criteria of PTSD has an internal logic.6,17-19 Briefly stated, the disturbance has been described as a process in which traumatic memories and increased arousal alternate with avoidance and emotional numbing. The underlying psychological process that the definition aims to capture is distinguished by the co-occurrence of these essential features. Empirical support for the possibility that the configuration of symptoms in PTSD matters, apart from number of symptoms, is suggested by recent epidemiologic findings that trauma-exposed persons who met the specified DSM-IV configuration reported markedly more days of work loss and personal distress, controlling for number of symptoms.20

Methods
Samples
The 1996 Detroit Area Survey of Trauma

Participants were 2181 persons 18 to 45 years of age, representative of the Detroit, Mich, primary metropolitan statistical area. The Detroit primary metropolitan statistical area is a 6-county area that contains 4 266 654 residents, nearly 2 million in the age range 18 to 45 years. The vast majority (77%) are residents of suburban areas surrounding the city of Detroit. A random-digit dialing method was used to select the sample. A total of 6110 households were contacted. Screening for age eligibility was completed in 76.2% of households, of which 64.1% contained an age-eligible respondent. In households with more than 1 age-eligible respondent, a random respondent was selected. Cooperation rate in eligible households was 86.8%. A detailed description of the sample and population appears elsewhere.21,22

A Sample of Mid-Atlantic Urban Youth

Participants were young adults (mean age, 21 years [range, 19-23 years]) from a prospective study of 2 successive first-grade cohorts selected from a public school system of a large mid-Atlantic city in the United States in 1985-1986 as part of the research of The Johns Hopkins University Prevention Research Center (Baltimore, Md).23-25 The schools were located in 5 prespecified urban areas, with residents ranging from very poor to low middle class and varying in proportion of African American vs non-Hispanic white individuals. Children were assessed from the first through the eighth grade. Between 2000 and 2002, nearly 75% (n = 1698) of the original sample was interviewed during young adulthood. Detailed information on the study appears elsewhere.26-28

The institutional review board of Henry Ford Health Sciences Center, Detroit, approved the first study and the institutional review board of The Johns Hopkins University, approved the second study; the Michigan State University, East Lansing, institutional review board, where analyses were conducted, approved both. Oral informed consent was obtained in the first study and written consent, in the second.

Assessment of ptsd

The interview schedule for assessing exposure to traumatic events and PTSD was developed, used, and evaluated in the 1996 Detroit Area Survey of Trauma.21 A computer-assisted, telephone-structured interview was used. The interview began with a complete enumeration of traumatic events, using a list of 19 types of traumatic events, which operationalized the DSM-IV definition as explicated in its accompanying text. An endorsement of an event type was followed by questions on the number of times an event of that type had occurred and the respondent’s age at each time. A list of all the traumatic events reported by the respondents was read by the interviewer and the respondent was asked to identify the 1 event that was most upsetting, the worst trauma. Posttraumatic stress disorder was evaluated in connection with this event, using the PTSD section of the Diagnostic Interview Schedule, Version IV, and the World Health Organization Composite International Diagnostic Interview, Version 2.1.1,29 The interview is fully structured and is designed to be administered by experienced interviewers without clinical training. In the 1996 Detroit Area Survey of Trauma, PTSD was also assessed in connection with a computer-selected random event from the complete list of distinct events reported by each respondent, yielding estimates on PTSD in relation to a representative sample of qualifying traumas.21,22

In the mid-Atlantic study of urban youth, the same PTSD assessment schedule was used as part of a longer face-to-face interview. The number of events was 18, excluding combat from the initial list. Posttraumatic stress disorder was assessed in connection with the worst trauma, following the same procedures as in the 1996 Detroit Area Survey of Trauma.

