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Invited Commentary
June 2015

Putting Predictions to the Test

Author Affiliations
  • 1Center for Healthcare Outcomes and Policy, Department of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
JAMA Surg. 2015;150(6):511. doi:10.1001/jamasurg.2015.0417

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services have implemented financial penalties for hospitals with above-average readmission rates, and hospitals are directing quality improvement efforts at predicting and preventing readmissions after surgery. Although clinicians are often aware of the risk factors for readmission, predictive models provide objective data, and their use is preferable over clinical judgment.1