Statistical analysis

The latent structure of PTSD among trauma-exposed respondents was examined by applying LCA30-33 to the list of 17 defining symptoms, using Latent Gold software.34 Each sample was tested separately in a process of systematic replication. Latent class analysis postulates that the association among observed symptoms is due to an underlying class structure. Information about the underlying class structure is conveyed through (1) the latent class probabilities, class prevalence estimates, which indicate the proportion of the sample assigned to each class, and (2) the response probabilities, which are the percentages of class members reporting each symptom. The goal of LCA is to identify the smallest number of latent classes that adequately describes the associations among the observed symptoms, starting with the most parsimonious 1-class model (null model) and fitting successive models with increasing numbers of classes. Goodness-of-fit statistics were used to select the optimal model and to evaluate the standard assumption of local independence between the observed variables.30,31,35 First, the observed symptom response frequencies were compared with the expected frequencies predicted by the model by calculating a likelihood ratio goodness-of-fit value. When the number of observed response patterns is large, as in this case, the likelihood ratio statistic does not follow the theoretical χ2 distribution.36 Therefore, we present a bootstrapped P value. For this test, a conservative α level (eg, P = .05) is appropriate. Because LCA models with different numbers of classes are not nested, precluding the use of difference χ2 tests to compare the fit of 2 models, goodness-of-fit measures that are based on information statistics are used as additional tools. We compared successive models by the Bayesian information criterion, average weight of evidence, and percentage classification error.37 The Bayesian information criterion is a global measure that weights the fit and parsimony of the model. The average weight of evidence criterion additionally weights the performance of the classification.37 The lower the Bayesian information criterion and average weight of evidence, the better the fit is. Finally, we examined the bivariate residuals between pairs of indicators. In general, bivariate residuals larger than 3.84 identify correlations between the associated variable pairs that have not been adequately explained by the model at α = .05.34

As an alternative to adding a class to improve model fit, advanced LCA allows for residual interdependence of pairs of indicators by introducing local dependencies (direct effect) in a pair of indicators that have high residuals.31 We used this technique in this study. Alternative techniques, outlined in Magidson and Vermunt32 (ie, deleting one in the pair of indicators, combining them into a single “and/or” item, and adding a latent variable), yielded similar results, in terms of the number and size of latent classes and response probabilities, but less adequate model fit (not displayed).

We examined the association of sex and trauma type with class membership, using multinomial logistic regression. We also compared classes on the consequences of disturbance, as indicated by impairment and symptom persistence, using for the latter Kaplan-Meier survival methods.38 For these analyses, respondents were assigned to classes, using the modal probability, based on posterior probabilities derived from the LCA.

Results
The detroit area survey of trauma

We first summarize results on the epidemiology of DSM-IV PTSD (Table 1). The lifetime prevalence of exposure to DSM-IV– qualifying traumas among the 2181 respondents was 89.7%. The conditional probability of DSM-IV PTSD among those with trauma exposure was 7.8%. The conditional probability of PTSD varied across the 4 composite categories into which individual event types were grouped, with the highest probability associated with assaultive violence and the lowest, with learning about trauma experienced by a close friend/relative. The sex difference in the conditional probability of PTSD was greater in relation to assaultive violence than other trauma categories39 (Table 1).

The LCA models were fit to 16 of the 17 symptoms reported by trauma-exposed respondents with complete data (n = 1899; 97% of the exposed). Inability to recall the event or parts of it (criterion C3) (“psychogenic amnesia”), an item with a very low level of endorsement and little discrimination, was omitted. Model fit criteria, specified in the “Methods” section, indicated that a 3-class model was superior to a 2-class model. Further, a 3-class model with a local dependency between physiological and psychological reactivity (ie, high bivariate residuals for criteria B4 and B5) best fit the data, according to the preponderance of model fit criteria and the rule of parsimony. We chose to allow for the local dependency over other alternatives because its most likely expected cause is an external factor.32 The 2 symptoms are described by similar phrases, refer to the same situations, and are presented to respondents in sequence, first criterion B4 and then criterion B5. Table 2 presents the goodness-of-fit indexes for 2- to 4-class models.

The conditional probabilities of symptoms, interpreted as the percentages of class members reporting each symptom, appear in Table 3. Class 1 (55% of those exposed to a qualifying traumatic event) exhibited little distress. Most symptoms (10 of 16) were reported by less than 3% of the class. Class 3 (11% of the trauma-exposed subjects) exhibited pervasive disturbance, with most symptoms endorsed by the vast majority of class members. Class 2 (34% of the trauma-exposed subjects) exhibited intermediate disturbance. A comparison of class 3 with class 2 reveals differentiation between these classes with respect to the prevalence of numbing symptoms more than for other symptoms (Table 3). Ratios of the proportions of members of class 3 vs class 2 reporting numbing symptoms ranged from 5.2 (0.80/0.15) for “detached” to 15.5 (0.44/0.03) for “foreshortened future,” whereas for other symptoms they ranged from 1.0 to 3.1 (Table 3).

Table 3 also presents the mean number of symptoms in each latent class, overall and by symptom cluster. While the mean sum of symptoms of each class represents level of severity, differences among classes in the distribution of the sum across constituent symptom clusters would represent qualitative—configurational—class differences. If classes were unidimensional, varying only in severity, then the distribution of the total sum of symptoms by its constituent parts would be constant across classes. Evidence of differences would suggest instead that classes, although ordinal, are not unidimensional. We found that class 3 members had nearly 12 symptoms, on average, with the numbing symptoms constituting 21% of the total. Class 2 members had 5.4 symptoms, on average, with the numbing cluster constituting 7%. Class 1 had an average of just more than 1 symptom, with the numbing cluster constituting 1.7% of the overall average. The higher weight of numbing symptoms in class 3, relative to other classes, suggests the possibility that classes vary not only in severity but also in symptom configuration.

Members of class 3 (vs classes 1 and 2 combined), with class assignment based on the modal probabilities, overlapped highly with the subset of trauma-exposed subjects meeting all DSM-IV PTSD criteria that also include a duration of disturbance of 1 month or greater and clinical significance. There was a very robust association between the LCA-derived assignment to class 3 and the survey-derived DSM-IV PTSD case status (odds ratio, 172.0 [95% confidence interval, 97.5-303.3]). With the DSM-IV PTSD as the standard, LCA class 3 assignment correctly classified 88.9% of cases and 95.6% of noncases among trauma-exposed subjects.

The sample of mid-atlantic urban youth

The lifetime prevalence of exposure to qualifying traumatic events in this sample of 1698 youth was 82.5%. Among the exposed, the conditional probability of PTSD was 8.8%. The highest risk of PTSD was associated with assaultive violence and the lowest, with learning of trauma experienced by others. In parallel with the Detroit area findings, the sex difference in the PTSD risk associated with assaultive violence was greater than it was for other trauma types (Table 1).

Latent class analysis conducted on trauma-exposed respondents with complete data (n = 1377; 98.3% of those exposed) yielded similar results to those from the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma. A 3-class model with the same local link was selected (Table 2). Class 1 (43% of trauma-exposed subjects) exhibited little distress. Class 3 (14% of trauma-exposed subjects) exhibited clear disturbance and class 2 (43% of trauma-exposed subjects) exhibited intermediate disturbance (Table 4). As in the Detroit area sample, differences in the conditional probabilities between class 3 and class 2 were markedly greater for the numbing symptoms than for other symptoms. Ratios of the proportions of class 3 vs class 2 endorsing the numbing symptoms ranged from 4.1 for “diminished interest” to 10.1 for “foreshortened future,” whereas they did not exceed 2.7 for symptoms in the other 3 clusters. The mean number of symptoms increased from 1.31 to 5.67 and 11.60, from the first to the second and third classes (Table 4). The contribution of symptom clusters to the overall means varied across classes, with the numbing cluster constituting 22% of the overall mean of class 3 vs 8.5% of class 2 and 1.5% of class 1. The association between the LCA class 3 assignment and the survey-derived DSM-IV PTSD was very robust (odds ratio, 58.5 [95% confidence interval, 35.3-96.9]). With the DSM-IV case definition taken as the standard, class 3 correctly discriminated 81.0% of PTSD cases and 93.2% of noncases.

Graphic illustration of class profiles in the 2 samples

The Figure displays the response probability profiles for each of the 3 classes in the 2 samples, corresponding to Table 3 and Table 4. The figure demonstrates the general convergence of the results in the 2 samples. The 2 samples line up closely, with 2 exceptions, psychological and physiological reactivity (on which the 2 samples diverge in classes 2 and 3) and avoid thinking (on which there is divergence in class 2). The Figure also illustrates the configurational differentiation created by the numbing cluster.

Sex and trauma type as predictors of class membership

Table 5 presents the distribution of trauma-exposed subjects, classified by sex and trauma type, across the 3 classes. In both samples, learning about trauma experienced by a loved one was more likely than any other trauma to be associated with no disturbance (class 1). In women, assaultive violence was far more likely than any other trauma to be associated with pervasive disturbance (class 3). In both samples, sex × trauma type (assaultive violence vs other) interactions, tested within the LCA framework, were significant (Detroit area sample, χ21 = 11.92; P = .003; mid-Atlantic sample, χ21 = 26.51; P<.001).

Probability of membership in class 1 (no disturbance) was lower in female subjects and in subjects who experienced assaultive violence (vs other trauma), with no significant sex × trauma type interaction. In the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma, women’s odds ratio for class 1 (vs class 2) was 0.65 (95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.79); the odds ratio for class 1 (vs class 2) associated with exposure to assaultive violence (vs other trauma) was 0.46 (95% confidence interval, 0.34-0.62). Similar results were observed in the mid-Atlantic study.

Consequences of disturbance and persistence of symptoms

Table 5 also presents the percentages of members of the 3 classes who saw a physician or another health professional, took medicine, and reported that the disturbance interfered with their lives or activities a lot. Members of class 3 were far more likely than members of class 2 to report each outcome. Although members of class 2 were more likely than members of class 1 to report these outcomes, the increments in class 2 vs class 1 were smaller than corresponding increments in class 3 vs class 2. For example, in the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma, the increment in class 2 vs class 1 members who saw a physician was 15.8 points; the corresponding increment in class 3 vs class 2 was 37.2 points.

Kaplan-Meier survival methods were used to estimate the time to remission of disturbance in members of classes 3 and 2 in the Detroit Area Survey of Trauma. Disturbance persisted significantly longer in members of class 3 than class 2 (log-rank χ2 = 27.1; P<.001). The median time to remission in class 3 was 60 months and in class 2, 12 months. Data on duration of symptoms in the mid-Atlantic sample were incomplete. However, analysis of the available data yielded a similar pattern.

Comment

The application of LCA to data on PTSD-defining symptoms from trauma-exposed subsets of 2 community samples yielded 3 classes that vary by level of severity—no disturbance, intermediate disturbance, and pervasive disturbance. The classes also vary qualitatively, with the emotional numbing cluster affecting a considerably greater proportion of class 3. Class 3, composed of slightly more than 10% of trauma-exposed persons in these community samples, approximates the subset of trauma-exposed persons who met DSM-IV PTSD criteria, as indicated by very robust odds ratios and high sensitivity and specificity estimates. In both samples, female subjects who experienced assaultive violence were more likely to be assigned to class 3 than male subjects who experienced assaultive violence and subjects who experienced other trauma types. Members of class 3 were far more likely to report that they saw a physician and took medicine and that their disturbance interfered a lot with their lives or activities compared with other trauma-exposed persons; their disturbance persisted considerably longer.

We applied LCA to data from general community samples, yielding results on the structure of PTSD in community residents exposed to qualifying traumatic events. The availability of 2 independent samples provides assurance that results do not capitalize on sample-specific variability. The 2 samples vary in important respects. The first represents a wide age range (18-45 years) and a population from a large geographic area in southeast Michigan, with the majority (77%) residing in suburbs surrounding the inner city. In contrast, the second sample represents white and African American young adults (19-23 years of age) who had attended a single public school system and had grown up in the inner city. Despite the differences, the results of the LCA converge on the characteristics of the latent structure of PTSD, the relationship with diagnoses based on DSM-IV PTSD, associations with trauma type, and impairment indicators.

Several limitations should be noted. First, data were gathered through lay-administered interviews rather than mental health professional–administered interviews. However, a mental health professional reappraisal study in which a subsample was blindly interviewed by trained mental health professionals using the Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale for DSM-IV40 found good concordance with diagnoses based on the structured interview.41 Second, the respondents were asked to review their lifetime experience to recall traumatic events and PTSD symptoms they had experienced following a selected trauma. Prospective research on traumas as they are experienced, with fine-grained assessment of clinical features as they emerge, would be illuminating.

Notwithstanding these limitations, the results are noteworthy in several ways. While the DSM divides persons who experienced trauma events into 2 classes, cases and noncases, the LCA sorts them into a 3-class scheme, with a “no disturbance” class as a discrete group among the noncases. The intermediate class (class 2) formed by the LCA might illustrate previously proposed subthreshold clinical entities, such as partial PTSD. However, only slightly more than half of class 2 members in each study met partial PTSD criteria, defined as 1 or more symptoms from each of the 3 DSM-IV symptom groups (criteria B-D) and 1-month or longer duration,17,42,43 or a more restrictive formulation.44,45 Another 2% met criteria for PTSD. The remainder met criteria for neither PTSD nor partial PTSD. The LCA exploration did not provide empirical support for separating trauma-exposed subjects without pervasive disturbance in ways other than the 2 classes of no disturbance and intermediate disturbance.

Another aspect of the epidemiological evidence concerns the numbing cluster. We found that emotional numbing occurred primarily in the presence of pervasive disturbance and rarely in trauma-exposed subjects with intermediate disturbance. As such, it might be a marker of pervasive disturbance and, based on the DSM-IV PTSD robust association with the class of pervasive disturbance, of DSM-IV PTSD. The combined DSM-IV criterion of “avoidance and numbing” has been recognized as the “hardest” to fulfill and thus the limiting criterion in the diagnosis of PTSD.39,46 The role of emotional numbing in prognosis and differential response to treatment has been noted in clinical studies.6 It might not be obvious that fulfilling the “avoidance and numbing” criterion, and in turn the DSM-IV PTSD criteria, as a rule, depends on endorsing at least 1 numbing symptom. The “avoidance and numbing” criterion, which requires 3 of 7 symptoms, contains 3 avoidance and 4 numbing symptoms,1(p435) allowing trauma-exposed persons to fulfill the criterion by endorsing only the 3 avoidance symptoms. This theoretical option rarely materializes because 1 of the 3 avoidance symptoms, psychogenic amnesia, is rarely endorsed.

The analysis predicting membership in the 3 latent classes, based on sex and trauma type, reproduced our findings from analysis of DSM-IV PTSD,28,39 as could be expected given the robust association between class 3 and DSM-IV PTSD. Men’s risk for pervasive disturbance varied little across trauma types, but women’s risk for pervasive disturbance was markedly higher if they had been exposed to assaultive violence. With this exception (ie, women’s higher risk following assaultive violence), the likelihood of developing pervasive disturbance (or DSM-IV PTSD) varied little across trauma types. The LCA, in identifying 3 outcomes—no disturbance, intermediate disturbance, and severe disturbance—allows an additional observation, which the DSM-IV PTSD analysis of cases vs noncases could not reveal. Men exposed to any trauma type and women exposed to traumas that do not involve assaultive violence are considerably less likely than women exposed to assaultive violence to exhibit any disturbance, pervasive or intermediate. Their chance of experiencing no disturbance is large.

Elsewhere it has been suggested that PTSD represents the upper end of a continuum of reactions to extreme stress and that PTSD does not qualify as a taxon, as defined by Meehl.7 As indicated in our introduction, the taxometric approach pits a 1-class model against a 2-class model and is uninformative if the latent structure is one with more than 2 discrete categories—taxon and complement. While LCA provides no formal test of whether the resultant classes differ in severity or qualitatively, by assuming a latent variable with discrete categories and not imposing further structure on the data, LCA allows probing for potential configurational differences that cannot be revealed in a taxometric model.

Like other latent structure approaches, LCA might be considered uninformative with respect to validity, specifically, whether the class with pervasive disturbance brackets a subset of trauma-exposed subjects with clinical disturbance and whether that disturbance is a distinct pathological entity. These questions cannot be determined solely based on covariation among symptoms. The observed relationships with trauma type and behavioral outcomes, all based on self-reports, offer modest support for separating the class with pervasive disturbance as clinically significant. However, these data do not address the question of the integrity of PTSD as distinct from other psychiatric disorders.

Back to top
Article Information

Correspondence: Naomi Breslau, PhD, Department of Epidemiology, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, B645 West Fee Hall, East Lansing, MI 48824 (breslau@epi.msu.edu).

Submitted for Publication: February 2, 2005; final revision received May 19, 2005; accepted June 17, 2005.

Funding/Support: This research was supported by grants MH 71395, MH 48802 (Dr Breslau), DA 16279 (Dr Reboussin), and KO5DA015799 (Dr Anthony) from the National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Md.

Acknowledgment: We thank Howard Chilcoat, ScD, and Karen Bandeen-Roche, PhD, for helpful guidance at the very early stage of the analysis.

References
1.
American Psychiatric Association, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition.  Washington, DC American Psychiatric Press1994;
2.
Taylor  SKuch  KKoch  WJCrockett  DJPassey  G The structure of posttraumatic stress symptoms.  J Abnorm Psychol 1998;107154- 160PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
3.
Buckley  TCBlanchard  EBHickling  EJ A confirmatory factor analysis of posttraumatic stress symptoms.  Behav Res Ther 1998;361091- 1099PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
4.
King  DWLeskin  GAKing  LAWeathers  FW Confirmatory factor analysis of the Clinician-Administered PTSD scale: evidence for the dimensionality of posttraumatic stress disorder.  Psychol Assess 1998;1090- 96Google ScholarCrossref
5.
Asmundson  GJFrombach  IMcQuaid  JPedrelli  PLenox  RStein  MB Dimensionality of posttraumatic stress symptoms: a confirmatory factor analysis of DSM-IV symptom clusters and other symptom models.  Behav Res Ther 2000;38203- 214PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
6.
Asmundson  GJStapleton  JATaylor  S Are avoidance and numbing distinct PTSD symptom clusters?  J Trauma Stress 2004;17467- 475PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
7.
Ruscio  AMRuscio  JKeane  TM The latent structure of posttraumatic stress disorder: a taxometric investigation of reactions to extreme stress.  J Abnorm Psychol 2002;111290- 301PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
8.
Haslam  N Categorical versus dimensional models of mental disorder: the taxometric evidence.  Aust N Z J Psychiatry 2003;37696- 704PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
9.
Lenzenweger  MF Consideration of the challenges, complications, and pitfalls of taxometric analysis.  J Abnorm Psychol 2004;11310- 23PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
10.
Bulik  CMSullivan  PFKendler  KS An empirical study of the classification of eating disorders.  Am J Psychiatry 2000;157886- 895PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
11.
Keel  PKFichter  MQuadflieg  NBulik  CMBaxter  MGThornton  LHalmi  KAKaplan  ASStrober  MWoodside  DBCrow  SJMitchell  JERotondo  AMauri  MCassano  GTreasure  JGoldman  DBerrettini  WHKaye  WH Application of a latent class analysis to empirically define eating disorder phenotypes.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 2004;61192- 200PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
12.
Kendler  KSKarkowski-Shuman  LO'Neill  FAStraub  REMacLean  CJWalsh  D Resemblance of psychotic symptoms and syndromes in affected sibling pairs from the Irish Study of High-Density Schizophrenia Families: evidence for possible etiologic heterogeneity.  Am J Psychiatry 1997;154191- 198PubMedGoogle Scholar
13.
Kendler  KSKarkowski  LMWalsh  D The structure of psychosis: latent class analysis of probands from the Roscommon Family Study.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 1998;55492- 499PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
14.
van Lier  PAVerhulst  FCvan der Ende  JCrijnen  AA Classes of disruptive behaviour in a sample of young elementary school children.  J Child Psychol Psychiatry 2003;44377- 387PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
15.
Sullivan  PFKessler  RCKendler  KS Latent class analysis of lifetime depressive symptoms in the national comorbidity survey.  Am J Psychiatry 1998;1551398- 1406PubMedGoogle Scholar
16.
Eaves  LJSilberg  JLHewitt  JKRutter  MMeyer  JMNeale  MCPickles  A Analyzing twin resemblance in multisymptom data: genetic applications of a latent class model for symptoms of conduct disorder in juvenile boys.  Behav Genet 1993;235- 19PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
17.
Green  BLLindy  JDGrace  MC Posttraumatic stress disorder: toward DSM-IV J Nerv Ment Dis 1985;173406- 411PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
18.
Foa  EBZinbarg  RRothbaum  BO Uncontrollability and unpredictability in post-traumatic stress disorder: an animal model.  Psychol Bull 1992;112218- 238PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
19.
Horowitz  MJ Stress Response Syndromes.  New York, NY Jason Aronson1976;
20.
Breslau  NLucia  VCDavis  GC Partial PTSD versus full PTSD: an empirical examination of associated impairment.  Psychol Med 2004;341205- 1214PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
21.
Breslau  NKessler  RCChilcoat  HDSchultz  LRDavis  GCAndreski  P Trauma and posttraumatic stress disorder in the community: the 1996 Detroit Area Survey of Trauma.  Arch Gen Psychiatry 1998;55626- 632PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
22.
Breslau  NPeterson  ELPoisson  LMSchultz  LRLucia  VC Estimating post-traumatic stress disorder in the community: lifetime perspective and the impact of typical traumatic events.  Psychol Med 2004;34889- 898PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
23.
Kellam  SGWerthamer-Larsson  LDolan  LJBrown  CHMayer  LSRebok  GWAnthony  JCLaudolff  JEdelsohn  G Developmental epidemiologically based preventive trials: baseline modeling of early target behaviors and depressive symptoms.  Am J Community Psychol 1991;19563- 584PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
24.
Kellam  SGAnthony  JC Targeting early antecedents to prevent tobacco smoking: findings from an epidemiologically based randomized field trial.  Am J Public Health 1998;881490- 1495PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
25.
Werthamer-Larsson  LKellam  SWheeler  L Effect of first-grade classroom environment on shy behavior, aggressive behavior, and concentration problems.  Am J Community Psychol 1991;19585- 602PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
26.
Wilcox  HCAnthony  JC The development of suicide ideation and attempts: an epidemiologic study of first graders followed into young adulthood.  Drug Alcohol Depend 2004;76 ((suppl)) S53- S67PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
27.
Storr  CLReboussin  BAAnthony  JC Early childhood misbehavior and the estimated risk of becoming tobacco-dependent.  Am J Epidemiol 2004;160126- 130PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
28.
Breslau  NWilcox  HCStorr  CLLucia  VCAnthony  JC Trauma exposure and posttraumatic stress disorder: a study of youths in urban America.  J Urban Health 2004;81530- 544PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
29.
World Health Organization, Composite International Diagnostic Interview. Version 2.1 Geneva, Switzerland World Health Organization1997;
30.
Hagenaars  JAMcCutcheon  AL Applied Latent Class Analysis.  Cambridge, England Cambridge University Press2002;
31.
Magidson  JVermunt  JK Latent class cluster analysis. Hagenaars  JAMcCutcheon  ALeds Applied Latent Class Analysis. Cambridge, England Cambridge University Press2000;Google Scholar
32.
Magidson  JVermunt  JK Latent class models. Kaplan  Ded The Sage Handbook of Quantitative Methodology for the Social Sciences. Thousand Oaks, Calif Sage Publications2004;175- 198Google Scholar
33.
McCutcheon  AL Latent Class Analysis.  Thousand Oaks, Calif Sage Publications1987;
34.
Vermunt  JKMagidson  J Latent Gold 3.0 User's Guide.  Belmont, Mass Statistical Innovations Inc2003;
35.
Bandeen-Roche  KHuang  GHMunoz  BRubin  GS Determination of risk factor associations with questionnaire outcomes: a methods case study.  Am J Epidemiol 1999;1501165- 1178PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
36.
Agresti  AYang  M An empirical investigation of some effects of sparseness in contingency tables.  Comp Stat Data Anal 1986;59- 21Google ScholarCrossref
37.
Banfield  JDRaferty  AE Model-based gaussian and non-gaussian clustering.  Biometrics 1993;43803- 821Google ScholarCrossref
38.
Kaplan  ELMeier  P Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations.  J Am Stat Assoc 1958;53457- 481Google ScholarCrossref
39.
Breslau  NChilcoat  HDKessler  RCPeterson  ELLucia  VC Vulnerability to assaultive violence: further specification of the sex difference in post-traumatic stress disorder.  Psychol Med 1999;29813- 821PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
40.
Blake  DDWeathers  FWNagy  LMKaloupek  DGGusman  FDCharney  DSKeane  TM The development of a Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale.  J Trauma Stress 1995;875- 90PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
41.
Breslau  NKessler  RPeterson  EL PTSD assessment with a structured interview: reliability and concordance with a standardized clinical interview.  Int J Methods Psychiatr Res 1998;7121- 127Google ScholarCrossref
42.
Stein  MBHofler  MPerkonigg  ALieb  RPfister  HMaercker  AWittchen  HU Patterns of incidence and psychiatric risk factors for traumatic events.  Int J Methods Psychiatr Res 2002;11143- 153PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
43.
Stein  MBWalker  JRHazen  ALForde  DR Full and partial posttraumatic stress disorder: findings from a community survey.  Am J Psychiatry 1997;1541114- 1119PubMedGoogle Scholar
44.
Blanchard  EBHickling  EJBarton  KATaylor  ARLoos  WRJones-Alexander  J One-year prospective follow-up of motor vehicle accident victims.  Behav Res Ther 1996;34775- 786Google ScholarCrossref
45.
Galea  SVlahov  DResnick  HAhern  JSusser  EGold  JBucuvalas  MKilpatrick  D Trends of probable post-traumatic stress disorder in New York City after the September 11 terrorist attacks.  Am J Epidemiol 2003;158514- 524PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
46.
North  CSNixon  SJShariat  SMallonee  SMcMillen  JCSpitznagel  ELSmith  EM Psychiatric disorders among survivors of the Oklahoma City bombing.  JAMA 1999;282755- 762PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
×